Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (5/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $26.80 $26.80 18.80
FG-2   Win (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
FG-3   Win (11/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $15.20  
FG-4   Win (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.60  
FG-5   Win (4/11/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
FG-6   Win (9/2/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $18.00  
FG-7   Win (8/6/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $29.00  
FG-8   Win (6/7/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUDE DROP KID 3 1 49 410 4 2½ 1 (foster josep)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 18% 4.50 12.40 W
PURRRFECT RHYTHM 1 5 512 616 514 55 2 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 121 2.00 3.50  
MY PAL SWEET 4 3 11 1½ 2nk 1½ 3 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 7.90  
SLICK AND FAST 2 2 3 35 33 3½ 4 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 22% 3.60 3.80  
CATCHIN DRAMA 6 7 714½ 718½ 717½ 610 511½ (morrell cynthia)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 37.20  
GO BROTHER GO 7 4 612½ 516 617 713 613¾ (munoz yovani)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
CITY OF LOVE 5 6 21 2½ 1nk 4 719 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 30% 2.40 0.90  
 
FG-2   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHI TOWN HUSTLER 5 1 1 13   13 1½ (wilson shane)TORRES A 121 3.50 16% 5.10 3.50 W
PRINCE JAMES 2 5 3 23   23 2½ (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 1.60  
FLASHY PREMO 1 4 7 711½   69 35 (morrell cynth)ASTUDILLO FELIX 118 50.00 77.00  
PADDY'S HOUSE 7 2 53 57   38 4 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 10.00 9.20  
B W P SPIRIT 6 8 6 6   710 510½ (gelner scott)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 32% 2.10 6.60  
MISCHIEF JOKE 3 3 42 47   5 613¼ (cuccia j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 6.00 15% 5.60 7.70  
SUPREMELY 4 6 2 35   48 713½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 3.70  
MARK THE MOOSE 8 7 810½ 816½   815½ 822¼ (terre david)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
 
FG-3   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :493 1:141 1:272   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANY ROAD 3 1 67 7 32 3½ 1hd (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 6.60  
11  EZ TREE ATES 10 7 5 5 4 4¾ 2hd (casse w)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 45% 1.20 1.00 P
CLASSIC EMBRACE 1 2 12 11 11 1nk 31 (jeansonne justin)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
10  ACOUSTICAT 9 4 4 32 21 2nk 4 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50 5.70  
BLUSHING KAM 5 9 8 6 7 5 512 (hartman chri)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.00 28% 2.60 10.20  
GOLDEN BONITA 4 3 22 4 6 710¼ 617½ (guillory jr)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 9.80  
SELL THE BUFFALO 7 8 910¼ 99 810 812¾ 719¼ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 14.00  
EMBRASSER 8 5 32 21 5 6 820 (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
GOUVERNATRICE 2 10 7 8 915 924¾ 935 (lopez elias)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 30.00 99.00  
IZAR 6 6 1022¼ 1024 1030 1049¾ 1084 (constantine caro)CHAVEZ ORIEL 117 30.00 97.10  
SCR  CHEVAL B               (lopez elias)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SCR  FREEDOM FOREVER               (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
 
FG-4   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DEAL ME ACES 1 3 1nk 1   1nk 1hd (wong jonathan)TORRES A 121 5.00 2.80  
MUNNINGS CATSLE 2 1 31 3   2nk 2hd (foster jose)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5.20  
DIXIE STREET 6 6 5 4   3 3 (ducoing j)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 15% 5.60 12.00 S
TOTALLY ADDICTED 3 8 6 67   46 44 (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 7.80  
HALF AGAIN 7 5 7 7   7 5 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 6.00 8.70  
RISKY PRIORITY 4 4 43 5   6 611¼ (terre david)THORNTON G 121 6.00 35% 1.90 10.80  
DREWMAZING 8 7 8 8   811 712 (schwandt emi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 16% 5.30 4.30  
LOVELY SASSICAIA 5 2 2nk 2   57 814½ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 3.50  
 
