Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
AQU-2   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.50 $2.50  
AQU-3   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $3.80  
AQU-4   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $29.60 $29.60 23.60
AQU-5   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
AQU-6   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
AQU-7   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
AQU-8   Win (6/7/3/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:14 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING FOR GINNY 4 5 5 5 32 2nk 1½ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.80 35% 1.90 1.60 W
KYLE'S MOM 3 2 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 118 2.00 30% 2.40 2.00 P
LUMENIQUE 5 4 3 43 4 43 3 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 1.55  
EXOTIC CAT 2 3 45 3 2½ 3 4 (pregman joh)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
AERIALIST 1 1 1 1 56 518 549 (reynolds patric)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 17.70  
SCR  SWEET LILAC               (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 5.00    
 
AQU-2   04/17/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:124 1:382   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONOR ADVISED 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.40 71% 0.40 0.25 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SHIRL'S DELIGHT 6 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00 3.55  
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
STAND THE RAIN 5 5 56 3 3 34 3 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SUPER SURPRISE by GIANT SURPRISE)
LUCKFORYOU 2 4 34 46 4 49 4 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.75  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
EASILY SIDETRACKED 4 3 610 620½ 624½ 514½ 515¼ (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 55.00  
  (by MCKINZIE out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
THAT'S FUNNY 3 6 4 510½ 512½ 619½ 622½ (sacco gregor)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 17.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of THAT'S SMART by SMART STRIKE)
 
AQU-3   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOULTON 4 3 3 5 5 2 1¼ (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80 0.90  
INCANTATION 5 4 42 31 2nk 1 2¼ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 31% 2.20 5.60 P
BRODERICK 1 5 54 4 1nk 32 3 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00 15.60  
SORORITY PRANK 2 1 2nk 2nk 3½ 4 413 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00 32% 2.10 1.55  
BREWING 3 2 1nk 1nk 41 5 513½ (bernar)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
SCR  HERO'S MEDAL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.00    
 
AQU-4   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S JOKER 4 3 21 2nk   11 1 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 13% 6.40 13.80 W
TETSU 2 6 6 5   21 2 (dutrow richa)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 2.55  
1A  BREW PUB 6 1 11 1nk   4 3 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 17% 4.80 3.75 S
NEUSCHWANSTEIN 1 4 4 4   3 4 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 30% 2.30 2.15  
HONORARY DEGREE 5 5 5 31   510½ 518½ (diprima gregor)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00 7.90  
ABADIN 3 2 31 6   614½ 620 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 3.80  
SCR  RETURN THE RING               (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 121 3.50    
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY               (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
 
AQU-5   04/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD AS HELL 1 1 1 1   15 15 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00 10% 8.60 5.60 W
GUN IT 5 3 33 35   36 25 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 2.85  
SPUN AND WON 4 2 2 2   25 3 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 3.40  
MARIACHI 2 4 44 4   4 414¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 65% 0.50 0.90  
DANGEROUS RIDE 3 5 5 515   521½ 528½ (goberdhan chan)CHANDRA PREM 111 15.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
SCR  M B'S MUNNING               (englehart chri)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
 
AQU-6   04/17/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:131 1:382   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGIN OF AIR 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ 1¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 42% 1.40 1.20 W
BOLD ENDEAVOR 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ 2¼ (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 33% 2.10 1.10 P
LOST IN ROME 2 5 42 31 32 3 3 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5.50  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 1 4 3 4 4 410 410¾ (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
WILD BANKER 5 3 5 5 5 511 511¼ (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 121 30.00 44.50  
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE               (barrera osca)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
SCR  HERMOSO HOMBRE               (abrams jack)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 15.00    
SCR  LIFE AND LIGHT               (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00    
 
AQU-7   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REASONED ANALYSIS 1 1 5 4 2½ 1½ 11 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 44% 1.30 1.55 W
IGNITE THE LIGHT 3 7 7 75 6 32 21 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 123 4.50 3.50  
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 7 4 1 1 1½ 2½ 3 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00 7.90  
REDDINGTON 4 3 2 2 4 42 4 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 3.60  
TREATY OBLIGATION 5 5 32 32 3 5 5 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 34% 2.00 3.85  
1A  LEADING CONTENDER 2 2 4 53 5 6 66 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 1.55  
DRUM ROLL PLEASE 6 6 6 6 7 7 714 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  BIG BOYS ANSWER               (truehart jenni)AGUILAR JEAN 123 10.00    
 
AQU-8   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:12 1:251   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF THE CASTLE 4 2 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 49% 1.00 0.40 W
MAGNI 2 5 4 4 3½ 2½ 22 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50 9% 10.30 5.10 P
10  ARK ROYAL 8 1 53 5 4 34 33 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 37.25  
GORZO 1 8 67 6 610 58 4 (duggan p)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
UNCLE BARRIE 3 6 7 7 711½ 613 514 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 118 30.00 62.75  
BIG EGO 5 4 21 2nk 2nk 44 615 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00 16% 5.40 13.60  
BREAK THE FALL 7 3 3 31 5 713½ 718¾ (de hor)RIVERA R 126 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
VESUVIO 6 7 815½ 815¾ 818 819½ 825¾ (ibrah)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00 11.80  
SCR  FINES CREEK               (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
SCR  TIP OF THE BOOT               (henry nevill)HARKIE K 126 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.