Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/4)-(4/7/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (4/7/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/10/3)-(4/7/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/10/3)-(4/7/5/10/3)-(4/7/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/5/10/3)-(3/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/10/3)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/7/4/10/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-3   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6)-(3/7/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(3/7/4/10/1)-(2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-4   WIN (3/7/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/10/1)-(3/7/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/10/1)-(3/7/4/10/1)-(3/7/4/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/4/10/1)-(2/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/10/1)-(2/8/7)-(5/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(5/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7)-(5/3/4/1)-(5/1/12/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/1)-(5/1/12/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/1)-(5/1/12/7/2)-(1/3/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-7   WIN (5/1/12/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/12/7/2)-(5/1/12/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/12/7/2)-(5/1/12/7/2)-(5/1/12/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/12/7/2)-(1/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/12/7/2)-(1/3/8/5)-(2/1/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-8   WIN (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/5)-(2/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(1/6/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-9   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/5)-(1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-10   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7/11)-(1/6/4/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KENTUCKY BOURBON Dec08 Nov15 Sep30 Aug04 Jul01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
2  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Mar22 Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 Dec16 (fires h)COURT K 119 8.00    
3  RAM Mar17 Feb23 Jan27 Sep02 Aug18 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
4  CAPTAIN JACK Mar14 Feb25 Feb10 Dec30 Dec15 (durham dane)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRESSURE Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 Nov04 Oct12 (petalino joe)WALES T 124 2.00    
6  HOT TICKET Mar14 Feb10 Dec14 Nov09 May15 (caster boyd)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 15.00 7% 14.00    
7  COLORFUL NATIVE Mar24 Sep29 Sep04 Aug21 Aug04 (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 119 12.00    
8  SUPER CONSTITUTION Mar24 Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 Sep28 (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
OP-2   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITOLEMYBELLE Feb10         (cravens r)TORRES A 120 4.50    
1A  MISS TERRE Mar21 Mar07       (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 120 4.50    
2  SKY RAVEN Apr04 Mar21 Mar08 Jan27 Jan01 (espinoza )BEALMEAR C 108 4.00    
3  ONE CROSS         (soto fer)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  FROSTY VI Mar22 Mar02       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  ZONGS IRISH FROST Mar23 Mar01 Feb17 May04 Apr28 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  SECRET CITY Mar10         (mcbride d)COURT K 115 20.00    
7  DANCE MY WAY Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 Oct31 Oct05 (puhl kim)ZIMMERMAN R 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  MISS MO MESA Mar16 Feb10       (schultz lindsa)CHUAN MARTIN 115 12.00    
9  LITTLEDABWILLDOO Mar02 Feb12       (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 124 20.00    
10  BREATHTAKING FOLLY         (martin timot)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 20.00 8% 11.60    
 
OP-3   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELT WITH YOU Mar09 Feb11 Dec08 Oct20   (robertson mclea)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
2  MAJOR MACK Mar08 Feb16 Jan05 Dec08   (compton greg)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  NULLIFY Mar23 Mar02 Jan27 Dec31 Dec08 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20 29% 2.40    
4  ALWAYS BE SMART Mar09 Feb11 Dec28 Nov04   (zito p)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  IN FORM Mar09         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00    
6  TELL 'EM I'M COMIN Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec31 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHUN MONEY Mar07 Dec31 Dec08 Nov12   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
8  PENROD Jan13 Dec09 Oct01 Aug11   (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
 
OP-4   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED LINE OVERDRIVE Mar10 Feb24 Feb04 Dec10 Nov19 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNCLE BERLEY Jul31 Jul08 Jun02 May05 Mar19 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00    
3  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 Jan05 Sep04 (jansen ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
4  FASTENED Feb09 Jan27 Nov24     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 6% 15.40    
5  SIR Mar22 Mar10 Feb23 Jan27 Dec17 (rone mike)BEALMEAR C 115 20.00    
6  IMPRESSOR Mar02 Jul17 Jun26 Jun02 May21 (jordan todd)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 20.00    
7  AMERICAN ICON Mar22 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 Nov23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.50 10% 8.80    
8  WORTHTHEMONEY Mar16 Oct19 Aug28 Jul22 Jun27 (martin w)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
9  SUPER RENZO Mar23 Feb18 Aug06 Jul23 Jul01 (williams mat)FUENTES A 118 20.00    
10  CRAVENSWORTH Mar16 Mar02 Oct20 Jul21 Jun17 (ward dan)TORRES A 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
11  BORDINOS Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 Sep11 Aug14 (martin timot)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 20.00    
 
OP-5   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLEEZY Mar14 Feb11 Jan27 Dec17 Nov04 (hartlage g)COURT K 121 30.00    
2  SOUTHERN SUNSET Mar15 Feb16 Jan27 Apr22 Apr02 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  BOBWHITE BOBBY Feb11 Dec15 Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 121 10.00    
4  SEVEN FLAT Mar09 Feb23 Nov12 Oct11 Aug19 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00    
5  LIL SWEET THANG Mar09 Feb23 Jul04 Jun03 May06 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 ★    
6  RACY BILLE Mar08 Jan18 Dec14 Oct18 Jul06 (briley lonnie)ZIMMERMAN R 124 8.00    
7  LONG CROW Feb16 Jan28 Oct11 Sep20 Aug26 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 5% 18.20    
8  DANCE SOME MO Mar17 Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  CABALLO FELIZ Mar17 Jan28 Jun17 May29 Apr13 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
 
