Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/3/6)-(7/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/1)-(6/7/3/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(6/7/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/1)-(6/7/3/9/2)-(2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/7/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/9/2)-(6/7/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/9/2)-(6/7/3/9/2)-(6/7/3/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/3/9/2)-(2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/9/2)-(2/1/3)-(3/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/7/6/4)-(8/1/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(8/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/2)-(8/1/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/2)-(8/1/3/2/4)-(8/1/3/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTION MAN         (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MOSLER out of LINEN by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ALL MY LIFE         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of STONERAGEOUS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  BIGTONTEN         (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of MUNJAZAAT by DAAHER)
4  RUFUS         (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
5  ROSE'S WISH Sep20 Jul31       (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  IMPROBABLE FIRST Oct30         (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FIREWATER ROCKET by MACHO ROCKET)
7  WILLA'S BUGAROO Oct07 Sep10       (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 10.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of WILLA WANDO by WANDO)
 
MVR-2   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAISE N GLORY Oct26 Oct10 Sep24 Sep12   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 120 4.00    
2  BE KOZY Sep05 Jul19 Jun20     (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00    
3  MY KINDA PARTY Oct26 Aug10 Jul22 Jul04   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  FLASHY N Oct26 Oct10 Aug28 Aug10 Jul22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120 2.50    
5  SIOFRA Oct09 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jun17 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  MALEAH Oct02 Sep12 Aug10 Jul19   (anderson susa)BRACHO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   11/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HECTOR B Oct27 Oct16 Oct05 Aug10 Jul06 (figueroa ces)AYALA J 124 20.00    
2  ASK ISAAC Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 Jun30 Sep02 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
3  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Oct07 Sep16 Mar08 Jan04 Nov29 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Oct10 Sep23 Aug26 Jun25 Jun08 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00    
5  TEAM TRAVIS Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 Jun19 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
6  JOHNNNY'S GAME Oct10 Sep05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 (tumblin andrew)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
7  LAST COOKIE Nov04 Oct22 Sep29 Sep09 Aug19 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Oct10 Jul08 Jun08 May07 Mar07 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
9  DIABLO DADDY Oct23 Oct10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 (zook w)WHITACRE B 124 2.50    
 
MVR-4   11/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER Oct22 Oct11 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAUTREC Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 Aug20 Jul21 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  VENETIAN DREAM Oct19 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug15 (bailey rica)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.00    
4  SOUPER FORTUNE Oct24 Oct03 Sep21 Sep07 Aug20 (watkins james )DIAZ I 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  VISKI JONES Jun05 May24 May16 Mar07 Jan25 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
6  SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct30 Oct21 Oct11 Sep12 Aug26 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  MONSTER HUNTER Oct29 Oct11 Sep25 Sep12 Sep04 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   11/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Oct30 Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
2  MANGA MAN Sep26 Aug30 Jul30 Jul09 Jun22 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  VISUAL MISSION Nov02 Oct03 Sep10 Aug22 Aug13 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  OUR BUCKWHEAT Oct10 Jun10 Apr01 Feb28 Feb14 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
5  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Oct22 Sep26 Sep04 Apr24 Apr01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
6  INDIAN FEVER Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  GOLD N SILVER Oct10 Aug16 Jul02 Jun10 May06 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
8  NO MAS CERVEZA Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
9  SHANGHAI PRINCE Oct26 Oct02 Sep10 Aug12 Jul26 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
 
MVR-6   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKSTAR RO Oct22 Sep19 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 13% 6.80    
2  INSIDE STUNT Oct30 Sep24 Jun11 May20 Apr22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
3  GOING IN STYLE Oct30 Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  STATESBORO Sep11 Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
5  AYE AYE SIR Oct22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  HEY EUGENE Sep22 Jul27 Jun26 Jun07 May17 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
7  MIGHTY LES Oct30 Aug19 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUITOS M Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
2  HAPPY TAKEOVER Oct29 Apr11 Mar27 Feb24 Feb08 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
3  ROLL ON MAX Oct26 Sep04 Jul31 Jul01 May29 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
4  NATIONAL STORY Oct09 Aug31 Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIVING THE DREAM Oct26 Oct09 Sep04 Aug15 Jul31 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00    
6  SWAYBACK MOBIL Oct26 Oct07 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 122 8.00 5% 18.30    
7  SOCIAL HISTORY Jul15 Jun26 May21 May01 Feb08 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 1.60 22% 3.50    
8  KETTLE KING Oct27 Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 (mauro julia)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT GRANDE Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug28   (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  WAR ON THE RIVER Oct21 Sep04 Jul31 Dec26 Nov22 (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOMENT IN THE DARK May21 May01 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  EARL'S STORMY WIND Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 8.00 ★    
5  STRIKE PLATE Oct26 Sep26 Sep09 Aug28 Aug19 (langley joshu)ZONETT KEYNER 122 15.00    
6  SOL OF VAQUERO Oct07 Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 (campbell antho)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
7  PLAYFULASITGETS Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Jul05 Jun05 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 3.50    
8  REIGNING DREAM Oct26 Oct09 May18 May04 Apr13 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
9  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 Jun11 May04 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.