Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (10/8/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/2/9/6)-(10/8/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/2/9/6)-(10/8/2/9/6)-(10/8/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/2/9/6)-(8/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/2/9/6)-(8/4/6/2)-(1/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-2   WIN (8/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/2)-(8/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/2)-(8/4/6/2)-(8/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/2)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/2)-(1/2)-(6/10/12/11) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/10/12/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/10/12/11)-(7/9/12/2/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-4   WIN (6/10/12/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/12/11)-(6/10/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/12/11)-(6/10/12/11)-(6/10/12/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/12/11)-(7/9/12/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/10/12/11)-(7/9/12/2/4)-(2/7/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (7/9/12/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/12/2/4)-(7/9/12/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/12/2/4)-(7/9/12/2/4)-(7/9/12/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/12/2/4)-(2/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/12/2/4)-(2/7/1/5)-(3/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/5)-(3/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/5)-(3/1/10)-(11/3/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/10)-(3/1/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/10)-(3/1/10/4)-(3/1/10/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/10)-(11/3/6/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/3/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/6/4/5)-(11/3/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/6/4/5)-(11/3/6/4/5)-(11/3/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANTALONES ENFUEGO Jan13 Dec30 Nov23     (richardville)RAMOS D 125 3.50    
2  POINT OF INFINITY Aug17         (bright derr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL Jan04 Nov13 Sep09 Jun17 May20 (childers va)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 50.00    
4  BASILICA D ORO Jan13 Dec11 Oct21 Sep29 Sep05 (baez sergio)MOJICA JR 118 30.00    
5  NUTHER BEE Jan20 Dec30 Dec01 Nov21 Aug22 (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
6  MAMBO KITTEN Dec22 Dec02 Oct17 Sep29 Sep21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 8% 12.10    
7  SUPER WEST Dec30 Sep14 Aug24 Aug06   (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 118 30.00    
8  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Jan12 Dec22 Oct17 Sep29 Sep16 (bush s)MOJICA O 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
9  TILDA Dec01 Jun04 May20     (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 125 10.00 15% 5.70    
10  SPIRITCATCHER Dec19         (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 3.00 19% 4.40    
11  TIAN'AI ROAD Jan13 Dec14 Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 (williamson br)LEBRON VICTOR 125 12.00    
12  MISS SOVELIA Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Oct06 (edgell )DE CRUZ 125 12.00    
SCR  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 Nov10 (mcbride barb)RAMOS D 125 15.00    
SCR  SWIGERT Dec22 Dec01 Aug31     (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00    
 
TP-2   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVE SHARP Jan05 Nov10 Oct01     (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
2  AGENDA Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 Aug06 (demeritte )CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALLINTHECALL         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00 6% 15.10    
4  DOOIT Jan13 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  CAPTIVE STAR Jan05 Dec07 Sep18     (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 6.00    
6  DARTIGA Dec11         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 7% 14.30    
7  MARSANNE Jan25 Jan01 Nov22 Oct26 Oct13 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00    
8  CINDERELLA STORY Jan01 Dec15       (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TP-3   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT NELDA         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKIPPED by BROKEN VOW)
2  SIXTH STREET (FR) Sep16 Aug14 Jul23     (reed r)MCKEE J 125 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by TORONADO (IRE) out of LA UNDECIMA by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SCR  MY LILY MAE Aug14 Jul29 Jul02 May14 Apr22 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 118 5.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
4  NOT NEGOTIABLE         (casse mark)RAMOS D 125 3.50 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of NEGOTIABLE by HAT TRICK (JPN))
SCR  WICKED FROST Dec07 Oct26 Sep14 Aug10   (greenhill je)HALDAR J 118 20.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
6  SHEMADEMEBLUSH Dec17 Oct26       (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ASPEN BLUSH by CUVEE)
7  MOST EMPRESSIVE Jan21 Sep26 May21 Apr27 Mar23 (lovell michelle)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  TWO WORDS Jan21 Dec22 Mar12     (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LIFE STARTS by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
TP-4   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY DIOR Jan13 Dec22 Oct10 Aug17 Jul12 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 15.00    
2  EVIE Jan25 Jan06 Feb16 Jan02   (andrade hugo)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
3  SHE RANUP THE AMEX Jan25 Dec28 Nov22 Nov11 Oct25 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 30.00    
SCR  ARLYNE'S CROWN Jan05 Nov10 Oct21 Sep05 Aug20 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
5  LUCKY SHORE Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 Oct11 Sep09 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 12.00    
6  DECREE OF LOVE Jan12 Dec03 Nov08 Oct24 Sep13 (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  MORNING LINE NEWS Jan13 Dec30 Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
8  MIDNIGHT FLYER Jan06 Oct06 Sep09 Jul10 May07 (adams nan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
9  QUEEN EKATI Dec30 Dec18 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 (nes)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 12.00    
10  KNELCOCK Feb01 Dec22 Dec01 Nov03 Oct13 (evans ii)FELIX E 124 8.00 7% 13.10    
11  SOPHISTICATED Jan06 Dec22 Dec03 Nov02 Aug23 (anderso)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  SAGE HILL Jan20 Jan06 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 127 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME TONI Jan11 Dec11       (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
2  VALIANT PRAISE Jan13 Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 Sep30 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CONGRATS out of AUNTIE SOPH by VALIANT NATURE)
3  INDY AGAIN Jan01 Nov04 Sep23     (arnold geor)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of INDY DREAMING by A.P. INDY)
4  CHICA DE ORO Jan05         (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HOUR QUEEN by GILDED TIME)
5  MY MY         (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MISS PATCHOULI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  RED LEMONADE Dec21         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LEMON LIQUEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  MISS LIZZY Jan05 Dec07       (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
8  CONDONE Jan01         (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JACARANDA by CONGRATS)
9  THESTRAL Jan13 Nov17 Oct16 Sep07   (caramori)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of HARBOUR ISLAND by MY PAL CHARLIE)
10  RED JAG Nov30         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
SCR  TIME TO RACE Jan11 Dec14 Sep23     (nihei mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TIME FOR HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  BOLT'S BROAD Dec30 Dec03 Oct29 Oct09 Sep09 (wong jonathan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
SCR  HAZANNE Jan13 Dec29 Nov24     (engler jeff)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
14  MO DIVINE Dec03 Nov12 Oct16     (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TP-6   02/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY MAMA Jan06 Nov24 Nov06 Oct22 Mar19 (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 9% 10.50    
2  DOCS SEVEN Jan12 Sep29 Sep09 Aug22 Jul21 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  AWESOME LAWSON Jan25 Nov13 Oct27 Aug31 Aug14 (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  SILVER STICK STAIR Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Nov15 (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
5  SHEZ RECKLESS Dec11 May28 May03 Apr03 Mar19 (martinez a)MCKEE J 118 6.00 7% 14.40    
6  SOFIA STRONG Jan25 Nov30 Oct19 Sep22 Aug23 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 8.00    
7  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Jan12 Dec15 Nov30 Oct29 Oct23 (gonzalez l)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
8  HABOBANERO Jan20 Oct07 Sep24 Sep08 Sep01 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
9  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Jan12 Oct16 Sep08 Aug03 Jun29 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
 
