Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/5)-(6/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/5)-(6/8/2/5)-(6/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/5)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/5)-(7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/8/2)-(6/3/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/8/2)-(6/3/5/8/2)-(6/3/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/8/2)-(5/1/8/9/4)-(6/14/13/12) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (5/1/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/9/4)-(5/1/8/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/9/4)-(5/1/8/9/4)-(5/1/8/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/8/9/4)-(6/14/13/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/9/4)-(6/14/13/12)-(6/9/3/4/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (6/14/13/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/14/13/12)-(6/14/1/13/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/14/13/12)-(6/14/1/13/12)-(6/14/1/13/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/14/13/12)-(6/9/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/14/13/12)-(6/9/3/4/8)-(1/4/9/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (6/9/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/4/8)-(6/9/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/4/8)-(6/9/3/4/8)-(6/9/3/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/3/4/8)-(1/4/9/8/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/4/8)-(1/4/9/8/3)-(7/4/10/5/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/8/3)-(1/4/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/8/3)-(1/4/9/8/3)-(1/4/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/8/3)-(7/4/10/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/8/3)-(7/4/10/5/6)-(10/2/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (7/4/10/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/5/6)-(7/4/10/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/5/6)-(7/4/10/5/6)-(7/4/10/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/10/5/6)-(10/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/3/5)-(10/2/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/3/5)-(10/2/8/3/5)-(10/2/8/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPID ROY Apr27         (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
2  WOODELLA         (l)SILVA JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  STANLEY CAT         (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
4  ARROW GHOST Nov30 Sep06 Jun09 May26 Apr25 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 115 5.00    
5  BLAZING BUCCHERO         (lusk r)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  COASTAL RIVER May03         (ellebracht gary)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
7  I'M NO ANGEL         (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
8  GRAND PARK VIEW Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Aug15 Jul24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 2.50 10% 8.90    
 
TAM-2   12/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD OFF Nov29 May29 May16 Mar22 Mar03 (arriagada juan)LEON SONNY 121 3.50    
2  COURT CONTENDER Nov20 Sep20 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
3  VINTNER Sep06 Aug17 Jul11 May25 May04 (yanez moises )FUENTES MARIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 Aug24 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Oct21 Oct08 Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Dec11 Oct23 Oct01 Sep24 Sep17 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
7  HEY PADRE Nov23 Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 Sep10 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-3   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN EXPECTATION Dec06 Nov20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 (ramos o)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
2  MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Sep29 Aug30 Aug04 Jul21 Jun27 (wasiluk jr)HESS SARA 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  AZURE LADY Dec06 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  DELIZIOSA Dec13 Oct13 Sep27 Aug29 Aug12 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50    
5  SUGAR TREAT Aug25 Jul27 Apr21 Mar29 Feb22 (joseph saffie)IORIO MELISSA 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
6  PRACTICALITY Dec13 Nov20 Feb24 Jan19 Jan10 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  ABOVE THE SKY Dec13 Nov20 Sep27 Aug23 Aug14 (nunez mauric)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
8  TRIPLET Dec13 Aug31 Aug17 Jul11 Apr07 (lusk brian )SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  BURN THE BREEZE Sep29 Sep06 Aug30 Aug04 Jun29 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 4.50    
 
TAM-4   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNDIE Dec05 Nov08 Aug03 Jun01 Apr25 (maragh col)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Dec11 Nov20 Oct17 Oct04 Sep21 (posadas pedro)FERRER C 120 5.00    
3  FORWARD MOTION Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 Sep16 Aug12 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 4.00    
4  NUTSIE Dec11 Nov11 Sep30 Sep11 Aug26 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOHN'S PROMISE Dec14 Nov20 Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 (simone v)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  LUKAS PRINCE Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Jul21 Jun23 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
7  NO ANGEL Dec18 Nov27 Oct09 Sep30 Sep09 (campbell joel)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
8  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Nov20 Oct22 Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 10% 8.70    
9  SAHM TEQUILA Nov12 Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Jul23 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 20.00 9% 10.00    
 
