Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-8   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.10 $2.10 35%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE THE FRINGE 3 1 11 11   16 16 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 120 6.00 1.80  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
DESTIN TO BE GREAT 1 3 33 3   37 26 (kingston ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 10.00 12% 7.40 3.65 P
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
ISABELLE ANNE 2 2 21 21   26 312 (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 2.00 66% 0.50 0.65 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CICADA'S SONG by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  ROCKY RIDGE GINGER               (oberholtzer kev)CARTER KYLE 125 1.80    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of REGAL TIGEREYES by TIGER TRAP)
SCR  VIOLENT VIOLET               (zielke madis)HUGHES RASHEED 120 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TRANSACTION by DEPOSIT TICKET)
 
CTM-4   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO COMPARE 2 1 1 1   12 12 (smith k)NATERA KEIHTON 120 3.00 2.25  
MONOPOLIZE 3 3 3 2   22 22 (grieves ro)MALVEAZ MAURICAO 123 2.00 51% 1.00 1.30 P
CROWN OF CAIRO 1 4 43 33   3 3 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 120 4.00 23% 3.30 2.65 S
BLAZING SUN 4 2 2 4   410½ 423¾ (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.50 5.05  
SCR  QUICK DIAL               (wendland wy)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
 
CTM-5   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC HORIZON 3 2 12 13   16 110¼ (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 125 2.00 1.60  
GOLDIE SOCKS 2 1 22 3   26 210¼ (kingston rob)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50 27% 2.70 6.65 P
QUEEN RHONDA 1 4 4 23   38 317¾ (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 8.00 26% 2.80 2.90 S
KEEPMEINPOWER 4 3 32 4   416 429½ (heggie ro)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 1.40  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL BABE               (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00    
SCR  NO MORE JO KING               (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
 
CTM-6   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE SHOES 4 2 1½ 15   16 1 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 66% 0.50 0.55 W
RECIO'S SKYE 1 3 4¾ 4   26 2 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 12.00 14.25  
AFTER A FEW 3 4 5 5   36 3 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50 9% 9.60 3.80 S
STEVIE WONDER GIRL 5 1 2½ 25   512 415¼ (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.00 4.05  
SINGING BELL 2 5 3½ 35   411 516¾ (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00 12.65  
SCR  TONE IT UP               (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00    
 
CTM-7   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE'S LEGACY 4 1 2nk 1nk   16 1 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 120 2.00 1.25  
PASSAGE 1 5 4 47   3 2 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 1.80 31% 2.20 3.70 P
WORKIN FOR THE MAN 6 2 1nk 2nk   26 313¼ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 3.50 1.95  
COUNTY WINDS 2 6 6 511   416½ 419 (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00 6% 17.10 20.50  
CAPE FOREST 3 4 5 611¼   620 528½ (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 6.00 27% 2.80 8.30  
TRUE ALYBYE 5 3 3½ 35   519½ 629½ (robertson j)BECKLES JARELLE 120 15.00 27.95  
 
CTM-8   08/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:124     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINAHASPECSHOES 1 5 1nk 1½   15 1 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 5.00 16% 5.30 3.05 W
TALKATIVE 4 3 2nk 2½   25 2 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 125 2.00 3.95  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 6 1 3½ 44   39 3 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 3.25  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 5 6 6 32   49 4 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 12.00 14.35  
WHISKARITA 3 2 5¾ 54   514 519¼ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.85  
GO MAMA 2 4 4¾ 6   614½ 622 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 48% 1.10 3.50  
SCR  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY               (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.