TP-7   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HER WORLD (IRE) Jan11 May28 Apr15     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  PISTOLPACKINPOLLY Jan11 Nov20 Jun11     (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 123 30.00    
3  ONLY KIDDING Jan11 Dec14 Oct19 May15 Apr22 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  TEN RINGS Dec29 Aug07 Jul03     (wong jonath)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 8.00 ★    
5  CHARLEY RUDE Dec17 Nov09 Jun24 Apr15 Mar17 (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE Jan25 Dec21 Dec07 Oct27 Sep01 (king barr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  CHARLEE O Jan05 Dec14 Oct03 Aug27 Jun04 (waltz brian)FELIX E 123 15.00    
8  CUPIDS PAYDAY Nov03 Oct01       (tomlinson mi)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 20.00    
9  BLEST LIFE Jun21 May23 May04 Mar05 Jan08 (contreras)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 30.00    
10  MY MY MUNNY Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Nov17 Nov02 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SEIZE THE MARQUET Jan11 Dec15 Oct28     (oli)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00    
12  VINEGAR VEGGIES Jun15 May26 May06 Mar11 Feb12 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 123 20.00    
SCR  TIZ SUSAN ANN Jan25 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct29 (mal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING FIRE Dec29 Nov30 Oct06 Sep22   (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
 
TP-8   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Jan28 Jan12 Dec31 Nov27 Nov19 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 126 12.00    
2  BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 Sep21 Aug19 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50    
3  WEATHER PRAYER Jan19 Jun08 Jan15     (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 126 4.00 16% 5.40    
4  COALMINER'S KITTEN Jan12 Nov11 Sep25 Aug13   (chapman)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
5  SHA KON O HEY Jan26 Dec29 Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 126 15.00 9% 9.70    
6  GUS GUS Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 Nov09 (garcia gena)PETERSON FERRIN 126 3.50 14% 6.10    
7  LOOKIN' AT TURK Jan19         (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
8  NICHOLAS JONES Dec29 Nov19       (miller f)MCKEE J 126 20.00    
9  PARACHUTEBATTALION Dec09 Nov09 Sep07     (rider m)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  DEMANDED Jan28 Dec09       (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 126 15.00    
11  PAID TWICE Dec29 Dec07 Nov13 Nov02 Oct12 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 126 4.50 21% 3.80    
12  LEAD ACTOR Jan25 Jan05 Dec22 Nov13 Nov02 (edgell sharon)MUSARRO JOE 126 10.00    
SCR  JACKYS BACK Feb04 Jan20 Dec16 Oct03 Aug25 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 126 10.00    
SCR  ONE ACE         (demeritte larr)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.