Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(7/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/4)-(7/3/8/5)-(3/4/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-2   WIN (7/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/5)-(3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/5)-(3/4/2/6)-(5/7/2/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6)-(5/7/2/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6)-(5/7/2/11)-(5/6/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-4   WIN (5/7/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/11)-(5/7/3/4/2/11/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/11)-(5/7/3/4/2/11/9)-(5/7/3/4/2/11/9) 120 $0.50 $60.00 
    DD (5/7/2/11)-(5/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/11)-(5/6/8/7)-(1/6/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-5   WIN (5/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/7)-(1/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/7)-(1/6/5/3)-(13/1/11/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(13/1/11/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(13/1/11/9/7)-(3/2/1/10/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (13/1/11/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/1/11/9/7)-(13/1/11/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/1/11/9/7)-(13/1/11/9/7)-(13/1/11/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/1/11/9/7)-(3/2/1/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-8   WIN (3/2/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/10/11)-(3/2/1/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/10/11)-(3/2/1/10/11)-(3/2/1/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/05/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH ENOUGH May16 Apr24 Mar01 Jan25 Nov23 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
SCR  FLICKER (GB) May16 Mar05 Jan25 Dec04 Oct20 (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00    
3  PAVED IN GOLD May15 Apr30 Apr06 Mar12 Feb17 (newton troy)TORRES A 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  BEER WITH ICE Apr29 Jul28 Jul04 May24 Apr27 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHISKEY OR WINE May11 Apr13 Mar16 Mar01 Feb05 (campbell joel)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00    
6  JR'S GIFT Apr24 Mar29 Feb15 Jan25 Dec21 (wiggins lon)LANERIE J 124 12.00 8% 10.90    
7  SOLID LEFT May09 Apr12 Feb27 Jan26 Dec28 (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
8  FARLEY HALL May16 Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 (miller peter)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.50    
 
CD-2   06/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVEN HOPE May11 Apr19 Mar01 Feb08 Jan11 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 5.00    
2  EMBER Apr19 Mar29 Feb06 Jan10 Nov20 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 2.50    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION May11 Apr19 Mar29 Jan05 Dec06 (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  METATRON'S MUSE May23 Apr26 Feb01 Jan01 Nov29 (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
5  KHOZY MY BOY May10 Apr24 Mar15 Feb14 Jan26 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHAKIN LOOSE May10 Apr09 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 (molloy thomas)SHEEHY DANIEL 118 20.00    
7  SPYCRAFT May17 Apr24 Dec27 Dec06 Nov16 (manley steve)CEDILLO ABEL 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  SHOT OF COURAGE May03 Apr11 Mar30 Feb23 Dec18 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   06/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTRAGEOUSLY Mar08 Jan05 Dec01 Nov03 Apr30 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
SCR  ALL ABOUT ALICE Jul09 Jun06 May11     (kinmon keith)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUNDANCE FEATURE Apr26 Jun05 May03 Mar28   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 43% 1.30    
4  SAM'S TREASURE Apr25 Aug29 Jul19 Jun07 Apr05 (ward a)LANERIE J 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  OUR KEEPSAKE Apr26 Apr12 Mar14 Dec27 Nov24 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.50    
SCR  ELEGANT May15 Apr16 Jun13 May11 Mar24 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLANET CLARE Dec18 Nov17 Oct03 Sep14 Aug24 (antonucci je)TORRES A 123 12.00    
 
CD-4   06/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAR SCARLETT Apr16 Aug05 Jun18     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BUTTERNUT BLOOMERS by CURLIN)
2  EVERLOVING Mar09 Feb15 Dec29 Dec01 Nov02 (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARWA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
3  TEMPTING EVE May10 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 Jan17 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TEMPTING OUR FATE by ACCLAMATION (GB))
4  DIAGRAM Nov02 Oct10 Sep08 Aug10   (calhoun will)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of RAISON D'ETRE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  MAGIC ESCAPADE Apr16         (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DON'T LEAVE ME by LEMON DROP KID)
6  MCLAUGHLIN Mar06 Feb06       (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ITSAGIANTCAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  THATSALRIGHTMAMA Aug29         (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUN STUDIO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  SPLIT SUCCESS Sep26         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of ANNIE AND CAROLINE by VERRAZANO)
9  MAGICAL DAY Apr24 Dec29 Nov17     (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
10  TICKIN TIME BLONDE Apr24 Feb08 Dec24 Nov17 Oct24 (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
SCR  ONE FRONT WAR Mar21 Feb14 Oct23 Aug31 Jul11 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SINGLE SOLUTION by FLATTER)
SCR  STAR BLESSING (IRE)         (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LIKE A STAR by LIKE A SOLDIER)
SCR  POWERWASHED Aug29 Aug04       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LONG APPROACH by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  LADY OF LIGHT May11 Mar30       (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of D J'S FAVORITE by UNION RAGS)
 
