Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/5/6)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/4/3)-(2/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/6/3)-(9/5/10/7/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(9/5/10/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(9/5/10/7/6)-(1/2/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (9/5/10/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/7/6)-(9/5/10/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/7/6)-(9/5/10/7/6)-(9/5/10/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/10/7/6)-(1/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/10/7/6)-(1/2/5/3)-(2/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/8/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(2/3/8/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(2/3/8/4/1)-(7/4/10/8/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (2/3/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4/1)-(2/3/8/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4/1)-(2/3/8/4/1)-(2/3/8/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/8/4/1)-(7/4/10/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (7/4/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/8/2)-(7/4/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/8/2)-(7/4/10/8/2)-(7/4/10/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RODEO STAR Apr11 Feb14 Jan19 Jan01 Nov23 (johnston rob)OLVER MADISON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ Apr18 Mar23 Feb06 Jan24 Jan12 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
3  TOXIC GIRL Apr03 Mar15 Feb09 Jan01 Dec13 (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
4  YO LEVEN Mar23 Mar07 Feb13 Jan10 Dec11 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 126 1.80 66% 0.50    
5  BEIRA Apr11 Mar09 Feb22 Jan24 Nov29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 10% 8.80    
6  WELCOME BACK BABE Apr03 Aug01 Jul05 Jun16 May25 (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 126 4.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/02/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CELESTIAL MOON Mar22 Jan13 Dec16 Nov23 Nov05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50    
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST Feb13 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50    
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Mar01 Jan18 Dec14 Feb17 Dec17 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
3  PEEK Apr03 Feb07 Jan03 Dec28 Oct10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 33% 2.10    
4  CASTLE ISLAND Mar22 Feb27 Jan31 Jan16 Dec06 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
5  THE KING CHEEK Mar21 Mar01 Jan13 Nov20 Oct21 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  LIFE AND LIGHT Mar29 Jan30 Jan16 Dec13 Nov30 (pringle edm)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/02/2025 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Sheepshead Bay Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLEZZA (IRE)         (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.00    
  (by SIYOUNI out of TERRIFIC by GALILEO)
2  SILVOLOGY Mar29 Feb13 Jan09 Nov14 Sep15 (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
3  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Mar01 Jan25 Nov10 Oct27 Sep26 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  BEACH BOMB (SAF) Mar29 Mar01 Nov02 Oct05 Aug31 (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LANCASTER BOMBER out of BEACH BEAUTY by DYNASTY)
5  LA MEHANA (FR) Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 Dec26 Nov10 (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by AL WUKAIR out of OCEANIE by DANSILI)
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Nov03 Oct27 Jul11 Jun21 May10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PRIVACY by NOTEBOOK)
 
BAQ-4   05/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE BOSS Apr05 Mar16 Feb14 May11 Apr13 (de hor)RIVERA R 125 5.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
2  COUNTER MOVE Mar14 Feb08       (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 53% 0.90    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of GYPSY ANGEL by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  HAVE A CIGAR Mar23 Feb21 Jan04 Nov03 Sep21 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIVIERA CHIC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  UNDISPUTED Mar29         (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of THIN DISGUISE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  MOZAMBIQUE Nov02 Sep02       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
6  VITALIZE Apr25 Feb14 Jan05 Dec29 Dec01 (donk david)LUZZI J 125 3.00 13% 6.70    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
7  DOMINICAN PIRATE Apr05 Feb22 Jan04 Oct12 Sep02 (jimen)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
 
