Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-5   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.50 $4.50 75%
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $155.90 $137.90 766%
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 18 $0.60 $10.80  3-4-5 $378.24 $367.44 3402%
    SFT (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-4-5-7 $5476 $5458 30326%
CTM-6   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-1 $80.80 $56.80 237%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-1   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:104 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORIADOR 2 1 1 1½ 11 11 1 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 1.75  
FLASHFORDANI 1 3 2 3½ 31 21 2 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 43% 1.30 1.55 P
GABBYSONHOLIDAY 3 4 4 41 4 45 38 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 125 10.00 7.75  
SMART PLAY 4 2 3 2½ 21 33 4 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 11% 7.90 2.20  
SCR  HYPERFOCUS               (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.60    
 
CTM-2   07/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:214 :454       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATWOMENWANT 2 2 14     1 1¼ (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 17% 4.90 0.85 W
  (by FED BIZ out of SWAYING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
HOLIDAY'S AGAIN 5 3 3     3 2¼ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50 4.05  
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MR MIEZIE 1 1 24     2 33 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 41% 1.40 2.25 S
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
TABULA ROSSO 4 5 46     4 411½ (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 122 8.00 12.05  
  (by CAR TALK out of JUST ASKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
MY MUM'S MUD 3 4 59     510½ 515½ (russell monica)BRYAN D 119 10.00 13.65  
  (by FED BIZ out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
SCR  G T RAY SIR               (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
 
CTM-3   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:232 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKS DIG CAPES 4 2 2nk 2nk   1 13 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 120 1.60 47% 1.10 1.50 W
WORKIN FOR THE MAN 3 6 3½ 3½   2 23 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 2.00 1.85  
COPPER MEIN 5 5 1nk 1nk   3 39 (kingston c)BRYAN D 125 6.00 15% 5.50 10.60 S
SILVER TIP 1 3 5 4   4 411¼ (leech )STEADMAN LEON 120 3.50 5.00  
SUPER SENSE 6 1 41 5   513½ 519 (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SUNNY WAY 2 4 6 6   614½ 621½ (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 10.00 12.40  
 
CTM-4   07/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. DAVE 4 3 3½ 3   13 1 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 5.00 2.85  
BROKEN PROMISES 1 6 6 6   34 2 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 117 2.00 3.05  
DOUG'S HERO 3 2 1½ 11   23 3 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.60 S
ANNAMARIA 6 5 2½ 21   47 410¾ (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 119 3.50 23% 3.40 2.55  
B B'S WILDFIRE 2 4 5 5   59 514¾ (grieves ron)CARTER KYLE 119 1.60 46% 1.20 2.85  
SPOT ON JOLEE 5 1 4¾ 42   6 615 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 119 10.00 17.55  
 
CTM-5   07/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:223 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEY CALL ME TOM 3 3 1nk     1 11 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 18% 4.60 4.25 W
  (by SUNGOLD out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
NO REJOYCE 4 4 32     2 21 (kettles)CHASE RICHARD 117 6.00 5% 19.00 13.35 P
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
KITTY HOUSE 5 5 4     43 3 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 6.00 10.05 S
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
POCKETFULOFDREAMS 7 6 5     5 4 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.55  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
MYSTIC SALLY 2 1 2nk     3 5 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 5.95  
  (by BOISTEROUS out of PEMAQUID SALLY by TALENT SEARCH)
OKI 6 7 7     6 6 (leech willia)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 8.80  
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
SPIRIT CHASER 1 2 6     7 711 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50 4.15  
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of MAJAKAT by BERNSTEIN)
 
CTM-6   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:112 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET VENDOR 4 2 1nk 2½ 1nk 11 1 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00 28% 2.60 3.70 W
BREAKING THE BANK 1 1 73 5 4 31 2 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00 11% 7.80 17.60 P
LATE NIGHT LIVING 6 4 4 41 53 5 32 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00 1.15  
HANDSOME HENRY 2 7 5 6 64 6 43 (grieves)CHASE RICHARD 118 6.00 5% 19.00 17.65  
DERECHO DANDY 3 6 32 31 31 4 5 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 4.00 29% 2.40 4.35  
TAKE CHARGE CURLY 5 3 2nk 1½ 2nk 21 6 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50 4.50  
SAWCHUK 7 5 6 7 79 712¾ 724½ (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 15.00 28.60  
 
CTM-7   07/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMEIRAH COAST 1 2 4 43   22 1 (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 125 4.00 2.30  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 5 1 3½ 2nk   12 2 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 125 3.00 25% 3.00 5.45 P
RUNNINFORCOVER 4 5 5 65   3 32 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 1.90  
CARRERA CABALLO 2 3 1½ 31   5 4 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 20.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
ADRIEN'S AURORA 3 6 6 5   6 5 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 125 10.00 12.05  
MOONSHINE NOW 6 4 2½ 1nk   4 6 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 125 12.00 22% 3.50 3.20  
SCR  FLASHIN ACES               (brown j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00    
SCR  LIGHTENING ANNA               (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 125 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.