Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.60 $3.60  1-3-2 $4.92 $1.32 37%
CTM-7   WIN (9/4/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $16.80 $6.80 68%
    EXA (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-9 $51.90 $11.90 30%
CTM-8   DD (9/4/2/5/3)-(1/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00  2-1 $55.60 $25.60 85%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-1   05/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRILL OF THE NITE 3 2 11 11   1 16 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.60 44% 1.30 1.20 W
NIGHT FLYER 4 5 31 31   3 26 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 1.70  
HENRY'S GAMBLE 2 3 21 21   2 3 (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 20% 3.90 6.50 S
TEXAS TIDELANDS 1 1 44 46   4 4 (humbke chery)HUGHES RASHEED 125 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
GO MAMA 5 4 56 58   58 512½ (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 6.80  
 
CTM-2   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTIFUL ROSE 1 3 1½ 11   1 1 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 23% 3.40 1.10 W
MOHAYMEN DAY 3 2 2½ 21   2 2 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 125 2.50 43% 1.30 2.15 P
BABS DELIGHT 2 5 3 32   32 33 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50 9% 10.60 2.90 S
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 5 1 5 5   48 410 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 13.45  
ANAAMY 4 4 4 47   513 521¾ (biggs s)CHASE RICHARD 120 8.00 14.20  
SCR  JOY IN GRACE               (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
 
CTM-3   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANTASTICCANAVERAL 4 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1¼ (russell monica)BRYAN D 123 10.00 26.70  
FROSTEDBIRD 5 3 2nk 2½   2nk 2¼ (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 5.00 5% 19.00 3.05 P
MUSTAFA 1 4 4 42   33 3 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 5.60  
WRONG SPOT 2 6 6 6   5 45 (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 118 2.50 1.60  
ABOVE AND BEYOND 6 1 3½ 32   44 58 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 13% 6.50 3.15  
MACHINE (ARG) 3 5 5 56   6 611¾ (gourdeau bri)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.00 57% 0.70 7.05  
 
CTM-4   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:23 :473 :593     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOPS AND DOWNS 3 3 1½ 11   1 1 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 120 3.50 9.25  
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS OOPS by OLMODAVOR)
STAY UP 2 1 3½ 21   2 2 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00 1.75  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STARDUST UP by BERNSTEIN)
MARAMAX 5 5 5 42   42 3 (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 8.00 5.40  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
OOPS (GB) 1 4 4 3   32 4 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 39% 1.50 1.55  
  (by TERRITORIES out of GLEE CLUB by KYLLACHY)
SIZZLIN ROSE 6 2 2½ 5   59 523 (wendland wyatt)BRYAN D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.05  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
CRANBERRY CHILL 4 6 6 6   613 629¾ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 5.00 18% 4.60 7.45  
  (by CAR TALK out of FLASHY LADY by VISION AND VERSE)
 
CTM-5   05/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAKFIRE BABY 3 3 1 13   15 1 (kingston c)BRYAN D 125 8.00 7.40  
GET BAKK 4 5 2 23   25 2 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 10% 9.30 2.25 P
OUT FRONT 6 6 5 4   4 310½ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 45% 1.20 1.25 S
BEAUTIFUL BABE 2 4 6 7   6 411¾ (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00 27.80  
DAZZLING CHIC 1 1 4 55   57 512½ (petrows)CHASE RICHARD 120 15.00 26.85  
CHATTY GAL 7 2 3 33   36 612½ (jones t)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 23% 3.30 3.95  
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 5 7 7 67   79 712¾ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 25.35  
 
CTM-6   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEAT 5 3 5 6   2½ 1½ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 5.00 16.80  
BARE BACK JACK 1 7 6 5   3½ 2½ (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 38% 1.60 4.90 P
LIGHT FAST FEET 3 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 35 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 118 12.00 8.25  
DANCING WILLIE 2 8 8 75   4 4 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 123 6.00 6.55  
ESTIFRAAD 7 6 7 8   5 5 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.65  
CREDIBILITY 8 1 4 33   7 613 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00 36% 1.80 4.55  
TRUMP UM 4 5 2nk 2nk   6 713 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 10.00 7.05  
AMUSING WAY 6 2 31 4   8 816 (brown r)MARTIN ANDRE 123 10.00 4.25  
 
CTM-7   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERDITION 2 5 32 2   23 1nk (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 5.00 5% 19.00 7.40 W
ISLE OF SKYE 9 2 12 1   13 2nk (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 51% 1.00 1.35 P
BROWNING ISLAND 1 8 6 3   34 3¼ (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 123 4.00 6.60  
WYE CROSS 3 9 9 68   4 41 (smith k)CARTER KYLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
DUNE D'ORO 8 3 5 55   5 5 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 15.00 18.70  
CASHLINGS 5 6 4 4   6 66 (grieves ron)HUGHES RASHEED 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.35  
LITTLE CHICAGO 7 1 7 7   77 7 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 123 12.00 21.45  
KOVACS 6 7 8 9   8 8 (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 20.00 36.20  
BIG AL'S VISION 4 4 22 89   915½ 922½ (frey carson)BRYAN D 123 3.50 15% 5.70 8.00  
 
CTM-8   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:232 :452 :583     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH FACTOR 1 8 2½ 2nk   12 12 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 56% 0.80 1.60 W
SIMMS 5 6 7 6   4 22 (coney jason)MARTIN ANDRE 125 12.00 18.20  
DELIRIUM 8 4 4 3   3 37 (humbke cher)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 125 20.00 16.65 S
FIRECRACKER STAND 3 5 1½ 1nk   22 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 20% 4.10 4.95  
10  CALI CONQUEST 9 2 9 910¾   7 510 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 5.45  
GIVE EM HECK BECK 4 7 6 5   5 610¾ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00 4.85  
ADRIEN'S AURORA 2 9 8 7   67 711½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 15.00 7.80  
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR 7 1 5 810¼   88 816¼ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 17.20  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 6 3 3 4   99 918¼ (fantin caitl)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00 42.35  
SCR  MOONSHINE NOW               (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.