Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/7)-(6/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/7)-(6/5/3/8)-(11/6/2/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/8)-(11/6/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/8)-(11/6/2/9)-(4/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (11/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/2/9)-(11/6/10/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/6/2/9)-(11/6/10/2/9)-(11/6/10/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/6/2/9)-(4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/6/2/9)-(4/8/6)-(4/11/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(4/11/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(4/11/6/7)-(9/2/1/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/11/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/11/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/11/6/7)-(9/2/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/11/6/7)-(9/2/1/4/8)-(8/6/7/5/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (9/2/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/4/8)-(9/2/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/4/8)-(9/2/1/4/8)-(9/2/1/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/1/4/8)-(8/6/7/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/4/8)-(8/6/7/5/1)-(6/7/2/4/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-7   WIN (8/6/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/5/1)-(8/6/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/5/1)-(8/6/7/5/1)-(8/6/7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/7/5/1)-(6/7/2/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/7/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4/9)-(6/7/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4/9)-(6/7/2/4/9)-(6/7/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURRRFECT RHYTHM Dec20 Dec07 Oct26 Jul12 Jun28 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.00    
2  SLICK AND FAST Feb02 Dec20 Mar08 Feb16 Feb03 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  DUDE DROP KID Jan24 Dec15 Nov06 Oct19 Jul23 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
4  MY PAL SWEET Feb05 Dec20 Dec07 Nov09 Jul12 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
5  CITY OF LOVE Jan30 Jan04 Dec12 Jul19 Feb02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
6  CATCHIN DRAMA Feb06 Jul25 May30 Apr24 Apr05 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00    
7  GO BROTHER GO Feb02 Nov23 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 (munoz yovan)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY PREMO Jan05 Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 May16 (morrell cy)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 50.00    
2  PRINCE JAMES Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 Sep29 Sep01 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00    
3  MISCHIEF JOKE Jan03 Dec06 Sep03 Jun24 Jun09 (cuccia j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  SUPREMELY Jan30 Dec28 Dec06 Nov16 Oct16 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
5  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Jan26 Jan03 Dec26 Sep25 Aug21 (wilson shane)TORRES A 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
6  B W P SPIRIT Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 (gelner sco)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
7  PADDY'S HOUSE Jan26 Dec26 Dec06 Nov22 Oct03 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
8  MARK THE MOOSE Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Aug24 (terre dav)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEVAL B Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 Nov04 Sep08 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
2  CLASSIC EMBRACE Jan01 Nov22 Sep24 Aug12   (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOUVERNATRICE Jan03 Dec06       (lopez elias)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 30.00    
4  ROMANY ROAD Jan31 Jan03 Dec22 Dec06 Nov14 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
5  GOLDEN BONITA Feb08 Jan20 Jan03 Dec12 Nov30 (guillory j)RIQUELME J 120 15.00    
6  BLUSHING KAM Jan24 Nov17 Nov06 Sep13   (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  IZAR Jan25         (constantine )MURRAY M 117 30.00    
8  SELL THE BUFFALO Jan04         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
9  EMBRASSER Jan03 Dec15 Oct28 Oct09   (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ACOUSTICAT Jan24 Jan09 Dec15 Nov14 Sep27 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50 ★    
11  EZ TREE ATES Nov21 Oct27 Sep26     (casse w)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  FREEDOM FOREVER Jan03 Dec06 Oct25     (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
 
FG-4   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DEAL ME ACES Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Jul30 Jun29 (wong jonatha)TORRES A 121 5.00    
2  MUNNINGS CATSLE Jan09 Sep18 Sep02 Jun26 May27 (foster jo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
3  TOTALLY ADDICTED Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 Nov24 Jul04 (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 ★    
4  RISKY PRIORITY Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Oct25 (terre david)THORNTON G 121 6.00 35% 1.90    
5  LOVELY SASSICAIA Feb02 Jan09 Dec20 Nov30 Nov14 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
6  DIXIE STREET Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 Nov30 Sep26 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
7  HALF AGAIN Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov15 Aug31 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 6.00    
8  DREWMAZING Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Dec05 Oct23 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
FG-5   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGNING Sep16 Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 May22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
