Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $26.80 $18.80 235%
FG-2   WIN (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    DD (5/2/3/7)-(6/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-5 $61.50 $45.50 284%
FG-5   WIN (4/11/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $14.60 $6.60 83%
    EXA (4/11/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-6 $47.00 $31.00 194%
    TRI (4/11/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-6-8 $81.20 $57.20 238%
    SFT (4/11/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  4-6-8-11 $130.89 $121.29 1263%
Simulator Race results
 
FG-1   02/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUDE DROP KID 3 1 49 410 48½ 2½ 11¾ (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 18% 4.50 12.40 W
1  PURRRFECT RHYTHM 1 5 512 616 514 55 21¾ (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.00 3.50  
4  MY PAL SWEET 4 3 11 1½ 2nk 1½ 33½ (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 7.90  
2  SLICK AND FAST 2 2 34½ 35 33 3½ 43¾ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 22% 3.60 3.80  
6  CATCHIN DRAMA 6 7 714½ 718½ 717½ 610 511½ (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 37.20  
7  GO BROTHER GO 7 4 612½ 516 617 713 613¾ (munoz yovan)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
5  CITY OF LOVE 5 6 21 2½ 1nk 44½ 719 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 30% 2.40 0.90  
 
FG-2   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHI TOWN HUSTLER 5 1 11½ 13   13 1½ (wilson shane)TORRES A 121 3.50 16% 5.10 3.50 W
2  PRINCE JAMES 2 5 31½ 23   23 2½ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 1.60  
1  FLASHY PREMO 1 4 77½ 711½   69 35 (morrell cyn)ASTUDILLO FELIX 118 50.00 77.00  
7  PADDY'S HOUSE 7 2 53 57   38 48½ (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 10.00 9.20  
6  B W P SPIRIT 6 8 65½ 69½   710 510½ (gelner sco)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 32% 2.10 6.60  
3  MISCHIEF JOKE 3 3 42 47   58½ 613¼ (cuccia j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 6.00 15% 5.60 7.70  
4  SUPREMELY 4 6 21½ 35   48 713½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 3.70  
8  MARK THE MOOSE 8 7 810½ 816½   815½ 822¼ (terre dav)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
 
FG-3   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :493 1:141 1:272   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROMANY ROAD 3 1 67 74½ 32 3½ 1hd (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 6.60  
11  EZ TREE ATES 10 7 54½ 53½ 43½ 4¾ 2hd (casse w)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 45% 1.20 1.00 P
2  CLASSIC EMBRACE 1 2 12 11 11 1nk 31 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
10  ACOUSTICAT 9 4 43½ 32 21 2nk 43¾ (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50 ★ 5.70  
6  BLUSHING KAM 5 9 87¾ 64½ 79½ 57¾ 512 (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.00 28% 2.60 10.20  
5  GOLDEN BONITA 4 3 22 42½ 66½ 710¼ 617½ (guillory j)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 9.80  
8  SELL THE BUFFALO 7 8 910¼ 99 810 812¾ 719¼ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 14.00  
9  EMBRASSER 8 5 32 21 53½ 68¾ 820 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
3  GOUVERNATRICE 2 10 77½ 88½ 915 924¾ 935 (lopez elias)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 30.00 99.00  
7  IZAR 6 6 1022¼ 1024 1030 1049¾ 1084 (constantine ca)CHAVEZ ORIEL 117 30.00 97.10  
SCR  CHEVAL B               (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SCR  FREEDOM FOREVER               (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
 
FG-4   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DEAL ME ACES 1 3 1nk 11½   1nk 1hd (wong jonatha)TORRES A 121 5.00 2.80  
2  MUNNINGS CATSLE 2 1 31 31½   2nk 2hd (foster jo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5.20  
6  DIXIE STREET 6 6 53¼ 44½   34½ 33¾ (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 15% 5.60 12.00 S
3  TOTALLY ADDICTED 3 8 64¾ 67   46 44 (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 ★ 7.80  
7  HALF AGAIN 7 5 76¾ 78½   79½ 59½ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 6.00 8.70  
4  RISKY PRIORITY 4 4 43 55½   68½ 611¼ (terre david)THORNTON G 121 6.00 35% 1.90 10.80  
8  DREWMAZING 8 7 86¾ 89½   811 712 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 16% 5.30 4.30  
5  LOVELY SASSICAIA 5 2 2nk 21½   57 814½ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 3.50  
 
