Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/3)-(4/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/1/7)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(4/7/6/3)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(5/6/2)-(5/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(5/7/4)-(4/7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(4/7/1/5)-(1/8/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(1/8/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(1/8/6/5)-(6/2/9/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/5)-(1/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/5)-(1/8/6/5)-(1/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/5)-(6/2/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (6/2/9/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/10/1)-(6/2/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/10/1)-(6/2/9/10/1)-(6/2/9/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARM HOUSE Jan30         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
2  ST. ADDIE Feb08         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HALO DOLLY by JOLIE'S HALO)
3  WILLFUL MAMA Jan10 Dec01 Nov02 Sep13 Aug22 (maker mich)RIVERA R 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  GABBY'S LEGACY Jan05 Dec14 Oct20     (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of FOURSCOREANDSEVEN by COLONEL JOHN)
5  PRETTY MAGICAL Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 Aug22   (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
6  MATERIAL GIRL Dec14 Nov03 Oct05     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 47% 1.10    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TANMAWWY by CANDY RIDE)
 
AQU-2   02/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL CASTING Jan30 Nov29 Oct31 Aug30   (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.60    
1A  CAROL SAID NO Feb07 Jan17 Dec12 Sep28 Aug03 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60    
2  HONEY IN THE BANK Jan25 Jan01 Dec13 Nov22 Oct06 (de hor)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
3  HONORABLE BECKY Feb01 Nov11 Sep24     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  MISSELIOFWAR Jan16 Nov24 Sep13     (deiter ly)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
5  BROADWAY LIGHTS Dec01 Oct27 Oct02 Sep10 Aug17 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  ADA MAY Feb09 Jan17 Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00    
 
AQU-3   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPTUNE BEACH Feb21 Feb02 Dec15 Nov30 Oct31 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 125 4.00    
1A  BIG EGO Feb02 Dec15 Nov22 Nov02 Sep22 (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 125 4.00 30% 2.30    
2  FINDANAME Feb14 Jan16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 (sells rachel)DIAZ J 125 5.00    
3  BREAK THE FALL Jan24 Jan02 May11 Apr04   (de hor)RIVERA R 125 3.50 ★    
4  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Feb02 Dec12 Nov22 Nov07 Apr26 (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  DR HIGH Jan17 Nov30       (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 30.00    
6  SOLOMINI'S LEGACY Feb08         (ferraro jam)ROBLES O 113 15.00    
7  MAGIC BEACH Jan17 Dec12 Nov22 Oct27 Sep03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 7% 12.70    
 
AQU-4   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Jan31 Dec13 Aug24 Apr21 Apr06 (barker r)VIVES SOFIA 126 4.00    
2  LUMENIQUE Feb13 Apr19 Mar10 Feb11   (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 5.00    
3  LONCHURA Nov22 Oct20 Jul05 Jun06 Feb11 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GALLANT GRETA Jan12 Sep21 Aug25 Aug02   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  SKY RUNNER Jan12 Dec13       (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 126 6.00    
6  DANNEEL Feb13 Nov25 Nov12 Jun30 Jun16 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PURPOSE Oct25 Jul15 Apr21     (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 126 2.00 10% 9.30    
 
AQU-5   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMACON Jan26 Dec28 Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jan25 Jan11 Dec29 Nov30 Nov10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIX KINGS Jan03 Oct20 Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  BROWN DON'T STOP Feb21 Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 (bernardini j)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
5  IRON MAN IRA Jan26 Dec01 Nov02 Jul27 Jun15 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
6  FIRST TRUMPET Jan30 Jan17 Jan05 Dec14 Nov29 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLINT Jan16 Nov29 Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
 
AQU-6   02/28/2025 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO RHODES Jan30 Jan03 Nov23 Nov07 Sep26 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
2  STRAPPED Jan11 Dec28 Nov21 Sep21 Aug31 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
3  KOLOMIO Jan16 Dec08 Nov23 Sep18 Aug23 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
4  PORTOS Feb01 Jan16 Jan01 Dec12 Feb29 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUT THE CORD Jan25 Aug30 Aug01 Jun27 May26 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 33% 2.10    
SCR  STREET SWAGG Feb02 Jan01 Nov26 Oct19 Sep18 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
7  PROVE WORTHY Jan23 Dec12 Oct19 Jul14 Jun06 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-7   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AELFGAR Oct02 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  AL AMEEQ Dec01 Oct11 Sep15 Aug03 Jun09 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00    
3  LIGHT THE WAY Jan18 Dec07 Nov11 Oct14 Aug28 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00    
4  SILO RIDGE Jan18 Feb10 Jan13 Dec09 Aug20 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  FACE THE FACTS Dec12 Nov13 Oct10 Sep23   (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE MONOPOLY MAN Jan03 Nov30 Oct31 Oct14 Sep16 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
7  PRINCE OF TRUTH Feb08 Jan26 Apr19 Feb29 Dec30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  ISOMARSHALL Jan17 Jan04 Dec12 Nov22 Nov15 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 123 30.00    
 
AQU-8   02/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE JIM Feb01 Dec06 Oct17     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
2  STEEL VENGEANCE Jan24 Dec28 Nov22     (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
3  GIMME GIMME Jan17 Dec15 Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
4  TAPWRITS TEMPER Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Nov14 Oct24 (potts wayne)ROBLES O 115 6.00    
5  MR. SUGAR DADDY Jan12 Nov18 Sep23 Aug14   (barrow paul)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  JERRY'S OUT Jan17 Dec14 Oct17 Aug17 Jul06 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
7  SOBIESKI Jan31 Jan03 Dec07 Nov18 Oct23 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
8  PUCKISH Nov18 Oct28       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-9   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AH CA IRA Feb01 Jan01 Nov23     (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FRANKIE HICCUPS Dec13 Oct31 Sep28 Aug22   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
3  I AM EV Feb09 Jan17       (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00    
4  ESTHER'S SALAD Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 Nov29   (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
5  SABBY SUNSET Jan24 Jan10 Nov30     (terranova )RIVERA R 120 15.00    
6  TALE OF THE TAIL Feb15 Jan23 Dec29 Dec07   (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
7  MARY IN THE IRONS Feb13         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  DIVORCED OF COURSE Feb14 Jan19 Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 (martin c)VILLA FAVINHO 120 30.00    
9  TOWER TWENTY TWO Feb07 Jan10 Dec07 Nov09 Sep13 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
10  BROKEN ZIPPER Feb01         (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.