Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(4/2/5)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1)-(4/2/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/1/6)-(5/6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/6/3/2)-(2/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2/1)-(5/6/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(2/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(2/4/1/7)-(6/2/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7/5)-(2/4/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(6/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(6/2/3/5)-(7/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5/4)-(6/2/3/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(7/5/4)-(7/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1/8)-(7/4/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(7/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4/5)-(7/1/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTER RAT Jan08 Dec01 Nov16 Aug24 Jul27 (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Jan08 Nov26 Aug16 Jul31 Jun13 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
3  BAQUERO'S BIND Jan08         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
4  THE THREE KS Dec08 Nov24 Jul16 Jun01 May05 (williams m)RIQUELME J 121 5.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  AND FIFTY Jan08 Dec09 Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 (david b)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jan08 Dec02 Nov02 Aug11 Jun22 (klanfer al)ALBERT S 119 3.50 ★    
7  WRONGWAYHIGHWAY Dec22 Apr30 Mar05 Feb21   (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
FG-2   01/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Dec02 Aug18 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 (mouton cha)ALBERT S 117 8.00 ★    
2  IZEONDEC Jan13 Dec18 Nov03 Sep17 Jul31 (barkley jason)PARKER L 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
3  LEROY JENKINS Dec17 Nov26 Oct15 Aug25 Aug11 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
4  MOUNT KENYA Dec22 Jul03 Apr30 Jan29   (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  GOLDEN PEGASUS Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Sep07 Jul24 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  TOP NOTE Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 Nov17 Oct20 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 4.00    
 
FG-3   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVAGE DARLING         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 4.00 7% 14.30    
2  BELLA PALOMA Jan14 Oct12 Sep14 Aug23   (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 3.50    
SCR  SHININ LIKE CHROME         (brown james )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 7% 14.30    
4  CINCO DE CUATRO         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MYSTIC CREED         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  MIKITA         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 7% 14.30    
 
FG-4   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATOR PROUD Jan01 Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 Aug25 (boxie jose)ALBERT S 116 8.00 ★    
1A  AKIANE'S SOLDIER Jan01 Dec09 Nov02 Aug20 Aug05 (boxie joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
2  WHOLELOTTAMO Jan01 Dec10 Nov18 Jun04 Apr15 (gelner ja)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 10% 8.60    
3  BOX OF PICTURES Jan16 Dec04 Jun14 May22 Mar17 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.00 17% 4.70    
4  AVERI EVER AFTER Dec08 Nov19 Aug21 Jul25 Jul04 (duke steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
5  MISHPACHAH Dec29 Dec03 Oct26 Mar26 Mar10 (calhoun william )PARKER L 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  MEDLEY Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Feb05 Jan13 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  BLESSED ANNA Nov25 Jul10 Jun20 May21 Mar05 (faucheux ron)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00    
 
FG-5   01/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL COAXING Dec29 Sep17 Jun19 Jun02 Mar17 (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
2  BLUE JAYS Aug07 Jun26 May28 Apr15 Feb25 (hartman )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  FIRST GLIMPSE Dec18 Nov12 Oct13 Sep07 Aug16 (silva h)PARKER L 121 4.50    
4  MY BARILEY Jan15 Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  SUMMER SPLASH Jan05 Nov23 Nov16 Oct15 Sep17 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 ★    
6  VIM AND VIGOR Dec29 Dec04 Nov03 Sep04 Jul31 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
7  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 Oct20 Oct06 (catalano wa)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 9% 10.40    
8  DIRECT ORDER Dec29 Dec17 Nov27 Oct07 Aug25 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAICI Oct12 Sep17 Aug14 Jul02 Jun09 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 119 8.00    
2  FROG TOWN Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 Oct13   (claire alexis)PARKER L 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
3  BIG BEEMSTER Jan06 Dec19 Nov09 Oct02 Sep24 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 10% 9.30    
4  MACHINE GUN MAN Dec26 Nov27 Oct21     (alonzo howard)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 ★    
5  TIZ THE BIG ONE Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 Jun26 (alberto anton)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  EYEING CLOVER Dec31         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
7  BORN FLAWLESS Dec09 Nov19 Oct13 Sep23   (heitzma)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL KINGDOM Dec04 Oct14       (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of STARINTHEMEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
2  AMERICAN DOLLARS Dec04 Oct05 Sep07 Aug13   (stewart dall)CARROLL DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SILKS AND TASSELS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  F T W SLAM Dec26 Nov25 Nov03     (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of DEBBIE ANN by POSSE)
4  JOEY'S GAME         (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JOE'S SON JOEY out of SEFAS LIGHT by SEFAPIANO)
5  I DON'T VENMO Jan12 Dec22 Nov19     (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 7% 12.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of SAVVIEST by EL CORREDOR)
6  CAJUN CONNECTION Jan12 Dec22 Dec04 Nov11 Oct20 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
7  SLICK AND FAST Jan12 Dec10       (david b)PARKER L 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  SACRED NATION Aug18 Aug03       (woodley j)MELANCON G 120 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MY GAL CHARLENE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
SCR  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jan13 Dec01 Nov11     (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  INDEFENSIBLE TOWN Nov10 Oct20 Aug18     (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ZADA RAE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  OWEN THE ICE MAN Jan07 Dec22 Dec01 Sep17 Aug13 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
 
FG-8   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEUTRALIZE Dec26 Nov23       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 9% 10.30    
2  MYSTIC STORM Oct14 Sep23       (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
3  TAYLORS TAP Dec02 Nov11 Jul23     (gelner j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
4  IT TAKES HEART Dec29 Dec04 Nov03 Jul08 May19 (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  SAENZ Dec19 Nov19 Oct13 Sep18   (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 4.00 9% 10.20    
6  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Jan16 Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 Sep16 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00    
7  BRU NA BOINNE Dec23 Nov26 Oct30     (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
8  FLAMAND Dec26 Oct28 Oct06 Aug30 Aug06 (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 ★    
 
FG-9   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMBOURINE STAR Jan05 Dec15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  FLOWER CAT Dec27 Nov25       (ingram steve)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
3  PEANUT N IKE Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 Aug29 Aug10 (rosier charles)CULP BRIANNE 116 20.00    
4  BANKROLL Jan07 Dec15 Nov02 Sep15 Feb10 (scherer t)MELANCON G 121 8.00 6% 16.10    
5  HELAIRE Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Sep18 Aug30 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 ★    
6  HARD FOUR Dec15 Nov24       (david b)PARKER L 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
7  FIELD OF VISION Jan01 Dec11 Nov25     (courville)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
8  GOLDEN SOPO Jan12 Dec28 Dec15 Nov23   (west hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.