2  CURLS NITE OUT Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 Oct20 Sep26 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 114 12.00    
3  TABOR TIME Jan01 Dec24 Oct18 Sep20 Jul13 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 122 20.00    
4  CLASSIC CLAIRE Jan02 Oct16 Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 53% 0.90    
5  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) Nov28 Oct17 Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
6  PULA Sep13 Aug15 Dec31 Nov24 Nov03 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  STORMS OF LIFE Nov16 Sep28 Sep01 Aug03 Jun01 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BELLE CHERIE Dec20 Oct10 Sep07 Aug17 Jun15 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 ★    
9  SUPER STORMY Dec12 Sep16 Aug14 Jul09 Jun10 (schmidt denise)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
10  SUNDAY TIFF Dec20 Nov30 Oct24 Jul14 Jun16 (morley thoma)TORRES A 122 6.00    
11  MAX'S REDEMPTION Jan30 Jan01 Oct07     (cox h)THORNTON G 114 3.50 24% 3.10    
12  I'M BLEU TOO Oct11 Sep07 Aug02 Oct26 Sep13 (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  MAIRSILS FIRST Jan02 Dec12 Oct14 Jul20 May29 (west henry)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC Jan27 Jan02 Dec12 May24 Apr21 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCHINGTIME Jan27         (sanchez jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of MABEEITSTIME by MR. MABEE)
2  THE WICKED CAT Feb08 Dec14       (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 22% 3.40    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of GRANDMA'S RULES by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  REGATTA BAY Jan31 Jan19 Dec27 Dec08 May02 (broussard jervon)CURTIS BEN 125 15.00    
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
4  BLAME ME SERIOUSLY Jan31 Dec27 Dec23 Nov18   (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00 6% 15.90    
  (by BLAME out of SERIOUS STEAM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  AMERICAN GUY Jan18         (breaux samue)TORRES A 117 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FLORENCE BAKER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  CAJUN COASTER Dec14 Nov23 Oct18     (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
7  CONEJO CHAPIN         (savoie sherman)SINGH R 117 6.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of SOUTHERN WIND by MUSKET MAN)
8  NATIVE RED Jan17 Dec13       (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of CAJUN YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
9  WICKED AS HAGGART Jan18         (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of SIMPLY SWEET by SUPER SAVER)
10  HARD LINE Jan18 Dec14       (bourgeois )HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of GNACARANO by YOUR EMINENCE)
11  POLITICAL AGENDA Oct10         (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 117 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MYBIGITALIANFRIEND by UNION RAGS)
 
FG-7   02/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO DREAM Jan19 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Sep12 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SABALENKA Oct13 Aug29 Aug08 Nov24 Oct15 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
3  CLASSIC PERFORMER Jan25 Jan04 Dec08 Jul25 Jun05 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
4  DISTORTED D'ORO Nov23 Oct12 Sep07 Aug04 Jul08 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
5  SWEET ALYSSA Jan09 Oct29 Oct07 Aug29 Jul28 (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUST BETTER Jun29 May17 Apr12 Feb24 Jan27 (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  PAST TENSE Dec28 Nov28 Oct18 Sep20 Aug18 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
8  FEDERALISM Nov28 Oct20 Jul07 Jul23   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
9  PAINT ME PERFECT Dec22 Nov23 Oct04 Aug26 Jul28 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
10  THEREARENORULES Jan19 Nov10 Oct04 Jul31 Jun10 (schultz lind)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
SCR  I HAD THAT ONE TOO Dec22 Nov14 Oct13 Sep01 Aug14 (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SCR  EMILYHASHERTURN Jan01 Dec19 Nov28 Nov09 Oct18 (wong jonat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 20.00    
SCR  GIN GIN Jan17 May03 Apr06 Mar02 Jan13 (cox h)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
SCR  BA DEE YAH Jan17 Dec22 Jul20 Jun08 Mar30 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  MERCY WARREN Jan19 Nov27 Nov08 Sep15 Jun06 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID EARLY Jan01 Dec20 Nov21 Nov08 Jul30 (ladner billy)MURRAY M 125 30.00    
2  WITCHOLOGY Jan25 Jan03 Dec18 Oct29 Aug23 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IRON FORTUNE Jan01 Dec12 Nov20 Sep23 Aug23 (zenon char)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
4  ARIES HONOR Jan31 Dec27 Dec08 Aug26 Dec31 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  IWANNABEAMACHOMAN Jan02         (david b)RIQUELME J 117 15.00    
6  NAVARRIAN Jan19 Dec08 Jun20 May22 May02 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
7  CONTRABAND EARLY Jan25 Jan03 Jun22 May23 May02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.50 14% 6.00    
8  STAR ROUGE Dec06 Sep16       (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 20.00    
9  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Feb07 Jan15 Jan03 Dec12 Nov26 (patt rola)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  REXINATOR Jan25 Dec28 Nov30 Sep16 Aug31 (hatcher nat)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00    
11  LAST RESOLVE Jan27 Dec28       (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 20.00    
12  YOU GOOD Jan25 Dec16 Nov28     (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 10.00    
SCR  FLAMINGTHUNDERBIRD Jan31 Jan10       (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 125 30.00    
SCR  GREATIZLOVE Jan30 Jan08 Dec21 Dec07 Nov14 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 112 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.