Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-2   EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-4 $40.20 $28.20 235%
CTD-3   EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-5 $22.30 $4.30 24%
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-5-3 $20.75 $11.75 131%
    SFT (6/5/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-5-3-7 $79.05 $61.05 339%
CTD-5   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.10 $2.10 26%
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $80.50 $56.50 235%
CTD-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-2 $42.70 $24.70 137%

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-2   09/21/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:242 1:123       1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAB SAV 1 1 11 1   12 1 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 55% 0.80 1.95 W
SPORTSCARR 4 2 21 2   22 2 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.05 P
COUNTRIFIED 2 3 3 3   45 3 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.40 1.15  
WHERE'S THE GOLD 5 5 54 44   3 4 (gilkyso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00 11% 8.00 8.35  
MOUNT ASGARD 3 4 44 56   5 5 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 4.50 4.55  
 
CTD-3   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:234 :47 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A MAN'S MAN 6 6 4 1nk   12 1 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 2.00 58% 0.70 1.95 W
BEHIND THE CURTAIN 5 3 2nk 2nk   22 2 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 8% 11.90 2.95 P
LANNY MAC 3 5 3 4   3 3 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.95 S
BROWNING ISLAND 7 7 6 5   4 48 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50 5.25  
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR 2 2 7 6   6 58 (hawkes darc)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00 38.05  
LIL ZAPPER 1 1 1nk 3   5 610½ (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 7.15  
SIX SHOTS OF T 4 4 5 7   7 714¼ (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 125 6.00 7.90  
 
CTD-4   09/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUALOTORO 1 1 3 3   3 1 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 7.40  
DR. DAVE 6 5 21 2nk   11 2 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.60 51% 0.90 0.75 P
NORTHERN JEWEL 5 6 6 6   44 3 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 15.00 5% 19.00 14.95 S
STONE CARVER 4 3 11 1nk   21 4 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.80 3.50  
LINCHPIN STORM 3 4 44 5   58 5 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 123 8.00 13% 6.70 18.55  
ALL RUN 2 2 56 4   612 616¾ (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00 5.45  
 
CTD-5   09/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUMP THE BRAKES 1 1 11 12   1 1 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 26% 2.90 4.05 W
WYE CROSS 6 7 7 66   47 2 (smith ron )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00 13% 6.50 9.35 P
JUMEIRAH COAST 5 6 69 7   3 3 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 4.35  
ROCK CHALK 7 5 5 33   2 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 15% 5.60 2.55  
JULIUS THE GREAT 2 2 21 22   5 513¼ (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 10.00 14% 6.10 12.60  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 4 4 4 44   610½ 614½ (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 2.65  
MONEY MUNCHER 3 3 3 54   714½ 722½ (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00 12.70  
 
CTD-6   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUAI DAN 7 5 4 32   1nk 1 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 11% 8.10 3.70 W
FOUR O SIX CREED 2 3 55 5   31 2 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.95 P
TORIADOR 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 2.65  
POINT TO THE STARS 1 6 6 6   43 4 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50 7.05  
READYTOTAPNSING 6 4 32 4   54 5 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 6.80  
IT'S A FACT 3 7 7 7   66 610¼ (kingston karline)BRYAN D 123 20.00 16.90  
TOOL TIME 5 2 2nk 2nk   7 715¾ (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 62% 0.60 4.50  
 
CTD-7   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:233 :464 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASSANO 2 5 6 5   3 11 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 6.00 10.10  
  (by CAR TALK out of S. L. EXPRESS by ROSBERG)
WORKIN FOR THE MAN 1 1 11 2nk   1 21 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 122 20.00 5% 19.00 40.95 P
  (by BUCCHERO out of SEEK TO DANCE by GONE WEST)
THUNDER GOLD 8 2 21 1nk   2 3 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 20.00 16.35  
  (by SUNGOLD out of CARMEN'S KISS by MACHO UNO)
RISING STRONG 3 4 44 4   4 4 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 3.00 2.80  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ANDTHELIVINISEASY by GONE WEST)
ISABELLE ANNE 6 3 3 3½   5 55 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 119 15.00 21.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CICADA'S SONG by TWIRLING CANDY)
STRATEGIC DECISION 7 9 8 7   6 6 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.50  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LAURENMYCHANELGIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
PASSAGE 4 10 1012¼ 1014¾   7 77 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 122 10.00 12% 7.10 16.90  
  (by BLAME out of LONG VIEW by GALILEO)
10  DA BOSS 10 7 9 8   810½ 8 (palma milt)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 35% 1.90 3.80  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PURPLE LIGHTS by GRAYDAR)
PADDY'S SPEEDSTER 9 6 5 68   913 911¼ (biggs seymou)NATERA KEIHTON 122 20.00 54.45  
  (by MR O'PRADO out of IVA STATE by STATE CITY)
TRUE ALYBYE 5 8 7 913¼   1016 1014½ (robertson j)BECKLES JARELLE 122 30.00 46.65  
  (by TRUE SENSE out of KAI'S ALYBYE by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
 
CTD-8   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A SAINT 4 1 3 3   1nk 1¾ (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 10.10  
PACHECO 3 9 87 8   7 2¾ (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
BARAK 6 5 4 4   5 3¾ (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.50 6.60 S
SILVERFOOT 2 7 65 6   6 4 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 18% 4.40 1.70  
MENDELJOHN (IRE) 7 4 22 21   3.2 5 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 46% 1.20 2.55  
DOC COPE 1 2 5 5   4 62 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 10% 9.30 14.95  
MY BOY CHRISTIAN 5 3 12 11   2nk 72 (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 125 30.00 31.15  
TRAPEZE 9 8 97 75   8 8 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 18.15  
CAPE'S LEGACY 8 6 76 99   9 910 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00 42.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.