Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/6)-(3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(4/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(4/7/9/8)-(3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-3   WIN (4/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/8)-(4/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/8)-(4/7/9/8)-(4/7/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/9/8)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/8)-(3/2)-(6/10/3/4/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/10/3/4/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/10/3/4/7)-(5/6/7/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-5   WIN (6/10/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/4/7)-(6/10/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/4/7)-(6/10/3/4/7)-(6/10/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/3/4/7)-(5/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/10/3/4/7)-(5/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/2/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1/2)-(5/6/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/2/9)-(4/1/5/3/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (4/8/6/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/2/9)-(4/8/6/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/2/9)-(4/8/6/2/9)-(4/8/6/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/6/2/9)-(4/1/5/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/2/9)-(4/1/5/3/6)-(12/11/8/6/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-8   WIN (4/1/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3/6)-(4/1/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3/6)-(4/1/5/3/6)-(4/1/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/3/6)-(12/11/8/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
OP-9   WIN (12/11/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/11/8/6/7)-(12/11/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/11/8/6/7)-(12/11/8/6/7)-(12/11/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALVAARO Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 Jul07 Jun11 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.00 14% 6.30    
2  MARVELOUS THUNDER Feb03 Dec17 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 (cline n)ZIMMERMAN R 115 15.00    
SCR  WYFIRE Feb09 Jan06 Dec05 Nov24 Sep09 (rufino eu)BEALMEAR C 113 10.00 11% 8.10    
4  HOLDING PATTERN Feb02 Jan01 Dec17 May04 Mar23 (swearingen tom)QUINONEZ S 115 10.00    
5  JOE FRAZIER Feb03 Dec29 Jun10 May06 Apr15 (martin ti)TORRES A 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
6  STRINGS Dec16 Sep23 Aug11 Jul17 Apr07 (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
7  ROSIE'S BOY Feb02 Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (mcbride burl)BARBOSA CARLOS 108 30.00    
8  RISK PROFILE Feb02 Jan06 Nov22 Oct11 Sep17 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 124 5.00    
 
OP-2   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 34 ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIRICO Feb03 Jan01 Oct28 Oct08   (brisset )SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
2  WE MISS ARLINGTON Dec30 Oct18       (divito ja)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
3  POWER SLAM Jan13 Nov08 Oct20 Sep24 Aug19 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 116 3.50 64% 0.60    
4  SOUND DOCTRINE Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 Jul28 Jun24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00 ★    
5  J J'S JOKER Jan06 Dec17 Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 1.80    
6  WESTERN GHENT Feb04 Aug17 Jul23 Jul07 Jun10 (lukas w)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEAS OF NORMANDY Jan27 Nov03 Sep24 Apr08 Mar11 (jewell ian)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
8  PASS LINE Jan05 Dec17 Nov02 Oct12 Sep17 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
 
OP-3   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST COAST HARBOR         (puhich mike)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00    
2  TEXAS HOTTIE         (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 122 5.00    
3  LILMS CONSTITUTION Dec31 Sep16       (compton g)TORRES A 122 10.00    
4  WAMPUS KITTEN Sep23         (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  DELACINA         (chleborad lynn)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  TAKER BACK Feb10         (haran joh)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
7  QUEEN OF SALSA         (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  SHE'S NOT A JOKE Jan26 Dec09 Jun26     (martin timo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00 8% 11.40    
9  FOXY ZORRA Dec31         (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 16% 5.50    
 
OP-4   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL'S LI'L MAN Jul03 Jun12 May27 Mar26 Jan20 (chleborad lynn)CHUAN MARTIN 116 6.00    
2  LIGHTNING STRUCK Jan28 Jan06 Sep15 Aug21 Jul31 (martin timo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 6% 14.70    
3  GOOD SCOUT Jan28 Dec17 Aug07 Jun17 May18 (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 2.50 68% 0.50    
4  W W CRAZY Jan06 Dec09 Nov10 Sep23 Aug01 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
5  MONEY RUN Jan06 Nov09 Oct12 Sep08 Aug19 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.50 ★    
6  KOWBOYKABIN Nov18 Jan07 Nov06 Oct14 Sep04 (rarick wade)QUINONEZ S 120 8.00    
7  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Jan28 Jan06 Nov22 Oct19 Sep07 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00 ★    
8  DEFLATER Dec29 Dec16 Jul20 Jul03 Jun03 (cline robert )BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00    
 
