Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $36.60 $28.60 358%
TAM-2   EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $12.50 $0.50 4%
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-2-5 $35.15 $23.15 193%
    DD (6/8/5/2)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-7 $142.30 $126.30 789%
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.80 $3.80 38%
    EXA (6/3/5/8/2)-(6/3/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-6 $27.20 $7.20 36%
    TRI (6/3/5/8/2)-(6/3/5/8/2)-(6/3/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-5 $45.70 $15.70 52%
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-3 $27.60 $7.60 38%
    PK3 (6/8/5/2)-(7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-7-3 $270.30 $230.30 576%
TAM-4   DD (6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00  3-1 $37.50 $12.50 50%
TAM-5   PK3 (6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4)-(6/14/13/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00  3-1-6 $65.65 $15.65 31%
    PK4 (7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4)-(6/14/13/12) 400 $0.50 $200  7-3-1-6 $228.75 $28.75 14%
    PK5 (6/8/5/2)-(7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4)-(6/14/13/12) 1600 $0.50 $800  5-7-3-1-6 $4784 $3984 498%
TAM-8   WIN (7/4/10/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    EXA (7/4/10/5/6)-(7/4/10/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-7 $21.90 $1.90 10%
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:46
See original race card.
:23 :454 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BLAZING BUCCHERO 5 6 42 2½   1nk 12 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30 W
3  STANLEY CAT 3 4 52 41   3½ 22 (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 8.00 3.40  
8  GRAND PARK VIEW 8 1 31 31   43½ 34¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 2.50 10% 8.90 3.40 S
4  ARROW GHOST 4 3 1½ 1½   2nk 44¼ (paramo martin)HESS SARA 115 5.00 7.60  
7  I'M NO ANGEL 7 2 2½ 52   56½ 513¼ (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 2.50  
6  COASTAL RIVER 6 5 75 75½   710 613½ (ellebracht gary)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 53% 0.90 3.20  
1  RAPID ROY 1 7 64 64½   67½ 714¼ (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00 24.80  
2  WOODELLA 2 8 820 817½   825 840¾ ( )SILVA JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 41.10  
 
TAM-2   12/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:133 1:383   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HEY PADRE 6 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 21½ 1¼ (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 2.50 36% 1.80 2.80 W
2  COURT CONTENDER 2 2 53 53 3½ 11½ 2¼ (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 22% 3.50 1.80 P
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 5 5 42 31½ 2½ 32 33¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00 10% 8.60 20.20 S
1  LEAD OFF 1 3 31½ 42 51½ 53 43¾ (arriagada juan)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 1.20  
3  VINTNER 3 1 1nk 2nk 41 43 55½ (yanez moises )FUENTES MARIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 61.40  
4  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY 4 6 64½ 66 64½ 66½ 610¼ (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 10.20  
SCR  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH               (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
 
TAM-3   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AZURE LADY 3 7 41½ 61½   3½ 11¼ (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 18% 4.60 5.90 W
6  PRACTICALITY 6 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 21¼ (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 44% 1.30 2.70 P
5  SUGAR TREAT 5 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 31¾ (joseph saffie)IORIO MELISSA 118 2.50 16% 5.10 1.10 S
4  DELIZIOSA 4 6 83¼ 51¼   4¾ 42 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50 5.00  
1  CAJUN EXPECTATION 1 9 94¼ 72½   64¼ 57¾ (ramos o)BATISTA A 120 15.00 41.30  
2  MARTHAMAYWHOVIER 2 8 73 82½   53¼ 68½ (wasiluk jr)HESS SARA 113 30.00 5% 19.00 34.10  
8  TRIPLET 8 1 31 41¼   75¾ 714¼ (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00 5% 19.00 89.40  
7  ABOVE THE SKY 7 5 62 93½   86¾ 814¾ (nunez mauric)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00 65.50  
9  BURN THE BREEZE 9 2 51½ 31   99¼ 925 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 4.50 12.00  
 
TAM-4   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :443 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNDIE 1 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 1¾ (maragh col)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 6.00 24% 3.20 1.90 W
2  BAR DOWN EXPRESS 2 5 2nk 1nk   2nk 2¾ (posadas pedro)FERRER C 120 5.00 3.90  
7  NO ANGEL 6 1 41½ 42   31½ 31½ (campbell joel)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 4.10  
5  JOHN'S PROMISE 5 4 63½ 54   65 44¼ (simone v)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 26% 2.90 5.70  
8  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 7 8 74 85¾   54½ 54¼ (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 10% 8.70 4.60  
3  FORWARD MOTION 3 3 3½ 31   44 66¾ (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 4.00 10.40  
4  NUTSIE 4 6 52½ 75¼   78 712½ (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
9  SAHM TEQUILA 8 7 85 65   88½ 812¾ (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 20.00 9% 10.00 56.10  
SCR  LUKAS PRINCE               (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
 
TAM-5   12/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:124 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOMB CYCLONE 6 6 41½ 22 21½ 2nk 11¼ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00 53% 0.90 1.10 W
7  UNSPOKEN REQUEST 7 7 21 32½ 32½ 31 21¼ (fisher david)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00 42.30  
1  MUNGO 1 1 52½ 43½ 43 41¼ 32 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 ★ 3.10 S
8  FROZEN FOUR 8 9 63½ 65 54 52¾ 43¼ (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 12.00 17.60  
2  LENA'S JAZZ 2 4 75 75½ 65 63¼ 54¾ (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 9.00  
10  MYSTIC LUTE 10 10 11 12 11½ 1nk 66½ (fisher david)FERRER C 121 6.00 3.70  
9  SNOVEMBER 9 8 31½ 53½ 75½ 74¼ 76¾ (lerman s)LEON SONNY 124 15.00 36.30  
4  LATIN FORCE 4 5 108¼ 108½ 107½ 107¼ 89¼ (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00 52.30  
3  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 3 2 85¼ 86½ 86½ 86¾ 910 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 124 20.00 26.00  
5  VITTORIANO 5 3 96¾ 97½ 97 97¼ 1013½ (parra hern)ALONSO LUIS 121 30.00 50.80  
SCR  OCALA ROCKET               (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WARD LEADER               (ryan s)FERRER C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIZARDOFEZ               (parra )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WO HOP               (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 121 15.00    
 
