Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/7/1)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-3   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(5/2/4)-(1/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/5)-(1/3)-(5/7/9/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/7/9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/7/9/2)-(9/7/5/6/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/2)-(5/7/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/2)-(5/7/9/8/2)-(5/7/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/9/2)-(9/7/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/2)-(9/7/5/6/3)-(4/6/9/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/7/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/6/3)-(9/7/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/6/3)-(9/7/5/6/3)-(9/7/5/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/5/6/3)-(4/6/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (4/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/8)-(4/6/9/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/8)-(4/6/9/3/8)-(4/6/9/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDENLY FAMOUS Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 Aug04 Jul21 (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 2.50    
2  LITE RANCHIN KID Feb22 Nov28 Oct14 Sep10 Aug19 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
3  FREEZE 'EM         (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 121 5.00    
4  SHINING TIGER Feb22 Feb05 Sep17 Jul28   (koler steve)RADKE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRENCH ONION Jul02         (silva l)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
TUP-3   03/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LOVE MUFFIN Feb14 Apr22 Apr12 Apr03 Mar07 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
2  PAID IN FULL Feb20 Feb05 Nov18 Oct14 Sep07 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Feb13 Jan31 Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
4  ALL THE KING'S MEN Feb20 Jan30 Dec17 Nov25 Oct28 (story chad)CORBETT W 122 3.00 ★    
5  DE LA LUNA Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct21 Sep11 (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50    
6  EL CAPRICHO Feb21 Feb13 Jan27 Nov26 Nov10 (dennis cl)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
7  HEIR (FR) Feb20 Jan30 Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-4   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENT BY ANGELS Jul09 Jun11 Apr19 Mar25   (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50    
2  KAMIKAZE BLUE Feb13 Jan31 Dec17 Nov08 Oct19 (nelson amy)REYES R 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  DOOZY Dec02 Aug31       (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00    
4  ENGLISH MEADOW Feb14 Jan31 Oct01 Aug19 Jul03 (person a)RADKE K 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
5  DADS DIVA Feb14 Jan31 Dec05 Oct13   (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  BETSY IS THE CODE Feb22 Jan06 Nov23 Oct15 Jul27 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MATY Feb04 Jan15 Jan01 Dec08 Nov17 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  CAT ON THE RUN Feb15 Apr29       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50    
3  PRINCESS K Jan05 Dec09 Oct21 Sep10   (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 4.00    
4  SHILSHOLE BAY Feb13 Jan31 Oct08 Sep18 Sep10 (lawrence )VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  MEMORIES IN GOLD         (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZACANGO PRIDE Feb21 Dec17 Sep02 Jul09   (esquibel mark)LULL E 121 10.00    
7  DIVINE GIFT Feb13 Jan26 Dec26     (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  INZAWAY Feb06 Jan12 Nov21 Sep30 Sep09 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 121 8.00    
 
TUP-6   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSCZECH Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (anderson gonzal)CRUZ M 122 5.00 66% 0.50    
2  LOVELY LOLA Feb14 Dec13 Nov14 Oct22 Oct01 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00    
3  DIPLOMATICA Oct11 Aug24 Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 7% 14.10    
4  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Feb19 May06 Apr24 Apr10 Mar18 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 ★    
5  A DIME FOR ME Feb11 Jan19 Jan01 Nov25 Oct21 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 ★    
6  TWELVE STARS Feb01 Dec19 Dec05 Nov13 Apr04 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
7  NAN ELIZABETH Nov24 Nov03 Oct14 Oct06 Sep10 (silva-mart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
8  MISS IMPORTANT Oct11 Sep14 Aug06 Jul15 Jun04 (christian billy)RADKE K 122 15.00    
 
TUP-7   03/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA POPIS Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 Oct07 Sep17 (silva-mart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
2  HOT LIL MESS Jan05 Dec12 Dec05 Oct18 Sep03 (guerrero or)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  A THOUSAND DREAMS Feb21 Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 Jul03 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 6.00    
4  REALREALGOOD May06 Mar14 Feb01 Jan04 Sep12 (fearon jo)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
5  GYPSY ROSIE Feb06 Dec05 Nov13 Sep20 Aug05 (barraza ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  BIG BELL Feb21 Jun09 May27 May07 Apr09 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
7  MISS JOANNIE Feb21 Feb07 Nov20 Sep13 Aug29 (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
8  GET MY POINT Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 Oct29 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 ★    
9  SEE YOU AT THE TOP Feb15 Feb05 Jan12 Dec05 Oct18 (silva l)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-8   03/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Feb12 Jan30 Jan19 Oct29 Oct13 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
2  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Feb21 Oct13 Oct06 Sep17 Sep09 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
3  FANCY PAYNTER Feb20 Feb01 Nov11 Oct18 Sep05 (ortiz man)IRONEYES R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARBOR SKY Feb26 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50    
5  OUR VALLEY Jan31 Dec11 Oct29 Oct15 Sep13 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  STEALTH MISSION Feb20 Jan30 Oct29 Oct18 Sep29 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLUE SKYE JADE Feb20 Jan29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (williams dewey)LULL E 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
8  BRICKHOUSE Feb14 Jan19 Nov13 Oct28 Oct18 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
9  JOKER MATT Feb20 Feb06 Nov21 Oct25 Oct15 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
10  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Feb14 Jan29 Dec18 Nov28 Oct25 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-9   03/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Oct26 Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Aug28 (rojas murr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
2  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Feb14 Jan29 Oct17 Sep18 Aug28 (rojas murray )VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
3  INESPERADO (FR) Feb07 Dec18 Sep04 Aug09 Jul03 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 3.00 ★    
4  SALINE RIVER Feb20 Jan30 Oct26 Sep27 Aug31 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
5  COASTAL WATERS Oct27 Oct06 Sep10 Aug03 Jul16 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
6  CASHANOVA Sep03 Aug16 Jul27 Jul16 Apr29 (asprino alfre)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
7  LUKA GRAZIE Jan14 Dec26 Nov17 Oct27 Sep24 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00    
8  BERNALINHO Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jun10 (nelson amy)REYES R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  TED Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 Jun22 Jan22 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 7% 13.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.