FG-5   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:133 1:261   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLASSIC CLAIRE 4 2 41 31½ 1nk 13 12¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 53% 0.90 6.30 W
6  PULA 6 7 63 74½ 31½ 23 22¾ (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 P
8  BELLE CHERIE 8 5 51½ 43 41¾ 33 33¼ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 ★ 1.00 S
11  MAX'S REDEMPTION 11 8 84¼ 106¼ 64¼ 56½ 43¼ (cox h)THORNTON G 114 3.50 24% 3.10 5.00  
7  STORMS OF LIFE 7 9 117¾ 118¼ 86¼ 69½ 59¼ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
5  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) 5 1 1½ 11 2nk 45 610¼ (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 13.40  
10  SUNDAY TIFF 10 10 105¾ 85½ 74¾ 710½ 715¾ (morley thoma)TORRES A 122 6.00 12.80  
3  TABOR TIME 3 4 3½ 21 54¼ 810¾ 816 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 122 20.00 62.00  
1  SIGNING 1 12 128¼ 129¾ 109¼ 916¾ 923 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 84.80  
2  CURLS NITE OUT 2 3 73¼ 95¾ 119½ 1016¾ 1030 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 114 12.00 39.30  
9  SUPER STORMY 9 11 95¾ 64½ 98¼ 1119¾ 1134½ (schmidt denise)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 ######  
12  I'M BLEU TOO 12 6 2½ 54 1213½ 1224¼ 1236¾ (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 27.70  
SCR  MAIRSILS FIRST               (west henry)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC               (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CONEJO CHAPIN 7 5 62¼ 31   1nk 13½ (savoie sherman)SINGH R 117 6.00 8.00  
  (by STEALCASE out of SOUTHERN WIND by MUSKET MAN)
9  WICKED AS HAGGART 9 2 31 1nk   2nk 23½ (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 117 3.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of SIMPLY SWEET by SUPER SAVER)
2  THE WICKED CAT 2 3 11 2nk   32½ 39¼ (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 22% 3.40 5.00 S
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of GRANDMA'S RULES by ORIENTATE (GB))
10  HARD LINE 10 10 117¾ 118¾   68 410 (bourgeois )HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00 13.00  
  (by ONE LINER out of GNACARANO by YOUR EMINENCE)
4  BLAME ME SERIOUSLY 4 6 41¼ 42   44½ 510 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00 6% 15.90 13.00  
  (by BLAME out of SERIOUS STEAM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  REGATTA BAY 3 4 106¾ 108¾   78½ 610¼ (broussard jervon)CURTIS BEN 125 15.00 18.70  
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
6  CAJUN COASTER 6 8 73¾ 76½   57 710¾ (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 38.20  
  (by VEKOMA out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
1  WATCHINGTIME 1 9 95¼ 88   89½ 812 (sanchez jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 20% 4.00 10.40  
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of MABEEITSTIME by MR. MABEE)
8  NATIVE RED 8 1 21 53½   910 918¾ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
  (by CATALINA RED out of CAJUN YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
11  POLITICAL AGENDA 11 11 84¾ 98¼   1012 1020 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 117 12.00 17.90  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MYBIGITALIANFRIEND by UNION RAGS)
5  AMERICAN GUY 5 7 51¾ 65   1114 1130¾ (breaux samue)TORRES A 117 20.00 79.00  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FLORENCE BAKER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
FG-7   02/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:141 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DISTORTED D'ORO 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 1hd (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 13.50  
6  JUST BETTER 6 3 21 2nk 2nk 2½ 2hd (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 3.00 26% 2.90 2.70 P
9  PAINT ME PERFECT 9 7 64 52½ 52¾ 43½ 31¼ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 8.60  
2  SABALENKA 2 6 86½ 85½ 95¼ 75 42 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 3.00  
3  CLASSIC PERFORMER 3 2 42 41½ 41¾ 32 52¼ (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 17.20  
1  CAIRO DREAM 1 5 54 64 74¼ 64½ 63 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
7  PAST TENSE 7 4 31½ 3½ 31½ 54½ 73½ (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.30  
8  FEDERALISM 8 9 97 96 63¾ 86 88½ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 40% 1.50 5.70  
5  SWEET ALYSSA 5 10 108 106¼ 105¾ 1010 99½ (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
10  THEREARENORULES 10 8 75 74½ 84¼ 97½ 1010 (schultz lind)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 16.80  
SCR  BA DEE YAH               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  EMILYHASHERTURN               (wong jonat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 20.00    
SCR  GIN GIN               (cox h)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
SCR  I HAD THAT ONE TOO               (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SCR  MERCY WARREN               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NAVARRIAN 5 2 11 11 13½ 16 17¾ (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.40 60% 0.70 0.60 W
2  WITCHOLOGY 2 3 31½ 21 23½ 26 27¾ (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 125 6.00 5% 19.00 11.50 P
7  CONTRABAND EARLY 6 9 84¼ 53 36½ 38 310¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.50 14% 6.00 4.10 S
4  ARIES HONOR 3 4 41½ 42½ 48 410½ 413¼ (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
1  VALID EARLY 1 11 1111¾ 109 813½ 518½ 521 (ladner j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 30.00 ######  
9  ASTROLOGY WONOWON 8 1 21 31½ 510 720½ 629 (patt rola)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 5% 19.00 60.40  
12  YOU GOOD 11 5 52 63 611½ 620½ 729¼ (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 10.00 14.30  
10  REXINATOR 9 8 74 85 915 822½ 832¾ (hatcher nat)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00 27.50  
11  LAST RESOLVE 10 6 62½ 74½ 713 923½ 950 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 20.00 87.00  
5  IWANNABEAMACHOMAN 4 7 94¼ 1110 1025 1035½ 1056¾ (david b)RIQUELME J 117 15.00 25.50  
8  STAR ROUGE 7 10 104¾ 98 1125½ 1138½ 1163¼ (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 20.00 74.30  
SCR  FLAMINGTHUNDERBIRD               (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 125 30.00    
SCR  GREATIZLOVE               (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 112 20.00    
SCR  IRON FORTUNE               (zenon char)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.