Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(1/6/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(1/6/10/4/2)-(1/3/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/10/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/10/4/2)-(1/6/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/10/4/2)-(1/6/10/4/2)-(1/6/10/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/6/10/4/2)-(1/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/10/4/2)-(1/3/7/4)-(8/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/7/4)-(8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/4)-(8/1/6)-(4/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/1/6)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6)-(4/3/1)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/4/1)-(6/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/5/3)-(1/2/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURTHOUSE COVE Jul25 Jul11 May21 Aug12 Jun17 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
WITHOUT OBJECTION Jul11 Jun22 May14 Apr28 Apr13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 3.50 9% 9.80    
QUICK QUICK WHIT Jul29 Jul11 Jun24 Jun05 May21 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 121 2.50 33% 2.10    
MIGHTY LES Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 May14 Apr23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 30% 2.30    
BLUNDER Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 Dec11 Nov01 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
LEMON DROP SHOT Dec30 Oct06 Sep18 Aug20 Jun25 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
FALK Jul29 Jun13 Jan26 Dec30 Nov21 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANELA FINA Jul24 Jul01 May27 Nov07 Oct21 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
SOMETHING LUCKY Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 Apr08 Mar19 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 Feb19 Feb07 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
RON DAH LOU         (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
MISS SIX Apr08         (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
MY DANIELA Jul14 Jan11 Dec13 Nov28   (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
BOLD RUBY Jul01 May08 Apr24 Dec13   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
RALPH'S LIL' VICKY Jul17 Jul01       (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
RIVERS RUN RED Nov14 Oct28 Oct10     (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
10  THELMA LUCILLE Jul17 Jul01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
 
TDN-3   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING EASY Jul18 Jun28 Jun17 May29 May13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 24% 3.20    
MAC'S CAILIN Jun12 May27 May08 Nov28 Nov14 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 117 6.00    
QUICK RENDEZVOUS Jun17 May27 Nov28     (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 22% 3.60    
GEMSHINE Jul01 Jun12 May08 Dec20 Nov22 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTESS COLETTE Jul04 Jan11       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 4.00    
VERTISALUTE Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 May27 Oct10 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 8.00    
COMMISSIONER D Feb07 Jan22 Dec13 Sep04   (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-4   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND RETREAT Jul22 Jul01 May13 Mar25 Feb29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
SLIPOFFTHEARIATS         (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 10.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of HIGH HEELED DIVA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
INDY'S HOPE         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
SKUNK APE Jul29 Jul01 Jun12     (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
SCR  BUCKEYE MIKE Jul01 Jun12 May29     (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
WHY KENNY WHY Jul29 Jul01 Jun12 May28 May13 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  PLUM TUFF Jul22 Jul01 Jun17     (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
RIVER BYE         (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of STORM ON BYE by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
 
TDN-5   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOORHEES Jul17 Jun25 Oct19 Oct05 Sep04 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
ARMOR PIERCING Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 May28 Jan15 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
GOLD HERITAGE Jun25 Jun08 Apr09 Feb01 Jan15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
EL BANDIDO Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 May21 May07 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
THE RED MAN Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 Jun08 May28 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 2.50    
SCR  GIZMO'S MISSION Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 May15 Jan15 (moral)TABOADA LIMBER 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLLAR DANCE Jul04         (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
BELLE BOTTOMS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
INSTIGATION Jul22 Jul04 Jun17     (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
COMPLEXITY GIRL Jul22         (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
RENEWED         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 6.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
SIOFRA Jul22 Jun17       (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
 
TDN-7   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT FOR FUN Jun10 May30 May18 May04 Apr24 (bailey rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 4.50    
CATABOUT Jul17 Jun25 May18 May04 Apr24 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
COWCHI Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 Mar17 Mar06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jul17 May18 Apr04 Mar19 Mar04 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 10.00    
FABULOUS CLOWN Jul17 Jun27 Feb13 Dec30 Dec13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 20% 3.90    
CHLOES ANGEL Jul17 Jun27 Jan23 Jan01 Nov29 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
TDN-8   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUDE THE LEGEND         (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 26% 2.90    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
VECCHI Jul01 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
VERNON'S BEST Jul22 Jun17 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
SCR  RICH ON THE RIVER         (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
SWAYBACK MOBIL Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29 May13 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
BUMPKIN Jul22 Jul01 May29 May21 Mar25 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
STRIKE PLATE         (langley )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 12% 7.10    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of ADDED DELIGHT by NORTHERN AFLEET)
AKIMBO Nov15 Sep25       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00    
  (by DANZA out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Jul22 Jul01 Jun12     (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of METTEMARLAMELVA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.