TAM-6   12/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHEM MAJOR 5 6 73¾ 53   41 1¼ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00 63% 0.60 2.30 W
9  FACTORBELLA 8 1 52½ 32½   3½ 2¼ (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 5% 18.60 2.60 P
7  QUALIFICATA 6 2 21 21½   2nk 32¾ (gutierrez fau)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 3.80  
5  BUNNY HOP 4 3 11 11½   1nk 45¾ (lopez rober)HESS SARA 113 20.00 22.80  
4  INOUAINTALKINTOME 3 4 42 63¼   64 56¾ (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
8  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE 7 5 63½ 74¾   75 67¼ (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
3  FLAT OUT ROSE 2 7 32 42½   53½ 79 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
2  LADY LALA 1 8 83¾ 85¾   89 815¼ (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 118 3.50 5.10  
SCR  CANT FAKE THE HATE               (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
 
TAM-7   12/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:111 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRAMA CHORUS 5 3 11 1½ 11 11½ 12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00 22.80  
10  CARD TRICK 10 10 31 2½ 21 31½ 22 (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 2.20  
1  NINJA STAR 1 1 52½ 73¼ 63 42½ 32¼ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
2  INCHON 2 8 94¼ 94¾ 84¼ 52¾ 43¼ (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 4.80  
3  SIR SAFFER 3 2 21 31½ 31½ 21½ 53½ (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 12.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
4  SPY NOVEL 4 7 72¾ 63 74 73¾ 64¾ (ramse)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.50 16% 5.40 7.40  
6  BENVOLIO 6 9 105¼ 106¼ 95¾ 63¾ 76 (parra hernan)BATISTA A 118 30.00 95.10  
7  YES THIS TIME 7 4 83¾ 84¼ 52 95 87 (soler edisley)GIL CIPRIANO 121 4.00 7.50  
9  AUSPICIOUS STYLE 9 6 41½ 42 42 84¾ 99 (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 10% 9.30 19.00  
8  WICKED WARRIOR 8 5 62¾ 53 106¾ 108 1012¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 15.00 5% 17.50 60.60  
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE               (simone mich)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 15.00    
 
TAM-8   12/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:12 1:38   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LASTABITLONGER 9 1 13 11 1½ 12½ 13 (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 19% 4.20 4.70 W
  (by VEKOMA out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
7  NO ESCAPE 7 2 23 21 2½ 22½ 23 (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 29% 2.40 1.20 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEEK AND DESTROY by VERRAZANO)
9  BLUE CASANOVA 8 3 811¼ 99 85½ 87¼ 38¾ (barbazoniii lest)LEON SONNY 119 20.00 46.80  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of BLUE MISTRESS by HANDSOME MIKE)
5  G SPEEDY 5 9 912¾ 88½ 63½ 66 49¾ (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 12.00 9% 10.70 10.70  
  (by ENTICED out of SPEED TO VICTORY by BODEMEISTER)
4  REPROCHE 4 5 56½ 63 41½ 34½ 59¾ (pletcher)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 23% 3.40 5.20  
  (by BLAME out of LOVELY MOMENT by EQUAL STRIPES)
6  PICO PLAT 6 4 44 31½ 3½ 55½ 610 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 61.10  
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
2  STEAM POWERED 2 6 66¾ 52½ 74 77 712 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00 35.10  
  (by THE FACTOR out of HARKNESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  MY SATISFACTION 3 7 79¼ 77 96 911¼ 823 (morales guille)COTTO L 119 15.00 63.10  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NEVERTOOMANYKISSES by CHECKLIST)
1  SUCCESSFUL UNION 1 8 33 41½ 52 44½ 9100 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 3.50 2.90  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SWEET SUCCESS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  FELIX SLEW               (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of PRINCESS BERTRANDO by BERTRANDO)
 
TAM-9   12/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:113 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FOXTROT HARRY 7 5 44 43 4¾ 1nk 1¾ (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 ★ 2.10  
6  ROUGH AND ROWDY 6 4 67 66 51¾ 42 2¾ (lopez ro)GIL CIPRIANO 121 12.00 16.20  
1  ENDLESS REIGN 1 2 54 54 61¾ 52½ 31½ (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.50 4.90  
2  HENDRICKSON 2 1 32 32 2½ 2nk 42½ (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 27% 2.80 6.40  
10  PAVONI 9 9 88¼ 76½ 3½ 63 54¼ (ramirez ricard)COTTO L 121 6.00 46% 1.20 3.70 DH
3  ZAINO 3 7 99¾ 98 94 73¼ 54¼ (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.00 DH
5  ART HANDLER 5 8 78 87½ 83¾ 84¼ 75¼ (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
9  ESCAPE KEY 8 6 2½ 2nk 1½ 31 86¼ (aguayo ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 6.50  
4  JOSH'S DRAMA 4 3 1½ 1nk 72¾ 910¼ 920¾ (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00 19.60  
SCR  GUAIO               (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  HARD SPICE               (lusk r)LINDSAY CHAD 115 30.00    
SCR  MAMA BANNED ME               (hernandez enri)COTTO L 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.