Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(11) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(11)-(1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TP-2   WIN (11) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (11)-(11/1/12/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (11)-(11/1/12/8)-(11/1/12/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (11)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (11)-(1/6)-(2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/13/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/13/2/3)-(1/6/13/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2)-(10/7/11/13/5) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
TP-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/8/3/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/8/3/7/1)-(2/8/3/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(10/7/11/13/5) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (2)-(10/7/11/13/5)-(9/7/11) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TP-5   WIN (10/7/11/13/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/11/13/5)-(10/7/11/13/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/11/13/5)-(10/7/11/13/5)-(10/7/11/13/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/11/13/5)-(9/7/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/7/11/13/5)-(9/7/11)-(10/11) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-6   WIN (9/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/11)-(9/7/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/11)-(9/7/11)-(9/7/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/7/11)-(10/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/7/11)-(10/11)-(8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-7   WIN (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/11)-(10/11/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/11)-(10/11/1/4)-(10/11/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/11)-(8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TP-8   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/2/7)-(8/6/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLAUDIA'S WILD CAT         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
CLEAT Dec28 Nov10 Oct29 Sep13   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  CHARLESTON STRONG Oct20 Feb03       (maker m)DE CRUZ 125 2.50    
SCR  THE BIG MOZZ Jan04 Nov19       (trujillo e)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
ALY STONE         (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00    
JAHEZ Dec30 Nov30 Oct20 Oct08 Aug30 (trujillo el)CHIRINOS ROIMES 125 15.00    
POLSAR Aug31 Jul27 Jul01 Jun03 Mar03 (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 4.00 18% 4.70    
WAR SAFE Oct16 Sep04 Aug12 Jun04 May14 (west eth)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
FABRICATOR Jan19 Dec31 Dec11     (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 12.00    
 
TP-2   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRADY Jan19 Dec02 Oct18 Sep21 Aug22 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00    
SCR  NET WORTH Jan21         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
CONNELMAURA Jan05 Dec07 Oct26 Sep22   (blair jordan)HEARD TYLER 115 12.00    
INVASIVE Jan19 Dec11 Nov23     (kendall elise)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
ROYALLY BITTER Jan19         (sims p)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
JOHNNY'S MOMENT Feb02 Dec18 Nov12     (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
SILENT VOTE Jan12 Dec09 Aug05 Jul08   (foster eric)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
BELL CURVE Jan11         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
FAST FALL Jan21 Dec31 Oct10 Sep11 Aug05 (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00    
10  ALPHA LEA Dec09         (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 50.00    
11  DOMHNALL         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
12  WISEACRE Jan27         (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
 
TP-3   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAKONNA Dec28 Oct24 Oct11 Aug24 Jul04 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Dec28 Sep30 Jun29 Mar08 Feb19 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 4.00    
GIRLS HOUSE Jan26 Dec28 Dec15 Nov11 Jan15 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 126 4.00    
GET STORM AWAY Nov23 Nov14 Nov03 Oct10 May16 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 126 50.00    
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Dec02 Nov20 Oct19 Sep16 Aug27 (taylor brent)HEARD TYLER 126 12.00    
ATHENAIS Jan12 Oct17 Sep22 Aug25 Jun30 (judd cassandr)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  YOU DO YOU Dec05         (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 126 20.00    
LITERARY Jan06 Dec01 Oct20 Sep28   (gre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 20.00    
GAMBI Dec29 Dec03 Nov06 Oct11   (alessi james)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
10  CRYSTAL SNOW Jan12 Nov27 Oct23 Oct07   (cristel j)MOJICA O 126 15.00    
SCR  TAMARA'S WAY Jan01 Dec17 Nov10 Oct26   (demeritte lar)MCENTEE GRACE 118 12.00    
12  SHADES OF BLUE Sep26 Aug25 Jul14     (fulmer alliso)BECKMAN ALICE 119 15.00    
13  STUPENDOUS Jan26 Dec01 Nov03 Oct13 Sep18 (riley donna)FELIX E 126 12.00    
 
