Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(4/5/7/2)-(5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(5/6/1)-(2/4/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/4/7/9)-(8/11/4/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/9)-(2/4/3/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/9)-(2/4/3/7/9)-(2/4/3/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/9)-(8/11/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/9)-(8/11/4/9/5)-(3/7/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/11/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/4/9/5)-(8/11/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/4/9/5)-(8/11/4/9/5)-(8/11/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/11/4/9/5)-(3/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/11/4/9/5)-(3/7/6/1)-(2/3/9/11/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/1)-(2/3/9/11/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/1)-(2/3/9/11/13)-(8/5/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3/9/11/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/11/13)-(2/3/9/11/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/11/13)-(2/3/9/11/13)-(2/3/9/11/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/9/11/13)-(8/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/11/13)-(8/5/6/4)-(9/1/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/4)-(9/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/5)-(9/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/5)-(9/1/7/5)-(9/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMANS PEROGATIVE Feb02 Jan08 Dec24     (smith g)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00    
2  SECORD Mar07 Jan29 Jan03 Nov30 Sep28 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  MIGGI Mar07 Feb09 Jan22 Aug09 Jul19 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 0.60 43% 1.30    
4  FORTUNE DREAMS Mar09 Feb19 Feb07 Jan19 Dec21 (lopez r)VARGAS E 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRUE HONEY Feb19 Jan26 Dec24     (roque)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
6  NOBLY Jan10 Aug11       (ubide max)TORRES R 122 20.00    
 
TAM-2   03/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADAM PROSECUTOR Feb09         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
2  E COMPLICATO         (ciaio a)FERRER C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUNNY MONDAY Dec28         (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
4  ATOMIC HABITS Feb28         (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
5  MT. D'ORO Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21   (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  SECURITYLIGHTNING Feb09 Jan25 Dec11 Sep21 Aug23 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 1.80    
7  ART NOUVEAU Feb21 Oct10 Sep23 Aug27 Jul22 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-3   03/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITHICA Sep20 Jul13 May29     (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
2  LADY COLLECTED Feb26 Feb01 Jan17 Aug31 Aug23 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
3  CANTAFIO Feb12 Feb01 Dec29 Dec20 Dec13 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 1.20    
4  MISS INTERPATATION Feb28 Jan03       (hardesty lesli)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
5  RAN THE RED Mar01 Feb12 Jan03 Nov29 Sep21 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  WILDCAT MINNY Jan17 Oct06 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-4   03/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINATOR C. Dec06 Apr28 Apr14     (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00    
2  MUCHOMACHOMAC Feb09 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Nov01 (kutt m)FERRER C 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
3  FROZEN FOUR Feb14 Jan25 Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 ★    
4  LAKE CHAPALA Feb28 Jan17 Sep14 Sep01 Aug04 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 10.00 7% 12.50    
5  SULION Nov01         (rizo juan)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
6  LATIN FORCE Feb14 Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 Sep28 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00    
7  FIRE BARON Feb28 Jan25 Jan01 Dec06 Nov01 (paragallo jen)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIZART Feb28 Jan07       (lopez rober)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
SCR  SMEAUXKINITUP Feb23 Jan31 Jan10     (pimental john )GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  KADAR INDY Mar01 Feb05 Jan12 Feb02 Jan07 (cascallares nestor)BUSH V 122 12.00    
SCR  STOW ON THE WOLD Feb28 Oct13 Sep15 Jul27 Jun15 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
SCR  BLUE SKY'S SYL Jan10 Mar15       (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 20.00    
SCR  OCEAN SOUL Apr21         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
SCR  DETERMINED FREEDOM Mar09 Feb07 Jan03 Dec11 Nov03 (smith crai)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 20.00    
 
TAM-5   03/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIP'N' SPEED Feb21 Jan04 Sep25 Sep09 Aug14 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
2  FULL EXCHANGE Feb21 Oct26 Sep13 Aug17   (laurin roger)HESS SARA 113 6.00    
3  POWER PARTY Feb26 Aug23       (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
4  NEW WAY Feb16 Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 Aug24 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  MONEY TRAIL Feb28 Feb01       (vinson jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SO MUCH JAZZ Feb26 Sep05 Aug03     (carrascojr victo)LEON SONNY 120 30.00    
