Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/6/5)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(9/4/2/5/3)-(1/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CTM-7   WIN (9/4/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/5/3)-(1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CTM-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/10/9)-(1/3/4/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   05/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS TIDELANDS Mar02 Feb16 Jan13 Jan04 Dec17 (humbke chery)HUGHES RASHEED 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HENRY'S GAMBLE Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 20% 3.90    
3  THRILL OF THE NITE May04 Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  NIGHT FLYER May04 Oct21 Sep17 Aug19 Aug02 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00    
5  GO MAMA Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00    
 
CTM-2   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTIFUL ROSE May04 Oct07 Oct01 Sep17 Aug19 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  BABS DELIGHT Oct22 Sep16 Sep01 Jul09 Jun09 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50 9% 10.60    
3  MOHAYMEN DAY May04 Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 Sep17 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  ANAAMY Oct14 Oct09 Sep17 Aug18 Aug11 (biggs s)CHASE RICHARD 120 8.00    
5  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00    
SCR  JOY IN GRACE Oct01 Sep09 Aug12 Jul28 Jul09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
 
CTM-3   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSTAFA Oct19 Aug10 Jun16 Nov12 Oct08 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00    
2  WRONG SPOT May10 Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Dec08 (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 118 2.50    
3  MACHINE (ARG) Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 (gourdeau bri)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.00 57% 0.70    
4  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 (russell monica)BRYAN D 123 10.00    
5  FROSTEDBIRD Oct01 Sep01 Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABOVE AND BEYOND Sep01 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
CTM-4   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OOPS (GB) May04 Apr12 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by TERRITORIES out of GLEE CLUB by KYLLACHY)
2  STAY UP Feb24 Feb15 Jan14 Dec26 Nov23 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STARDUST UP by BERNSTEIN)
3  OOPS AND DOWNS Jan15 Jan01 Dec08 Nov18 Oct29 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 120 3.50    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS OOPS by OLMODAVOR)
4  CRANBERRY CHILL May04         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CAR TALK out of FLASHY LADY by VISION AND VERSE)
5  MARAMAX Oct14         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  SIZZLIN ROSE May04 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 (wendland wyatt)BRYAN D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
 
CTM-5   05/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLING CHIC Oct21 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 (petrows)CHASE RICHARD 120 15.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL BABE Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00    
3  BAKFIRE BABY May04 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 (kingston c)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
4  GET BAKK Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 10% 9.30    
5  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 Sep24 Sep10 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUT FRONT Oct21 Aug18 Jul23 Jul08 May12 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  CHATTY GAL Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 Jun09 (jones t)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
CTM-6   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARE BACK JACK Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  DANCING WILLIE Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 123 6.00 ★    
3  LIGHT FAST FEET Oct15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun23 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 118 12.00    
4  TRUMP UM Oct15 Aug07 Jun12 May23 Sep19 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 10.00    
5  THE BEAT Oct21 Sep30 Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 5.00    
6  AMUSING WAY May04 Sep30 Sep16 Aug18 Aug05 (brown r)MARTIN ANDRE 123 10.00    
7  ESTIFRAAD May04 Oct15 Sep30 Sep24 Sep10 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CREDIBILITY Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 May06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
CTM-7   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWNING ISLAND Oct14 Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 Sep11 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 123 4.00    
2  PERDITION Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 Aug18 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  WYE CROSS Oct01 Sep17 Jul21 Jul08 Jul01 (smith k)CARTER KYLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG AL'S VISION Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 (frey carson)BRYAN D 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  CASHLINGS Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 Mar03 Feb04 (grieves ron)HUGHES RASHEED 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KOVACS Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Aug06 (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 20.00    
7  LITTLE CHICAGO Oct01 Sep17 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 123 12.00    
8  DUNE D'ORO Oct14 Oct07 Oct01 Sep17 Aug13 (h)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 15.00    
9  ISLE OF SKYE Oct07 Sep30 Sep17 Aug13 Jul22 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
CTM-8   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMASH FACTOR Apr21 Apr03 Mar10 Feb17 Jan24 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  ADRIEN'S AURORA Oct14 Jul28 Jun03 May06 Oct22 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 15.00    
3  FIRECRACKER STAND Oct08 Jun04 Mar18 Mar08 Feb25 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 20% 4.10    
4  GIVE EM HECK BECK Oct01 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul09 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIMMS Oct08 Sep24 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (coney jason)MARTIN ANDRE 125 12.00    
6  FORGOTTEN VOWS Oct09 Sep17 Sep10 Jul30 Jul22 (fantin caitl)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00    
7  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Aug12 Jul22 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
SCR  MOONSHINE NOW Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 May27 Apr19 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 120 4.50    
9  DELIRIUM Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 Jun10 May20 (humbke cher)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 125 20.00 ★    
10  CALI CONQUEST Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 Nov26 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.