Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/5/4)-(5/1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(1/3/4)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/6/2)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(4/1/5)-(2/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/5/6)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SPOKE Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May20 May06 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 121 5.00 ★    
2  SO DIALED IN Jul03 Jun12 May20 May01 Feb26 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  AYE AYE SIR Jul10 Jun12 May22 Nov02 Sep11 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  IAN GLASS Jun22 May29 May08 Apr19 Apr04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  ONE TEN Jul11 Jun25 Apr04 Feb07 Jan06 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
6  GOOD ON YA Jul03 Jun12 May21 Jan27 Jan12 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
7  GOING IN STYLE Jun22 May21 May08 Apr22 Mar28 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH UNITY Jul03 May22 May01 Nov01 Oct19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
2  SAMURAI PRINCE Jun12 May19 Apr19 Mar22 Nov05 (ackerman kelly)RIVERA R 123 1.80 32% 2.20    
3  TIME TO SHOOT Jul03 Jun12 Oct13 Sep27 Sep08 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00    
4  DOCTOR WU Jul03 Jun12 Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AZTEC Jun01 Apr05 Mar02 Dec04 Nov08 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
6  STATESBORO Jul03 Jun12 May30 Jan26 Jan12 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00    
 
TDN-3   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVIS Oct28 Oct05 Sep07 Jun02 May20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 14% 6.10    
2  LADY LOTTIE Jul02 Jun07 May18 Apr24 Apr13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
3  SHEWEARSMYRING Jul16 Jul02 May21 Apr25 Apr13 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
4  LIONISTIC Jul02 May22 Apr29 Dec26 Nov20 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CITY SCENE Jul04 Jun03 May14 Apr24 Oct28 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 117 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  LOFTHOUSE Jul02 May23 Apr27 Mar17 Feb10 (huffman candac)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
7  PASSIONFORTREASURE Jul02 May22 Apr19 Mar24 Mar13 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CO GOLD Jul01 Jun17 May26 May05 Dec02 (cady khalil)LEON A 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  VARTON May27 May08 Apr19 Mar01 Feb09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00    
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST Jul03 Jun12 May22 May09 Apr23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
4  THEODOROPOULOS Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 May27 May15 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPECIAL BEACH Jul10 Jun12 May27 Apr23 Mar13 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50    
6  MISS OVER THERE Jun08 May27 May04 Apr23 Feb07 (manning richard )VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   07/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA Jun12 May21 Apr29 Apr01 Mar14 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
2  MIRO Jul10 Dec29 Dec08 Oct08 Sep17 (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SENOR SWINGER out of BEAUTIFUL CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  DRURY LANE Jun22 Apr24 Feb23 Jan26   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CARELLA by TAPIT)
4  VINNY AND LEO Jun02 Apr13 Mar24 Jan01   (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SHE BE CLASSY by TOCCET)
5  INTO THE BLACK Jun12         (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
6  TAP VALLEY Jun12 May21 Apr20 Mar28 Feb23 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 16% 5.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASHCONSIDERATIONS by SUPER SAVER)
 
TDN-6   07/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Jul03 May29 May13 Apr22 Mar19 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 5.00 19% 4.40    
2  MAYBETHEONE Jul04 May29 Nov30 Oct28 Sep21 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00    
3  MOST ADORABLE Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr10 Mar25 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
4  WHISKEY DIAMOND Jul15 Jun19 Feb15 Jan17 Oct03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 36% 1.70    
5  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jun17 May29 Apr10 Jan22 Dec20 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE KID'S PRAYER Jul04 Jun17 May29 May13 Oct06 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   07/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME RULER Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 (urieta johann)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
2  HAMMERIN AAMER Jun24 May30 May03 Apr12 Mar10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  EXALTED JOY Jul02 Apr09 Mar07 Feb28 Feb15 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
4  SWELTER Jun08 May04 Apr13 Apr02 Feb13 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
5  SEE SPOT RUN Feb02 Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 Jul18 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jul15 Jun25 Apr09 Mar26 Mar13 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   07/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP AZ CAN BE Jun11 May20 Apr25 Feb22 Nov25 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MISS SUBTLE by MISREMEMBERED)
2  ELKO Jul02 Apr04       (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PRINCESS ASPEN by BIRDSTONE)
3  CATCHMENOW Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Sep20 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00    
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  CANELA FINA Jul01 May27 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
5  NO PAY NO HAY Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr28 Mar28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BIDE A WEE ISLAND by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
6  ALTER THE STARS Jun28 Jun12 Feb24 Jan17 Dec22 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of STARSHIP UNIVERSE by MINESHAFT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.