OP-6   04/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($45K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT FLIGHT Mar17 Feb09 Jan13 Nov24 Oct29 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 12% 7.60    
2  SEARCH ENGINE Mar17 Mar01 Feb09 Jan13 Nov15 (rosin coty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00    
3  THE REDS Feb17 Nov18 Oct22 Sep14 Jul21 (amoss tho)TORRES A 121 1.60 16% 5.10    
4  UNINVITED GUEST Mar21 Jan26 Jan13 Dec29 Nov11 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
5  PHANTOM RIDE Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 Dec07 Oct23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
6  ROMAN CENTURIAN Mar21 Mar01 Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
7  OUTLIER Mar28 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 Jan27 (ginter raymond)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
8  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Mar17 Feb24 Jul23 Jun11 May25 (von ke)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 20.00    
 
OP-7   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU VEE CEE Mar17 Jul14 May06 Apr07 Feb26 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  CAMPISI Mar17 Feb02 Dec16 Nov11 Sep30 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  STOMPING HOTROD Mar17 Mar03 Feb02 Jan01 Aug20 (cates al)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50    
4  HERITAGE PARK Mar17 Feb02 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 120 15.00    
5  COLONEL BARTON Feb25 Dec29 Dec08 Nov11 Oct21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  REEF'S DESTINY Mar17 Mar03 Feb19 Feb02 Jan01 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
7  IM THE MACHINE Mar28 May12 Mar03 Feb05 Nov08 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALLO ENRY Mar17 Mar09 Feb19 Jan06 Aug19 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
9  OBVIOUSLY TOO Aug26 Jul31 Jun11 May20 May05 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 120 30.00    
10  ASPEN CLUB Mar21 Feb18 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
11  FORSAKEN Mar21 Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec29 (espinoza )TORRES A 122 4.50    
12  CHOCTAW ZIP Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Dec17 Apr08 (witt ernie )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  SHAKE UP Mar28 Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Oct01 (westerman)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
SCR  MACHO ROCCO Mar28 Mar02 Feb19 Feb03 Jan01 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00    
 
OP-8   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE PARADE Mar22 Mar02       (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  MAKEMEBELIEVE Mar22 Mar07 Dec29 Nov04 Oct04 (robertson mclea)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
3  FLASHY LASS Mar07 Feb11 Jan27 Dec02 Oct22 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  WILDWOOD BYE Mar30 Mar10 Feb18 Dec30 Dec08 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
5  PRIDDIS Mar08 Feb17 Dec30 Oct20 Sep15 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 6% 15.10    
6  PARIS STYLE (FR) Mar07 Jan27 Dec16 Nov16 Oct19 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 1.80    
7  BUMP IN THE NIGHT Mar14 Mar03 Feb18 Feb04 Nov05 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 20.00    
8  MY GOOD FORTUNE Mar07 Feb11 Dec02 Oct25 Sep29 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
OP-9   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($140K) 3 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAZIA Dec09 Nov12       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 117 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  FREEBURN Mar13 Feb22 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 (asmussen )TORRES A 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  FLOATING BEAUTY Jan20 Dec31 Nov25     (briley lonnie)ZIMMERMAN R 117 10.00    
SCR  BROOKLYNN DREW Mar16 Feb04 Dec29     (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 3.50    
5  DIVINE GAL Mar29 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 Nov18 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOONLIT LADY Mar24         (gutierrez faust)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
7  LADY MOSCATO Mar17 Feb17 Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00    
8  AZTEC EMPRESS Feb02 Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 Nov05 (hornsby t)BEALMEAR C 110 20.00    
 
OP-10   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT FICTION Mar02 Jan28 Jan13 Nov12 Oct14 (gibson jo)TORRES A 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  RARE STRIPE Mar05 Feb17 Jan05 Nov20 Nov02 (hewitt michael)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
3  COMMUNICATION MEMO Mar21 Feb16 Jan27 Jan04 Nov25 (dixon tim)BEALMEAR C 113 12.00    
4  SLAM DUNK SERMON Mar10 Feb16 Dec29 Oct18 Jun23 (rosin w)ZIMMERMAN R 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
5  LAMUTANAATTY Mar07 Feb25 Feb04 Dec09 Nov03 (rarick wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50    
6  CREME DE LA CHROME Mar16 Mar02 Jan05 Nov14 Oct08 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  CHARTER OAK Mar14 Feb10 Jan06 May21 Apr22 (green ike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  DOUBLE TUFF Feb16 Jan28 Nov13 Aug22 Jul15 (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  PULL MY CHAIN Dec16 Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 Jun17 (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 30.00    
10  MISTER SHARPIE Mar21 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Nov17 (jordan tod)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
11  UNDER THE GUN Mar03 Feb16 Jan28 Dec17 Nov24 (ward dan)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00 ★    
12  CIBOLO Feb17 Jan06 Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00    
SCR  BLACK STORM Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 Dec29 Dec16 (moquett rona)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 10.00    
SCR  KID SHELLEEN Mar22 Mar10 Dec06 Nov18 Oct25 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.