TAM-5   12/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNGO Dec06 Nov03 Aug14 Aug01 Mar20 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 ★    
2  LENA'S JAZZ Mar24 Feb18 Jan24 Dec22 Dec02 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50    
3  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Dec06 Oct12 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
4  LATIN FORCE Dec06 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
5  VITTORIANO May03         (parra hern)ALONSO LUIS 121 30.00    
6  BOMB CYCLONE Sep17 Aug18 Jul22 Jun20 Sep29 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
7  UNSPOKEN REQUEST Dec06 May17 May03 Mar07 Jan27 (fisher davi)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 20.00    
8  FROZEN FOUR Dec06 Nov29 Oct14 Sep25 Sep09 (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 12.00    
9  SNOVEMBER Apr19 Mar03 Feb11 Dec30   (lerman s)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
10  MYSTIC LUTE Dec06 Sep08 Aug11     (fisher david)FERRER C 121 6.00    
SCR  WO HOP Dec06 Nov18 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 121 15.00    
SCR  WARD LEADER Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug18   (ryan s)FERRER C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIZARDOFEZ Dec01 Oct11 Jul07 May22   (parra )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OCALA ROCKET Dec01 Aug02 Jul06 Apr27 Mar16 (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-6   12/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANT FAKE THE HATE Dec06 Nov12 Oct21 Sep06   (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
2  LADY LALA Aug11 Jul27 Jun21 Apr27   (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 118 3.50    
3  FLAT OUT ROSE Oct05 Sep23 Jul15 Jun24 May31 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  INOUAINTALKINTOME Nov13 Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUNNY HOP Dec14 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 Sep05 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
6  CHEM MAJOR Dec18 Oct15 Apr24 Mar13 Mar01 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00 63% 0.60    
7  QUALIFICATA Oct26 Sep28 Sep01 Jun22 May11 (gutierrez fau)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
8  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Aug04 Jul12 Jun16 Apr28 Mar27 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FACTORBELLA Dec06 Nov23 Oct19 Aug17 Aug04 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 5% 18.60    
 
TAM-7   12/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINJA STAR Dec14 Oct24 Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  INCHON Dec06 May30 Feb09 Dec08 Nov11 (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
3  SIR SAFFER Jul12 Jun22 May24 Apr20 Mar03 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPY NOVEL Sep20 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 Jan31 (ramse)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  DRAMA CHORUS Dec06 Oct13 Aug08 Jul10 Jun22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
6  BENVOLIO Dec06 Nov02 May25 Apr21 Nov25 (parra hernan)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
7  YES THIS TIME Nov24 Sep22 Sep01 Jun30 Nov25 (soler edisley)GIL CIPRIANO 121 4.00    
8  WICKED WARRIOR Nov18 Oct28 Aug13 Jul15 Jun13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 15.00 5% 17.50    
9  AUSPICIOUS STYLE Feb03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 10% 9.30    
10  CARD TRICK Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 Jul08 Jun16 (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE Dec14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 (simone mich)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 15.00    
 
TAM-8   12/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCCESSFUL UNION Dec07 Nov03 Oct17 Sep18   (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SWEET SUCCESS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  STEAM POWERED Dec07 Sep23 Aug31     (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HARKNESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  MY SATISFACTION Nov08 Sep07 Aug10 Jul13   (morales guille)COTTO L 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NEVERTOOMANYKISSES by CHECKLIST)
4  REPROCHE         (pletcher)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by BLAME out of LOVELY MOMENT by EQUAL STRIPES)
5  G SPEEDY Dec07         (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
  (by ENTICED out of SPEED TO VICTORY by BODEMEISTER)
6  PICO PLAT         (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
7  NO ESCAPE         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEEK AND DESTROY by VERRAZANO)
SCR  FELIX SLEW Nov09         (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of PRINCESS BERTRANDO by BERTRANDO)
9  BLUE CASANOVA         (barbazoniii lest)LEON SONNY 119 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of BLUE MISTRESS by HANDSOME MIKE)
10  LASTABITLONGER Dec07         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by VEKOMA out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
 
TAM-9   12/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDLESS REIGN Dec06 Oct17 Sep20 Jul13 May24 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.50    
2  HENDRICKSON Nov10 Oct05 Sep19 Aug17 Jul27 (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 27% 2.80    
3  ZAINO Oct26 Oct05 Aug16 Jul18 Jun23 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOSH'S DRAMA Sep25 Sep01 Jul27 Jul11 Jun23 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
5  ART HANDLER Nov23 Oct18 Sep27 Aug14 Aug07 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROUGH AND ROWDY Mar22 Mar03 Jul14 May27 Apr06 (lopez ro)GIL CIPRIANO 121 12.00    
SCR  GUAIO Dec14 Nov23 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
8  FOXTROT HARRY Nov23 Oct26 Aug22 Aug10 Jun29 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 ★    
9  ESCAPE KEY Dec14 Nov23 Apr19 Mar08 Jan26 (aguayo ramon)CASTANON L 121 10.00    
10  PAVONI Nov02 Sep05 Aug12 Jul11 Dec01 (ramirez ricard)COTTO L 121 6.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  HARD SPICE Jul12 Jun20 Apr19 Mar17 Feb24 (lusk r)LINDSAY CHAD 115 30.00    
SCR  MAMA BANNED ME Dec14 Nov29 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.