Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/8/7)-(2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7)-(2/5/1)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/6/1)-(11/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(11/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(11/9)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (11/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/9)-(11/9/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (11/9)-(11/9/6)-(11/9/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (11/9)-(6/2/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (11/9)-(6/2/4/5)-(1/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/5)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/5)-(1/6/3)-(4/7/1/11/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/7/1/11/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(4/7/1/11/9)-(3/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/7/1/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/11/9)-(4/7/1/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/11/9)-(4/7/1/11/9)-(4/7/1/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/1/11/9)-(3/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/12/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR HUNT Dec08         (laurin roger)CASTANON L 120 8.00    
SCR  LENA'S JAZZ Dec22 Dec02 Oct14     (barbazoniii les)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
3  LATE NIGHT LIVING Jan03 Dec13 May31     (granitz a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.00 ★    
4  PEACE NOT WAR Dec02 Aug25 Jul16 Jul02   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
5  FORT BLING         (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  FRIZZANTE Dec08 Aug17 Jul19     (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
 
TAM-2   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACHELORETTE Dec16 Nov25 Oct18 Jan21 Dec30 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00    
2  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Nov22 Oct19 Sep21 Jul22 Jun08 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
3  SHE'S A JOY Dec23 Nov25 Oct27 Sep09 Aug11 (werneth rober)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.50 ★    
SCR  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Dec23 Dec01 Nov03 Oct08   (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 2.50    
5  CLOUDY BAY Dec23 Sep30 Aug28 Jul22 Jun30 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  SUSIE'S SAVER Dec29 Dec08 Dec01 Sep14 Aug09 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
7  ALWAYS ROYAL Dec03 Oct28 Apr23 Mar19 Mar02 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Dec24 Jun30 Apr29 Apr01   (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 17% 4.80    
 
TAM-3   01/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDEAL BREEZE Dec27 Aug13 Jul21 Jun09 Apr19 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 10% 9.30    
2  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Dec30 Nov25 Oct23 Sep09 Aug26 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
3  ROYAL TO BE Dec30 Oct23 Oct07 Jul12 Jun24 (roque elis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 12.00 ★    
4  QUEENS RANSOM Jan06 Nov25 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 (perkinson cc)FERRER C 122 15.00    
5  NURSE JUDY May31 Mar17 Jan15 Dec28 Dec16 (tsirigotis )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Dec20 Nov25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 (bowersock mar)SOSA LAUREANO 115 6.00    
7  RUBYSA Dec30 Dec20 Nov25 Sep22 Aug05 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00    
 
TAM-4   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR KANOO Dec24 Dec01 Feb04     (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Dec20 Nov22 Oct18 Sep22 Sep02 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00    
3  ESTILO MAGICO Apr15 Mar22 Feb01 Jan14   (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  MALIBU MIKE Dec31 Dec15 Mar04 Feb03 Jan13 (dobber arnou)ARROYO S 118 4.00 ★    
5  COOL MEMORY Dec02 Aug13 Jul28 Jun25   (josep)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50    
6  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Dec01 Oct28       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
7  UNCAPTURED STAR Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Oct28 Oct01 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00    
 
TAM-5   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MADI Dec15 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul15 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 116 4.50    
SCR  D CITY GIRL Dec31 Dec22 Nov03 Oct01 Jun30 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
SCR  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Dec31 Oct23 Jul04 Jun10   (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 123 15.00    
SCR  RAPID MISS TAPIT Dec31 Nov25 Oct26 Aug26 Aug04 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 3.50    
5  SUBTLE SENORITA Nov11 Oct27 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 (dominguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 12.00    
6  ORIGAMI GIRL Oct21 Aug04 May29 May05 Mar25 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 123 2.00 ★    
SCR  BLACK AND SILVER Dec24 Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 Sep30 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 123 30.00    
SCR  AMOR SALVAJE Dec31 Dec13 Nov25 Aug17 Aug03 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
9  HURRY UP DEAR Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 Jun17 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  AMARULA SUN Dec30 Dec06 Oct20 Oct08 Aug25 (wasiluk )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00    
11  TESHIMA Dec31 Dec22 Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 123 8.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  DELIZIOSA Dec31 Jul27 Jul13 Feb05 Jan14 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00    
SCR  MARK WITH AN E Aug20 Jul29 Jun19 May14 Jun08 (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLA ROMANCE Dec31 Dec15 Nov24 Jul01 May13 (mcgoey monica)IORIO MELISSA 111 15.00    
2  DEVRA WARRIOR Sep19 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 Apr22 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 2.50 14% 6.20    
3  ALLIE'S HALO Dec31 Dec16 Nov29 Oct28 Sep30 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 115 12.00    
4  TAYYARA Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Oct14 Sep03 (d'angelo )MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 3.00 11% 8.00    
5  TIME TO SALSA Dec30 Dec16 Nov25     (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHUT IT CALI Dec15 Nov24 Sep06 Aug18 May31 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
7  LADY LANCER Dec16 Nov01 Oct18 Oct06 Aug24 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
8  NUCCI Dec31 Dec15 Jul14 Jun17 Apr20 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.50    
9  STURDY GIRL Dec16 Nov24 Aug13 Jul15 Jun04 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIO MARA Dec20 Nov24       (crichton roh)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  NIMMO         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 ★    
3  SKYLANE Dec27 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Dec30 Dec08 Sep25 Aug23 Jul19 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 4.00    
SCR  D FLASH         (jones dou)HERRERA R 120 15.00    
6  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH         (bennett gerald)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  HERCULES N LOVE Dec31 Dec01 Oct07 Aug29 Jul04 (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 120 12.00    
8  BIGLY DEAL Aug06 Jul08       (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 6.00    
 
TAM-8   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOHENGRIN TWO Dec13 Nov11 Sep24 Aug23 Jul10 (potts wayne)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  GRAINGER COUNTY Dec13 Oct10 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
3  JUPITER BLUES Sep22 Aug24 Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 8.00    
4  SMASH FACTOR Dec13 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Sep17 (smith r)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50 48% 1.10    
5  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Dec29 Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Oct09 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 115 3.00    
6  RULING FRONT Dec29 Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Jul31 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 122 20.00    
7  MR. EXTENSION Aug20 Aug12 May29 May14 Mar17 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
8  SNEAKINESS Nov22 Nov02 Oct11 Aug26 Jul28 (rodriguez angel )FERRER C 122 15.00    
9  HIGH YIELD KITTEN Oct23 Sep25 May28 Apr22 Apr08 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MI GUSTO ES Dec29 Dec13 Aug14 Jul09 Jun15 (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 15.00    
11  MONEY SONG Dec13 Oct20 Aug31 Jun01 Apr07 (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   01/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPY HUNTER Dec22 Nov25 Oct29 Oct23   (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 12.00    
2  BIG MARTINI Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Jul14 Jun24 (crichton roh)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  THE JUDGE AND JURY Jan03 Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 Sep06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  HOWBEIT Dec23 Nov11 Aug26 Jul22 May27 (morey e)FERRER C 118 5.00    
5  THOUGHT Dec15 Nov12 Jul27 Jun25 May29 (cazares )GALLARDO A 120 8.00 ★    
6  SAN COSTANTINO Dec27 Nov25 Sep20 Sep01 Aug10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Dec22 Nov24 Oct21 Aug26 Jul29 (walder r)CENTENO E 118 3.50    
8  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 30.00    
9  WINTER'S GHOST Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00    
SCR  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Dec16 Oct22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 (sacco gregory )CASTANON L 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.