Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIXWILLBERICH Nov06         (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 9% 9.80    
2  MO THAN LUCK         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★    
3  EE YAH Sep18 Aug25 Jun04     (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  SECOND AND REED Oct28 Oct02       (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
5  BEAR'S CORRECT Nov20 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 Jul15 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
6  WAVE ACTION         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 ★    
7  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Nov27 Nov06 Sep21 Sep03 Aug05 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.50 15% 5.50    
 
AQU-2   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGLIANO Oct28 Sep16 Aug20 Jul04 Jun17 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
2  BRISKY FROLIC Oct14 Apr09 Feb13 Jan02   (jaco)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  SA FORADADA Nov11 Aug29 Jun26     (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 121 2.50 16% 5.40    
4  RACING COLORS Oct27 Sep04 Aug05 Jul02 Jun02 (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  DAME CINCO Oct28 Oct06 Sep23 Aug11 Apr28 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 ★    
6  DANCING SOPHIA Nov17 Oct15 Sep17 Jul28 Jul04 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN THE RULES Nov18 Jul04       (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 ★    
2  DEE BO Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 Sep05 Aug17 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  MIAMI CHROME Nov28 Nov15 Oct24 Oct11 Sep19 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) Oct27 Sep30 Aug31 Jul04   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 ★    
5  CASALSA Sep01 Aug17 Jul10 May19 Apr08 (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
6  POPPY'S PRIDE Oct21 Jun17 May20 Apr30 Mar25 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 14% 6.00    
7  NINTH HOUR Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 Aug31 Jul20 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-4   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER Nov21 Oct25 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 (bree)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOOD SKATE Sep29 Aug07 Jul04 May21 Apr08 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 118 2.50 ★    
3  SEANAN Nov16 Oct31 Sep21 Sep03 Jul29 (sells ra)DAVIS A 123 12.00    
4  JAY'STALKER Nov10 Oct02 Aug05     (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Oct23 Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
6  SWIFT TAP Nov19 Oct22 Aug27 Aug03 Jul01 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 35% 1.80    
7  VOLIERO Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Jul22 Jun09 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 10% 9.30    
 
AQU-5   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHEEL Nov22 Nov09 Oct03 Sep14 Aug23 (barrow pa)VARGAS A 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  READY TO MARCH Nov20 Oct27 Aug31 Aug03 Apr04 (chapman james)OLVER MADISON 108 15.00    
3  BRUNATE Nov20 Oct27 Jul17 Jun04 May05 (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
4  JADE'S DREAM Nov04 Oct18 Oct06 Sep23 Sep04 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50    
5  A HUGE CHECKPOINT Nov22 Oct31 Oct09 Sep12 Aug15 (breed)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAJESTIC TIGER Oct28 Oct06 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
7  MOTION TO STRIKE Nov20 Oct23 Jul03 Jun05 May19 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 5.00 ★    
8  SPECTATORLESS Dec01 Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
9  STORM SHOOTER Nov13 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
AQU-6   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGNING CHICK Nov27 Oct25 Sep22 Jul21 Apr10 (noda o)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  FUNWHILEITLASTED Nov13 Oct13 Sep23 Aug17 Jul09 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  RUN UP THE SCORE Nov18 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jul17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
4  SHE'S GOT GAME Nov07 Oct14 Aug26 Aug03 Jul19 (davis d)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUSIC AMORE Oct14 Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 Jun06 (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
6  TRADE SECRET Nov13 Oct20 Sep10 Jul31   (begg)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  MY FIRST LOVE Nov13 Nov01 Oct10 Sep05 Aug07 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
8  MASABEEH Nov17 Oct06 Sep01 Aug05 Jun19 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
9  VALLARAND Nov13 Oct13 Jul15     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-7   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAR FOURTEEN Nov18 Oct10 Sep24 Aug03 Jul15 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCILLY CAY Nov10 Oct27 Sep16 Aug06 Jun10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  BREW PUB Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 Aug21 Jul24 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00    
4  WHO HOO THATS ME Oct30 Sep23 Aug26 Jul08 May30 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  COLORMEPAZZI Oct15 Sep20 Aug27 Jul31 Jul08 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
6  BOLD JOURNEY Nov13 Oct01 Aug27 Jul31 Apr01 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 ★    
7  EXCELLENT TIMING Sep23 Aug26       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
8  SILVER SEEKER Nov06         (lacroix )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
AQU-8   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETSY BLUE Dec03 Oct30 Sep16 Aug14 Jul20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  HOT PEPPERS Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun12 Mar27 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
3  SNICKET Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jun26 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
SCR  DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA Oct30 Oct23 Sep24 Aug01 Jul03 (gaudet lace)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00 ★    
5  SMASH TICKET Oct22 Sep24 Jul20 May30   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  DISCO EBO Nov21 Oct07 Aug22 Jul16 Mar08 (reid e)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
7  BEGUINE Nov13 Oct07 May20 Apr02 Mar05 (allard t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 7% 13.90    
 
AQU-9   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMPBELITO         (quick pa)DAVIS A 119 15.00 ★    
2  AMERICAN GRANT         (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 ★    
3  QUICK CHAOS Jul29 Jun24       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  MICHAEL LEIS Oct16 Aug26       (make)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 20.00    
5  LITTLE LUCA Jun24         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 ★    
6  WHAT'S UP BRO Nov12         (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
7  FERRIS MULER         (hosang olive)HARKIE K 119 15.00    
8  PERFECT OUTCOME         (willia)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
9  FOUR EYES Nov02         (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
10  CONNECT THE BROCKS Nov02         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.