OP-5   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA TREVA Jan12 Dec15 Nov14 Oct12 Dec09 (jordan todd )BARBOSA CARLOS 111 30.00    
2  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Oct10 Sep19 Mar19 Dec18 Nov16 (becker scott)FUENTES A 118 4.50    
3  SIMONA'S CHOICE Jan06 Dec15 Oct25 Sep13 Jul23 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  LA V. Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 Oct25 Sep21 (simms jr)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00 6% 15.20    
5  ALSANAH Dec29 Dec08 Nov01 Oct11 Sep24 (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
6  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Jan13 Nov28 Nov18 Oct25 Oct05 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  HALAGA Feb03 Jan12 Oct29 Sep08 Aug18 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  H. T. XENA Dec29 Nov26 Oct06 Feb12 Dec15 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
9  SHE DAZZLE Dec28 Nov26 Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
10  ESSENTIAL BUSINESS Jan26 Sep29 Sep16 Aug24 Aug04 (compton gre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
OP-6   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMPHIS PHAROAH Aug12 Jul16       (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
2  PINELAND Dec16 Nov24 Nov01     (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of INHERITANCE by TAPIT)
3  DON CORLEONE Jan21 Dec09 Mar26 Feb20 Sep03 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
4  MUSICAL MAESTRO Jan06 Dec17 Jun26     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MISS KILROY by A.P. INDY)
5  MIRACLE WORKER Apr01 Feb18       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TALK SHOW by SMART STRIKE)
6  SIMOVIC Jan28 Jan06 Apr02 Mar11 Feb18 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.00 15% 5.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of COUGARSTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MILLERS RITE Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 May05 Apr08 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ROMANTIC FROLIC by VINDICATION)
8  TRUE FAITH         (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
9  MILLCREEK ROAD Jan28 May18       (northrop debra)COURT K 125 30.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MAURA by DEHERE)
 
OP-7   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO RONNIE Feb09 Jan01 May12 Apr07 Mar26 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 122 30.00    
2  BLAME J D Feb02 Jan01 Oct13 Aug16 Aug02 (durham dane)HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 6.00 7% 14.00    
3  CITRUS BAY Feb02 Dec17 Dec09 Sep04 Jul29 (tranquilin)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 20.00    
4  ONE TEN STADIUM Feb09 Jan06 Dec13 May06 Apr15 (moquett )SANTANA JR 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
5  REEF'S DESTINY Feb02 Jan01 Dec09 Jul16 Jun25 (cline n)ZIMMERMAN R 122 15.00    
6  BETTYS CASH Feb09 Jan01 May06 Apr23 Mar23 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
7  TABLE MONEY Dec29 Dec17 Aug06 Jul13 Jun07 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 125 10.00    
8  MACHO ROCCO Feb03 Jan01 Nov22 Sep16 Sep02 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
9  HESS Jan01         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  ALLO ENRY Jan06 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun12 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 122 30.00    
 
OP-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($62.5K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Feb10 Jun09 May06 Apr08 Sep23 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  MACRON Feb03 Dec29 Dec30 Dec09 Oct15 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
3  NINJA WARRIOR Jan27 Apr22 Mar31 Feb18 Jan28 (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 8.00 13% 7.00    
4  C Z ROCKET Jan19 Nov25 Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  PAYNE Feb09 Dec30 Dec08 Nov26 Oct28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  DERBY DATE Dec16 Nov11 Oct02 Sep07 Aug02 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACCIDENTAL HERO Jan12 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 (jewell ian)ZIMMERMAN R 119 30.00    
8  EDGE TO EDGE Feb03 Dec30 Nov12 May06 Apr15 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.00    
9  SPANKSTER Nov05 Sep17 Aug26 Jul01 May04 (cunningha)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
 
OP-9   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET ALL THE GOLD Dec09         (soto fermin)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 30.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of ROADTOGOLD by QUALITY ROAD)
2  BERABERABERA Jan12 Sep03       (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PROUD MOVER by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  WELCOMETOARKANSAS Jan01 Nov16 Nov16     (cates al)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISS E U by READY'S IMAGE)
4  HAYAHLOOKATME         (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SLICK AND TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  TIME ANDBEYOND Jan01 Oct26 Sep21 Mar25 Feb25 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TRUTH AND ZEN by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  SECRET STRATEGY Jan01 Dec09 Jul29 Jun24   (chleborad lynn)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of GRANDMA ANNIE by EDDINGTON)
7  DIDJA         (wilson m)SANTANA JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of DINGIADA by BANDINI)
8  TURQUOISE BLUE         (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAYRONA by A. P. WARRIOR)
9  STRIKE RIDGE         (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of MEGYNS GOLD by ZENSATIONAL)
10  BO NUGGET Jan12         (hewitt michael)COURT K 118 30.00    
  (by EXHI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  TASK Jan01 Sep09       (witt ernie )HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of HANNAH'S JOURNEY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  PATTON'S TIZZY Jan12         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by PAYNTER out of UNCOMPLICATED by HALF OURS)
SCR  ROCKET SANDERS Jan12         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 118 2.50    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of BE MY CAROLINE by STORM AND A HALF)
SCR  KISSOFTHENILE Jan13 Jul22 Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 (villafran)BEALMEAR C 118 12.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.