BAQ-5   05/02/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUR MISSION Dec29 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 Aug24 (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
2  COOL HAND RICH Jan26         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  CARCONE Apr04 Mar27 Feb19 Jan17 Nov02 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 12.00    
4  I SEE YOU LOOKIN Apr13 Feb21 Feb09 Jan16 Nov30 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
5  KING COVEE Dec27 Nov08 Oct20 Sep07 Aug29 (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 16% 5.10    
6  JAVA BUZZ Apr11 Feb13 Jan11 Nov24 Oct25 (rodriguez rud)JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MUSICAL MAESTRO Apr09 Feb26 Jan04 Dec13 Sep27 (maker )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 8.00 6% 15.70    
8  VINSANITY Apr23 Apr06 Mar22 Jan19 Jan11 (arriaga antoni)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00    
9  MY LIFE STORY Oct25 Oct17 Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 41% 1.40    
10  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Feb22 Jan31 Dec27 Oct05 Aug23 (smith lawrence)LUZZI J 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
11  TYPHOON FURY Oct18 Sep27 Aug14 Aug02 Jul07 (charlerie gre)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
SCR  MUAZARAH Apr23 Mar22 Feb13 Jan11 Dec27 (trites lands)RIDER TBA 125 3.00    
SCR  SILO RIDGE Apr23 Apr04 Feb28 Jan18 Feb10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.20    
 
BAQ-6   05/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLOW BEND Apr11 Mar02 Feb01 Dec29 Dec12 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
1A  LA VITA SOFIA Apr18 Feb06 Dec29 Dec08 Nov14 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 3.00    
2  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Apr18 Feb21 Jan19 Dec22 Dec06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Apr18 Mar29 Jan30 Jan01 Dec08 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Apr19 Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
5  RACHEL'S ROCK Apr18 Feb06 Jan02 Dec07 Nov03 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 11% 8.30    
6  I'M BUZZY Mar29 Mar02 Jan19 Dec12 Nov16 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
7  EQUUS Apr18 Jan05 Nov14 Sep19 Sep04 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON'S DIXIE Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Jan10 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 2.50    
2  SANDY'S GARDEN May27 Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 Sep24 (lee joseph)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 45% 1.20    
3  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  ECHO IN ETERNITY Apr11 Mar15 Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
5  SNAPPIN BUTTONS Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 Jan24 Dec07 (arriaga an)RIVERA R 125 3.50    
SCR  ARIANA RYE Apr05 Mar01 Feb08 Jan04 Nov21 (falcone ro)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 4.50    
7  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 Nov21 Sep19 (engleh)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 6% 15.80    
 
BAQ-8   05/02/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERTRILLE Nov17 Oct20 Sep22 Aug10 Jul18 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Jul21 Jun23 May25 Apr27 Mar09 (powell leonard)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  SUMMER WHIRL Oct26 Sep22 Aug14 Jul27 Jul05 (motion)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  TONGUE TWISTER Feb13 Nov17 Oct04 Sep02 Jul24 (david carlo)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  BUNNY HONEY Sep22 Jul21 Jun14 May19 Apr20 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
SCR  GALLEY HEAD Mar26 Mar16 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 (begg ja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 20.00    
SCR  ROAGNA Oct26 Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 May25 (bond j)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
SCR  RED BURGUNDY Dec15 Nov17 Oct20 Sep22 Aug14 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
9  TRAIL OF GOLD Oct27 Sep22 Aug25 Aug08 Jul17 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
10  SPOOL Dec28 Nov16       (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
11  POWER AND GLORY Sep26 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jul03 (thompson glenn)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEY ACTRESS         (mott william)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of FIRST SCREENING by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  LESLIE'S STAR Sep01         (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FREEDOM STAR by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  LUCKFORYOU Apr17 Mar22 Feb27 Jan23 Dec13 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
3  PIONUS Jan23 Nov14 Oct03     (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
4  SOTA SUMMERS         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 14% 5.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BLENHEIM PALACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  CANDY IS DANDY Apr18         (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RIVERINE by MAKALEHA)
6  DELAWARE DEVIL Feb08 Jan10       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  MORE FOR SURE (IRE) Mar02 Jan08 Dec05 Oct25   (dutrow anthony)LUZZI J 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of CASCELLA by IFFRAAJ)
8  MENDEE Nov14 Oct10 Aug31 Jun17 May27 (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 5.00 7% 13.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
9  PARAIBA BLUE Feb09 Dec13 Oct06 Sep15   (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 118 50.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of AQUA BLUE by AIR FORCE BLUE)
10  CONSUMER SENTIMENT Mar23         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ANGEL NUMBER by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.