TP-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD TAPIT Jan26 Dec11 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 (klopp r)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
DECK OF CARDS Jan20 Dec21 Jan16     (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 127 2.00 74% 0.30    
KICK OUT THE JAMS Jan05 Dec08 Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00    
SCR  MISS GETTY UP Jan26 Dec15 Aug21 Jun28 May06 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 20.00    
PROTOMAGIC Feb01 Jan05 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 (fernandez edwa)SANJUR SANTO 124 15.00    
C V THUNDER Jan21 Dec31 Dec11 Jul19 Jul06 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
HOT HEELS Jan20 Dec11 Nov09 Oct10 Aug10 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
SILVER SEA Jan26 Jan11 Dec03 Oct29 Sep10 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
RUNAWAY MOM Jan20 Jan07 Dec11 Dec03 Oct21 (smith larry)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00    
10  MAGIC LEMONS Jan26 Mar26 Mar18 Mar02 Feb16 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00    
11  LADY JENNEVIERE Jan21         (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
SCR  TOIL Jan20 Dec22 Sep30 Mar22   (shifflett ch)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
TP-5   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOTYLE         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YAHTZEE QUEEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
GORMLEYESQUE Aug04         (catalan)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
LANETTA Jan01         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TARALENA by ARCH)
CHELSEA PIER         (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of KIND OF MAGIC by GALILEO (ARG))
NO JOKING MATTER Dec21 Nov23       (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00 6% 14.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BUSTLE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  COZEE MAGIC         (ennis john)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
UPPER CASE Aug14         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RIGGED SMART by SMART STRIKE)
THEREFORE I AM         (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEA OF SHOWERS by SEATTLE SLEW)
RUM RUNNER READY Dec29 Nov30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 (morey e)FELIX E 120 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STORMY ALLURE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  WHO RUNS THE WORLD         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LUCY N ETHEL by DURING)
11  SUNDAY SHOES         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SILVERTONI by TAPIT)
12  PIDEME OTRA Dec07         (mckeever andrew)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of RACE TO URGA by BERNSTEIN)
13  I HAD THAT ONE TOO Jan21         (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of ITHINKIHADTHATONE by WAR CHANT)
SCR  SILENT REVENGE Jan05         (dyer john)FELIX E 120 12.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SILENCER by QUALITY ROAD)
 
TP-6   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY HASH Oct05 Sep19       (wal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
MS. THE LAW Jan18 Jan05 Dec17 Oct21   (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
SCR  WANNAGOCAMPING         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ICY STARE Jan21 Dec11 Nov20     (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
STELLAR LEGACY Feb01         (delong ben)HALDAR J 120 30.00    
SCR  ELLIE DELI Jan13 Dec29 Dec07 Oct06 Sep14 (rouck martin )LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00    
TIMELY SECRET Jan25 Jan01 Dec03 Nov20 Aug10 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
CARMEL SUNRISE Dec29 Dec04 Nov06 Oct01   (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
PROUD PERFORMER Jan18 Nov20       (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  HIPPIE TRAIL May30         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 24% 3.20    
11  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 15.00 9% 10.30    
 
TP-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD OF WONDER Jan12 Dec21 Nov27 Nov12 Sep29 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
WORRY FREE Jan18 Dec01 Sep14     (stidham mi)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50    
SCR  NAKED ON THE BEACH Apr15 Mar18       (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
TWIRLING PATTI Aug07 Jun02 Mar24 Feb24   (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.50    
WICKED INTENT Jan18 Dec21 Oct24 Aug25 Aug06 (caramori caio)SANJUR SANTO 124 30.00    
FORTUNE BOUND Jan20 Dec21 Nov21 Oct29 Oct05 (sims matt)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 15.00    
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Jan07 Dec31 Dec11 Nov16 Oct15 (gonzalez rei)HALDAR J 124 30.00    
FOXY DIVA Jan18 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 (woj)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 20.00    
LAVENDAR LANE Dec08 Jul21 Jun26 Jan07   (lyster )DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
10  MACADAMIA (FR) Dec21 Nov03 Oct06 Sep03 Jun22 (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
11  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Jan18 Oct01 Jul24 Apr15   (reed r)MCKEE J 124 15.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  BATYAH Dec26 Nov19 Sep06 Jul17   (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
SCR  ELLE OF THE BALL Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Jun22 May15 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER Jan04 Dec02 Oct11 Sep25 Aug06 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00    
 
TP-8   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRYLEE Jan18 Nov18       (medina robert)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BLUSTER by STORM CAT)
ACCIDENTAL ICON Dec11 Nov04       (walsh br)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LOVE STYLE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
FRACING ALLSTAR         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
FAST N HAPPY         (dru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
SWEET ARIA         (gallagher will)HUGHES CARLY 120 30.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of THIRTEEN SONGS by CONGRATS)
GRANNY LAW Jan18         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIRTY RED by NASTY AND BOLD)
WORST BEHAVIOUR Jan08 Dec11 Nov12 Oct15   (attfield r)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of C J'S LEELEE by MIZZEN MAST)
LADY LOWERY Jan18         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 1.40 52% 0.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LAST DANCE by REVOLUTIONARY)
MIDNIGHT MEGHAN         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of WISH TO OPINE by PURIM)
10  SEA YA         (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FIGURETA (ARG) by THE LEOPARD)
11  GUN RUNNIN' GAL         (trombetta michael )MOJICA O 120 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DRESS THE PART by MALIBU MOON)
12  AUDREY'S WILLOW Jul01         (newton )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of AUDREY'S DOUBLE by PULPIT)
SCR  CUTE KHLOE Jan25 Nov24 Oct22     (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of AMBER ROMANCE by BAHAMIAN BOUNTY (GB))
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE         (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INDIVAR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.