Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/5/3)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(10/7/4/1)-(7/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-7   WIN (10/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/1)-(10/7/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/1)-(10/7/4/2/1)-(10/7/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/7/4/1)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-8   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/6/3)-(7/2/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-2   09/21/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAB SAV Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 Jul12 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 55% 0.80    
2  COUNTRIFIED Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.40    
3  MOUNT ASGARD Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 4.50    
4  SPORTSCARR Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHERE'S THE GOLD Sep07 Aug24 Jun28 Jun08 May24 (gilkyso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
CTD-3   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL ZAPPER Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul10 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
2  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Aug23 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 (hawkes darc)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00    
3  LANNY MAC Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIX SHOTS OF T Sep07 Aug16 Jul24 Jul06 Jun22 (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 125 6.00    
5  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 Jun29 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 8% 11.90    
6  A MAN'S MAN Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 Jul06 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
7  BROWNING ISLAND Aug28 Jul01 Jun14 Jun07 May19 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50 ★    
 
CTD-4   09/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUALOTORO Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
2  ALL RUN Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00    
3  LINCHPIN STORM Aug25 Aug10 Jul19 Jun09 Oct21 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 123 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  STONE CARVER Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 Jun08 May24 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.80    
5  NORTHERN JEWEL Sep07 Aug24 Jul24 Jul05 Jun21 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DR. DAVE Aug30 Aug10 Jul17     (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.60 51% 0.90    
 
CTD-5   09/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 Jul13 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 26% 2.90    
2  JULIUS THE GREAT Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 Jul10 Jun29 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 10.00 14% 6.10    
3  MONEY MUNCHER Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 Jun21 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00    
4  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 Jun29 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50    
5  JUMEIRAH COAST Aug24 Aug09 Jul17 Jun29 Jun15 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
6  WYE CROSS Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 (smith ron )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00 13% 6.50    
7  ROCK CHALK Sep06 Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 Jun28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
CTD-6   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT TO THE STARS Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50 ★    
2  FOUR O SIX CREED Aug24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May17 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  IT'S A FACT Aug24 Jul05 May31 Oct01 Sep16 (kingston karline)BRYAN D 123 20.00    
4  TORIADOR Sep06 Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 May31 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50    
5  TOOL TIME Sep06 Aug27 Aug05 Jul01 May24 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 62% 0.60    
6  READYTOTAPNSING Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00    
7  KAUAI DAN Aug24 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 May31 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 11% 8.10    
 
CTD-7   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKIN FOR THE MAN Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SEEK TO DANCE by GONE WEST)
2  CASSANO Aug31 Jul31 May31 May18 Sep01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CAR TALK out of S. L. EXPRESS by ROSBERG)
3  RISING STRONG Aug02 Jul19       (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 3.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ANDTHELIVINISEASY by GONE WEST)
4  PASSAGE Sep07 Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 Jun15 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by BLAME out of LONG VIEW by GALILEO)
5  TRUE ALYBYE Aug17 Aug02 Jul06     (robertson j)BECKLES JARELLE 122 30.00    
  (by TRUE SENSE out of KAI'S ALYBYE by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
6  ISABELLE ANNE Sep07 Aug17 Feb09 Jan13   (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 119 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CICADA'S SONG by TWIRLING CANDY)
7  STRATEGIC DECISION Mar14 Jan28       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LAURENMYCHANELGIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
8  THUNDER GOLD May25 May04       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 20.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of CARMEN'S KISS by MACHO UNO)
9  PADDY'S SPEEDSTER Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun08 (biggs seymou)NATERA KEIHTON 122 20.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of IVA STATE by STATE CITY)
10  DA BOSS Sep07         (palma milt)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PURPLE LIGHTS by GRAYDAR)
 
CTD-8   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC COPE Sep06 Aug10 Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 10% 9.30    
2  SILVERFOOT Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 18% 4.40    
3  PACHECO Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 Jun22 Jun08 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HE'S A SAINT Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00    
5  MY BOY CHRISTIAN Sep06 Aug16 Oct22 Aug23 Aug08 (ward anders)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 125 30.00    
6  BARAK Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Sep30 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.50 ★    
7  MENDELJOHN (IRE) Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
8  CAPE'S LEGACY Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00    
9  TRAPEZE Aug23 Aug10 Jul26 May31 May18 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.