CD-5   06/05/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER GAME May09 Mar16 Feb15 Jul21 Jun19 (sweezey ke)MONCADA IRVING 113 3.50    
2  LIAM THE BRAVE May16 Apr19 Mar22 Jan29 Dec13 (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00    
3  W W CRAZY May16 Apr24 Feb24 Jan24 Dec14 (calhoun willia)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
4  HEY BOSS May03 Mar15 Feb08 Jan24 Nov27 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
5  HARVARD Apr29 Mar05 Feb08 Dec26 Nov21 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
6  ASMODEUS May16 Apr26 Jan25 Dec21 Nov10 (miller pe)TORRES A 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  SANT' ANTIMO May16 Mar29 Mar12 Feb26 Feb01 (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 7% 14.00    
8  NIKOLAOU Apr29 Mar15 Feb28 Feb01 Dec02 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
CD-6   06/05/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING BEACHY Apr26 Mar15 Jan25 Nov23 Oct09 (casse nor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  FAIRE PLAISIR May11 Apr26 Mar28 Mar06 Feb06 (king barr)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00    
3  PURLOIN Apr23 Jan23 Jun06 Apr12 Feb09 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ENSORCELL Apr26 Mar16 Feb17 Jan05 Dec06 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  STARINA May08 Mar27 Jan20 Dec28 Oct08 (catalano way)MONCADA IRVING 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  EAST SHORE May15 Mar12 Dec26 Dec01 Oct23 (sweezey kent)LANERIE J 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  FORESEEN May11 Apr10 Feb15 Oct17 Aug10 (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60    
 
CD-7   06/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A TEMPEST Apr25 Feb22 Dec13 Nov17 Mar09 (mott william)TORRES A 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  BEST CUPCAKE Apr15 Mar13 Dec19 Nov28 Oct04 (lauer michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00    
3  BLUE SQUALL Dec22 Nov28 Oct30 Sep25 Jul29 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
4  HIDEKI May01 Feb28 Jan30 Aug19 Jul21 (walsh d)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
5  HIGH FASHION KATE May01 Apr10 Mar15 Feb13 Dec18 (salas marce)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
6  GIRLS WEEKEND Apr26 Feb06 Dec22 Nov10 Sep25 (beckman d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 6.00    
7  CART GIRL SAM May01 Aug02 Jun23 May26 Oct22 (crichton )LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  OUT TOO LATE (GB) May01 Apr10 Mar08 Feb02 Jan04 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
9  NIKI NINE DOORS May01 Oct04 Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
10  PAINT ME PERFECT May11 Mar18 Feb16 Dec22 Nov23 (lovell michelle)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
SCR  SATIN BLUE May15 Apr16 Nov10 Oct20 Sep01 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Apr18 Mar22 Feb01 Dec12 Oct19 (dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00    
SCR  MISS BODACIOUS (GB) Mar22 Feb23       (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  HILLERITO Apr27 Sep07 Jul17 May19   (jacobson d)HUSBANDS J 116 6.00    
 
CD-8   06/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANCIENT HISTORY         (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BATTLE SCHOOL         (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Feb22 Jan11 Oct17 Sep19 Aug24 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  INCREDIBLE Oct23 Sep23 Sep10     (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
5  EXCELLENT CHANCE Jun27         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
6  ROCK IT Apr13         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
7  TOUGH CUSTOMER May22 Apr13 Mar14 Feb14   (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
8  DU MONDE Apr23 Mar27 Mar05 Dec07 Nov02 (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 119 15.00    
9  IMPROBABLE LUCK Apr19 Mar15       (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00    
10  FLICK (GB) Apr17 Mar20       (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  MAJOR LEAGUE         (brion ker)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEGEND OF BOBBY C May15 Apr24 Mar01     (greenhill j)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.