FG-5   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:133 1:261   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC CLAIRE 4 2 41 3 1nk 13 1 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 53% 0.90 6.30 W
PULA 6 7 63 7 3 23 2 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 P
BELLE CHERIE 8 5 5 43 4 33 3 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 3.00 1.00 S
11  MAX'S REDEMPTION 11 8 8 10 6 5 4 (cox h)THORNTON G 114 3.50 24% 3.10 5.00  
STORMS OF LIFE 7 9 11 11 8 6 5 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
PEAK EARNINGS (GB) 5 1 1½ 11 2nk 45 610¼ (forster gran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 13.40  
10  SUNDAY TIFF 10 10 10 8 7 710½ 715¾ (morley thomas)TORRES A 122 6.00 12.80  
TABOR TIME 3 4 3½ 21 5 810¾ 816 (jeansonne justin)MCMAHON J 122 20.00 62.00  
SIGNING 1 12 12 12 10 916¾ 923 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 84.80  
CURLS NITE OUT 2 3 7 9 11 1016¾ 1030 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 114 12.00 39.30  
SUPER STORMY 9 11 9 6 9 1119¾ 1134½ (schmidt denise)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 ######  
12  I'M BLEU TOO 12 6 2½ 54 1213½ 1224¼ 1236¾ (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 27.70  
SCR  MAIRSILS FIRST               (west henry)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC               (richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONEJO CHAPIN 7 5 6 31   1nk 1 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 117 6.00 8.00  
WICKED AS HAGGART 9 2 31 1nk   2nk 2 (margolis r)RIQUELME J 117 3.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
THE WICKED CAT 2 3 11 2nk   3 3 (stall alber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 22% 3.40 5.00 S
10  HARD LINE 10 10 11 11   68 410 (bourgeois ke)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00 13.00  
BLAME ME SERIOUSLY 4 6 4 42   4 510 (wilson shane)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00 6% 15.90 13.00  
REGATTA BAY 3 4 10 10   7 610¼ (broussard jervon)CURTIS BEN 125 15.00 18.70  
CAJUN COASTER 6 8 7 7   57 710¾ (gelner jayde)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 38.20  
WATCHINGTIME 1 9 9 88   8 812 (sanchez juan )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 20% 4.00 10.40  
NATIVE RED 8 1 21 5   910 918¾ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
11  POLITICAL AGENDA 11 11 8 9   1012 1020 (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 117 12.00 17.90  
AMERICAN GUY 5 7 5 65   1114 1130¾ (breaux samuel)TORRES A 117 20.00 79.00  
 
FG-7   02/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:141 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED D'ORO 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 1hd (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 13.50  
JUST BETTER 6 3 21 2nk 2nk 2½ 2hd (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 3.00 26% 2.90 2.70 P
PAINT ME PERFECT 9 7 64 5 5 4 3 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 8.60  
SABALENKA 2 6 8 8 9 75 42 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 3.00  
CLASSIC PERFORMER 3 2 42 4 4 32 5 (forster gran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 17.20  
CAIRO DREAM 1 5 54 64 7 6 63 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
PAST TENSE 7 4 3 3½ 3 5 7 (morley thoma)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.30  
FEDERALISM 8 9 97 96 6 86 8 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 40% 1.50 5.70  
SWEET ALYSSA 5 10 108 10 10 1010 9 (husak gary )HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
10  THEREARENORULES 10 8 75 7 8 9 1010 (schultz lindsa)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 16.80  
SCR  BA DEE YAH               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  EMILYHASHERTURN               (wong jonatha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 20.00    
SCR  GIN GIN               (cox h)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
SCR  I HAD THAT ONE TOO               (mcgee paul)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SCR  MERCY WARREN               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVARRIAN 5 2 11 11 1 16 1 (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.40 60% 0.70 0.60 W
WITCHOLOGY 2 3 3 21 2 26 2 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 125 6.00 5% 19.00 11.50 P
CONTRABAND EARLY 6 9 8 53 3 38 310¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.50 14% 6.00 4.10 S
ARIES HONOR 3 4 4 4 48 410½ 413¼ (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
VALID EARLY 1 11 1111¾ 109 813½ 518½ 521 (ladner j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 30.00 ######  
ASTROLOGY WONOWON 8 1 21 3 510 720½ 629 (patt roland)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 5% 19.00 60.40  
12  YOU GOOD 11 5 52 63 611½ 620½ 729¼ (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 10.00 14.30  
10  REXINATOR 9 8 74 85 915 822½ 832¾ (hatcher natha)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00 27.50  
11  LAST RESOLVE 10 6 6 7 713 923½ 950 (duhon josep)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 20.00 87.00  
IWANNABEAMACHOMAN 4 7 9 1110 1025 1035½ 1056¾ (david b)RIQUELME J 117 15.00 25.50  
STAR ROUGE 7 10 10 98 1125½ 1138½ 1163¼ (wilson shane)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 20.00 74.30  
SCR  FLAMINGTHUNDERBIRD               (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 125 30.00    
SCR  GREATIZLOVE               (latour nicholas)PEREZ CARLOS 112 20.00    
SCR  IRON FORTUNE               (zenon charle)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.