7  JOJO'S GONE Sep13         (baxter georgi)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00    
8  WHIRLWIND Dec26 Nov30 Oct20 Sep08   (hendriks richa)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
9  MY FINE AQUILINE Feb26 Feb05 Dec29 Dec11 Nov29 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOGO BOOTS Feb26 Feb09       (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 30.00    
11  CENTEYA Feb16 Dec28 Oct04     (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
12  COME A WALTZING Feb21         (stewart chad)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
SCR  BACKSEAT ROMANCE Feb16 Jan31 Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00    
SCR  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) Feb16 Jan04 Aug14     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETERNAL GLORY Mar09 Feb23 Feb14 Feb07 Jan19 (contessa c)HESS SARA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SMOOTH PLAYER Mar01 Feb15 Feb01 Dec21 Dec06 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
3  WHISKEY OR WINE Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 Oct16 (hernandez enri)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  MAMA BANNED ME Mar02 Feb15 Feb09 Dec14 Nov29 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 118 4.00    
5  JOSH'S DRAMA Mar02 Jan08 Dec27 Sep25 Sep01 (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00    
6  CAN'T JUMP Feb23 Feb05 Apr26 Mar01 Jan28 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 6% 14.80    
7  STARSHIP TANGO Feb09 Jan17 Dec20 Nov12 Jun18 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-7   03/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAMBLE BLAZE Feb05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
2  SMART STRIKER Feb05 Dec29 Sep04 Aug23 Aug11 (pompay t)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  MY GREAT ILLUSION Feb05 Jan08 Dec04 Aug15 Jun08 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
4  FOOD BANK HELPER Feb05 Jan19 Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 119 30.00    
5  NOT THISTIMERANDY Feb26 Feb09 Dec14 Nov23 Nov01 (paterno r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
SCR  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Feb12 Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 Jun30 (yanez mo)RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
7  DIAL HIM UP Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 Jan17 Jan08 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 114 12.00    
8  CAROOM Feb06 Oct06 Aug18 Jun20 May12 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
9  ENDLESS REIGN Feb19 Feb09 Jan22 Dec27 Dec06 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
10  COACHES MEETING Feb05 Dec28 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 15.00    
11  BOMB CYCLONE Feb23 Feb09 Jan17 Dec27 Sep17 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 10.00 7% 14.40    
12  MONGOLIAN APPLE Feb26 Feb05 Mar20 Feb23 Dec31 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 119 8.00    
13  TORO FORWARD Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 Apr19 Apr07 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HABERDASHERY Feb12 Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Nov27 (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE ORDER Feb28 Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 Jan01 (roque eli)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
2  LADYS CHANT Mar07 Feb08 Jan22 Jan05 Dec13 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
3  COMMANDERS PALACE Dec15 Nov02 Oct07 Sep21 Sep07 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
4  HEAVENS EXPRESS Mar01 Jan15 Jan01 Aug17 Jul27 (hernandez en)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUST MERCY Feb19 Feb02 Jan12 Nov27 Oct25 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  MO'S VINO MESA Feb19 Jan25 Dec28 Dec04 Nov20 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  MAIDEN LANE Oct15 Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
8  AWESOME EMPRESS Feb19 Jan18 Dec28 Oct25 Sep15 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-9   03/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARTANO Mar02 Feb21 Jan25 Jan03 Aug10 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 111 15.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  STITZY Feb22 Feb09 Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
SCR  WHY NOT ME Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec24 Nov29 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50    
4  LUCKY CURLIN Feb26 Jan03 Dec07 Jul14 Jun06 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
5  IT'S A FACT Feb23 Feb12 Jan01 Oct27 Sep21 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DARK AND FITZY Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Nov23 Oct06 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.50    
7  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Feb22 Oct16 Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 14% 5.90    
8  CATTIN Feb23 Jul21 Jun21 Apr27 Mar03 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
9  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Mar02 Sep01 Aug12 Jul13 Jun17 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  POLICY OPTION Feb23 Feb08 Jan11 Jan01 Dec24 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
11  MILLENNIUM CONDO Mar07 Sep28 Sep08 Aug10 Jul28 (so)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00    
12  THE BEST DISTANCE Feb23 Jul05 May04 Apr27 Mar30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
SCR  ENGLISH PAINTER Aug23 Aug02 Dec28 Nov10 Aug13 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
SCR  INDY LYON Feb12 Jan04 Nov30 Oct11 Aug17 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.