Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CTM-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/5/6)-(2/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(3/4/1/2)-(7/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-6   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2)-(7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHFORDANI Jun28 Jun08 May17 Oct21 Sep16 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 43% 1.30    
2  TORIADOR Jun28 May31 May10 Feb07 Jan10 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
3  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Jun21 May31 Apr07 Mar15 Feb23 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 10.00    
SCR  HYPERFOCUS Jun21 May24 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.60    
5  SMART PLAY Jun28 May31 May17 Oct15 Sep16 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
CTM-2   07/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MIEZIE         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
2  WHATWOMENWANT         (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by FED BIZ out of SWAYING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  MY MUM'S MUD         (russell monica)BRYAN D 119 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
4  TABULA ROSSO         (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 122 8.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of JUST ASKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  G T RAY SIR         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by GAYEGO out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
6  HOLIDAY'S AGAIN         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
CTM-3   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER TIP Jul05 Jun07       (leech )STEADMAN LEON 120 3.50    
2  SUNNY WAY Jun07 Sep30 Sep23     (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 10.00    
3  WORKIN FOR THE MAN Jul05 Jun15       (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 2.00    
4  CHICKS DIG CAPES Jul05 Jun21 Jun14 May25 May17 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
5  COPPER MEIN Jun10 Oct22       (kingston ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  SUPER SENSE         (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-4   07/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKEN PROMISES Jun21 Jun07 Oct22 Sep16 Sep01 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 117 2.00    
2  B B'S WILDFIRE May18 Oct07 Sep23     (grieves ron)CARTER KYLE 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  DOUG'S HERO Jun22 Jun08 May25 Aug25 Aug05 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DR. DAVE         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 5.00    
5  SPOT ON JOLEE Jun21 Jun07       (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 119 10.00    
6  ANNAMARIA Jul05 Jun22 May25 May04 Mar29 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
CTM-5   07/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT CHASER         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of MAJAKAT by BERNSTEIN)
2  MYSTIC SALLY         (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of PEMAQUID SALLY by TALENT SEARCH)
3  THEY CALL ME TOM         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by SUNGOLD out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
4  NO REJOYCE         (kettles)CHASE RICHARD 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  KITTY HOUSE         (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  OKI         (leech willia)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
7  POCKETFULOFDREAMS         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
 
CTM-6   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING THE BANK Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May25 Mar08 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00 11% 7.80    
2  HANDSOME HENRY Jul05 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Aug18 (grieves)CHASE RICHARD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DERECHO DANDY Jun29 Jun08 May27 May11 Apr27 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  STREET VENDOR Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 Apr14 Mar22 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 Apr24 Apr16 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50    
6  LATE NIGHT LIVING Jun08 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Jan03 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00    
7  SAWCHUK Jul05 Jun22 Jun07 May25 May04 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
 
CTM-7   07/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMEIRAH COAST Jun29 Jun15 Oct21 Sep17 Sep01 (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 125 4.00    
2  CARRERA CABALLO Jun21 Jun07 May10 Oct08 Aug13 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIGHTENING ANNA Jun29 Oct14 Oct01 Jun30 Nov04 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 125 4.50    
SCR  FLASHIN ACES Jun29 Jun14 Oct08 Oct01 Aug26 (brown j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00    
5  ADRIEN'S AURORA May19 Oct14 Jul28 Jun03 May06 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 10.00    
6  RUNNINFORCOVER Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Oct21 Sep24 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50    
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May10 Oct14 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  MOONSHINE NOW Jul01 Jun08 May24 Oct21 Oct08 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 125 12.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.