Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TAM-2   Win (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $3.20  
TAM-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.40  
TAM-4   Win (2/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
TAM-5   Win (8/11/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
TAM-6   Win (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
TAM-7   Win (2/3/9/11/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $29.80  
TAM-8   Win (8/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TAM-9   Win (9/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $28.80 $28.80 20.80

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131 1:401   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGGI 3 2 2nk 2 1½ 18 111¾ (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 0.60 43% 1.30 0.40 W
SECORD 2 5 6 5 3 3 211¾ (torres pabl)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 2.50 31% 2.30 6.10 P
WOMANS PEROGATIVE 1 1 5 6 616 412½ 316¾ (smith g)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00 27.60  
NOBLY 6 3 1nk 1 2½ 28 420 (ubide max)TORRES R 122 20.00 17.30  
FORTUNE DREAMS 4 4 33 44 46 516½ 532¾ (lopez rob)VARGAS E 112 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
TRUE HONEY 5 6 4 3 512 626½ 645 (roque e)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00 8.90  
 
TAM-2   03/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECURITYLIGHTNING 6 1 31 2nk   21 11 (o'connell kathl)IORIO MELISSA 120 1.80 0.60  
MADAM PROSECUTOR 1 4 1½ 1nk   11 21 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 4.40  
ART NOUVEAU 7 2 5 3   3 31 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 120 6.00 15% 5.80 7.90 S
ATOMIC HABITS 4 5 4 5   4 4 (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.50 31% 2.20 5.60  
MT. D'ORO 5 3 2½ 4   56 5 (hamm ti)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70 10.40  
E COMPLICATO 2 6 64 6   613 623¾ (ciaio a)FERRER C 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
SUNNY MONDAY 3 7 79 714¾   719 728¾ (drake robert)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00 49.20  
 
TAM-3   03/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS INTERPATATION 4 3 21 2½   21 1½ (hardesty lesliel)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5.70  
WILDCAT MINNY 6 1 11 1½   11 2½ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 18% 4.60 11.70 P
RAN THE RED 5 2 54 3   32 3 (granitz anthony )MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 26% 2.80 1.30 S
LADY COLLECTED 2 5 42 6   55 46 (hernandez enrique)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5.90  
CANTAFIO 3 6 65 4   45 510¼ (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 1.20 2.30  
LITHICA 1 4 31 5   69 620¾ (kintz ma)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 15% 5.50 8.30  
 
TAM-4   03/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:114 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE CHAPALA 4 4 4 32 2nk 1nk 11 (hernandez e)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 10.00 7% 12.50 2.40 W
SULION 5 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 21 (rizo juan)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 39.60  
FROZEN FOUR 3 5 6 64 31 31 3 (barron ror)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 2.80 S
LATIN FORCE 6 8 9 7 4 42 4 (vanwinkle dav)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 4.10  
MUCHOMACHOMAC 2 9 8 9 6 53 5 (kutt m)FERRER C 122 2.00 68% 0.50 2.50  
DOMINATOR C. 1 1 3 4 7 79 611 (baez ralph)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00 32.10  
FIRE BARON 7 7 7 8 8 811 713¼ (paragallo jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
10  KADAR INDY 9 3 2½ 2½ 5 68 813½ (cascallares nestor)BUSH V 122 12.00 27.40  
TIZART 8 6 5 53 9 913 922½ (lopez roberto)HESS SARA 115 30.00 42.50  
SCR  BLUE SKY'S SYL               (wasiluk jr)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
SCR  DETERMINED FREEDOM               (smith craig )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 20.00    
SCR  OCEAN SOUL               (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
SCR  SMEAUXKINITUP               (pimental i)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STOW ON THE WOLD               (carrascojr vic)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
 
TAM-5   03/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:124 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHIRLWIND 8 4 7 6 32 14 14 (hendriks richard)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 46% 1.20 2.20 W
MONEY TRAIL 5 12 1213 1010¼ 7 3 24 (vinson john)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00 P
11  CENTEYA 11 2 4 7 6 24 3 (rodriguez darien)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30 3.80 S
POWER PARTY 3 5 3.2 2 5 4 4 (drake robert)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 80.50  
12  COME A WALTZING 12 9 9 1110½ 9 77 5 (stewart j)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00 11.10  
NEW WAY 4 10 116 8 8 9 612 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 120 4.50 5% 19.00 6.10  
SIP'N' SPEED 1 6 5 5 4 6 713 (hamm ti)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 5.50  
SO MUCH JAZZ 6 1 1nk 1 1nk 5 815½ (carrascojr victor)LEON SONNY 120 30.00 52.50  
FULL EXCHANGE 2 7 6 3 2nk 88 921½ (laurin roger)HESS SARA 113 6.00 5.60  
MY FINE AQUILINE 9 11 10 1212 1211½ 1014¼ 1021¾ (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 12.00 5% 19.00 46.10  
JOJO'S GONE 7 3 2nk 4 10 1116¼ 1126¼ (baxter georgina)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00 18.20  
10  GOGO BOOTS 10 8 8 9 11 1220¼ 1235½ (moysey e)COTTO L 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  BACKSEAT ROMANCE               (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00    
SCR  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR)               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :491 1:141 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T JUMP 6 1 3 42 1nk 1 12 (rodriguez darien)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 6% 14.80 3.00 W
WHISKEY OR WINE 3 4 44 32 6 3 22 (hernandez enriqu)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 40% 1.50 2.30 P
MAMA BANNED ME 4 6 711½ 7 4 4 3 (hernandez enriqu)COTTO L 118 4.00 4.00  
ETERNAL GLORY 1 3 1½ 11 3.2 2 4 (contessa c)HESS SARA 115 12.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
STARSHIP TANGO 7 7 5 6 5 5 5 (ferraro anthon)CASTANON L 118 2.50 28% 2.60 3.30  
SMOOTH PLAYER 2 5 6 5 7 7 612 (avila carlos)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 24.60  
JOSH'S DRAMA 5 2 2½ 21 2nk 66 725¼ (vanwinkle david)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 12.10  
 
TAM-7   03/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:111 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MONGOLIAN APPLE 11 1 11 13 1 1 1 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 119 8.00 13.90  
10  COACHES MEETING 9 4 43 45 43 33 2 (sillaman richard )CENTENO E 119 15.00 12.90  
MY GREAT ILLUSION 3 3 32 3 32 2 3 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 19% 4.20 5.40 S
CAROOM 7 12 12 1110¼ 910 76 4 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 3.30  
ENDLESS REIGN 8 5 54 56 64 4 5 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 17% 4.80 7.20  
11  BOMB CYCLONE 10 8 6 66 54 86 6 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 10.00 7% 14.40 5.00  
SMART STRIKER 2 9 7 7 7 6 7 (pompay ter)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 25% 3.00 5.40  
13  TORO FORWARD 12 2 21 23 2 55 8 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
BRAMBLE BLAZE 1 7 10 8 88 98 99 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 6.00 11.30  
FOOD BANK HELPER 4 10 11 1211¼ 1111¾ 11 10 (mcburney patric)IORIO MELISSA 119 30.00 61.80  
NOT THISTIMERANDY 5 6 96 9 1010¼ 109 1110½ (paterno rob)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00 64.60  
DIAL HIM UP 6 11 8 10 1211¾ 1211½ 1217½ (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 114 12.00 10.40  
SCR  HABERDASHERY               (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 119 30.00    
SCR  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH               (yanez mois)RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO'S VINO MESA 6 3 54 5   4¼ 1¼ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 8% 11.80 1.30 W
AWESOME EMPRESS 7 2 21 2nk   1nk 2¼ (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 50% 1.00 1.80 P
JUST MERCY 5 1 32 33   2nk 3 (agostini arthur)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.00 20% 4.10 3.70 S
HEAVENS EXPRESS 4 6 6 6   63 4 (hernandez enri)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
COMMANDERS PALACE 3 4 11 1nk   3.2 56 (alessi james)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00 41.40  
LADYS CHANT 2 5 4 45   5 67 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 6.00 8.70  
CHANGE ORDER 1 7 7 7   77 719¼ (roque elis)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00 31.00  
SCR  MAIDEN LANE               (hamm ti)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
 
TAM-9   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:113 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A FACT 3 1 42 43 3 3½ 1¼ (smith rob)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40 W
KARTANO 1 5 78 611 7 5 2¼ (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 111 15.00 25% 3.00 3.70 P
HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES 6 2 11 1 11 2nk 2¼ (connelly t)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 38% 1.60 2.30 P
LUCKY CURLIN 2 4 5 57 43 1nk 4¾ (gallegos a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00 2.20 DQ↓5
12  THE BEST DISTANCE 8 6 31 2 21 4 5 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 30.00 37.00  
CATTIN 5 7 6 711¼ 8 7 68 (crichton rohan)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00 5.50  
Q F SEVENTY FIVE 4 8 814 815¼ 68 6 7 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 14% 5.90 7.10  
11  MILLENNIUM CONDO 7 3 21 33 58 814¾ 832¾ (sole)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00 70.30  
SCR  DARK AND FITZY               (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.50    
SCR  ENGLISH PAINTER               (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
SCR  INDY LYON               (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
SCR  POLICY OPTION               (simone v)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  STITZY               (alessi james)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
SCR  WHY NOT ME               (hamm ti)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.