Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/7/1)-(4/1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(4/1/7/3)-(5/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(5/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3)-(5/3/6/1)-(4/8/11/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(4/8/11/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(4/8/11/3/5)-(5/8/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/8/11/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/11/3/5)-(4/8/11/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/11/3/5)-(4/8/11/3/5)-(4/8/11/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/11/3/5)-(5/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/11/3/5)-(5/8/1/6)-(2/5/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/6)-(5/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/6)-(5/8/1/6)-(5/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/6)-(2/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(11/3/12/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6/1)-(2/5/3/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/6)-(11/3/12/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/6)-(11/3/12/8/1)-(12/10/4/8/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (11/3/12/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/12/8/1)-(11/3/12/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/12/8/1)-(11/3/12/8/1)-(11/3/12/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/12/8/1)-(12/10/4/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (12/10/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/10/4/8/6)-(12/10/4/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/10/4/8/6)-(12/10/4/8/6)-(12/10/4/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR CROSS Dec06 Nov03 Oct15 Aug19 Jul29 (gatis chris)FERRER C 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Jul20 Jun25 May27 May06 Apr01 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 1.00 44% 1.30    
3  SIR KAHN Dec06 Nov03 Sep22 Sep03 Aug06 (pita d)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
4  BEAST OR FAMINE Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  TAP EM Dec03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug02 Jun28 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
6  ROGER MCQUEEN Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
 
TAM-2   12/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITHRIX         (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00 15% 5.70    
2  DASH TO FINISH Dec08 Oct07       (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
3  MALIBU BRAD Nov22 Oct19 Sep03     (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 20.00    
4  BINGO WAS HIS NAME Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  DOWNEY'S WAY Sep29         (deaton willia)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
6  HORSESHOE PATSY Oct07         (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 8.00 ★    
7  INDIO MARA Nov24         (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  YOU BACK         (rigattieri jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00    
 
TAM-3   12/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Nov25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  BIONDA SUPRISE Aug04 Jul22 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 (yanez r)FERRER C 122 10.00    
3  AWESOME APEAL Oct21 Oct13 Aug10 Jul21 Jun26 (rodrig)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHALL RETURN Oct21 Aug27 Aug06 Jun30 Jun10 (baxter georgin)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  ISLAND MAGIC Oct28 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 Jun10 (gatis chris)FUENTES MARIO 122 3.50    
6  CSILLA May06 Apr19 Apr05 Mar18 Mar03 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00    
7  MUSICAL CAT Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Jul27 Jul01 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
8  RUBYSA Nov25 Sep22 Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 (rodriguez a)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00    
 
TAM-4   12/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CANDY Aug09 Jul13 May25 Feb04 Dec31 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZIP CODE ENVY Dec09 Oct11 Sep04 Aug10 Jul18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 2.50    
3  AFTER A FEW Oct21 Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 Jul09 (smith r)SOSA LAUREANO 113 4.50 16% 5.20    
4  MOON ROSE Oct06 Sep09 Jul14 Jun30 May21 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
5  DIVISIBILITY Mar29 Mar03 Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  SEA ART Sep17 Aug31 Aug09 Jun17 Apr06 (carrascoj)VARGAS A 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  THE SWEATY FOX Oct21 Oct09 Sep22 Aug06 Jun30 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
8  MISTY GALE Oct31 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul04 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 110 20.00    
 
TAM-5   12/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIDA FINA Oct18 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 122 30.00    
2  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 May06 Apr22 (duffy)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00    
3  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Nov22 Oct18 Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 8% 11.90    
4  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Nov22 Oct05 Sep20 Aug19 Jul06 (smith robert )SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
5  HEZMORETHANREADY Nov01 Sep29 Sep06 Aug18 Jul30 (house gary)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DUKE OF DOOLY Mar31 Mar10 Feb20 Feb11 Jan14 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00    
7  SEAX Dec08 Nov22 Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 122 20.00    
8  BORDER PATROL Dec06 Oct12 Aug31 Aug16 Jul21 (gulick m)CASTANON L 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
9  SMART JOKER Jan08 Nov10 Sep15 Aug13 Jul10 (hemingway mich)ALLEN D 124 3.50    
10  INSTIGATING Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Apr30 Apr14 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00    
11  PERFECT MOON Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Sep07 Aug25 (cascallares ne)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
12  OUR DARK COURAGE Dec08 Aug25 Aug10     (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
SCR  NOBLE AND KIND Nov12 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Mar08 (bennett ger)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 5.00    
 
TAM-6   12/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTS GOT IT Dec02 Oct15 Sep26 Aug16 Jun14 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  GORGEOUS GIRL (ARG) Sep30 Aug13 Jul29     (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 115 8.00    
3  EVERDOIT Dec02 Oct11       (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
4  EL PRINCIPITO Dec02 Nov04 Sep30 Sep15   (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
5  EXTRA HALO Nov18 Oct03 Aug19     (granitz anth)BATISTA A 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  BATI KING Nov01 Oct13 Sep22 Jun10   (ochoa gerard)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 7% 12.80    
7  TUSCAN RULER Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 Jul02   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
8  TAKESCHARGESMILING Oct13         (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-7   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENA'S WISDOM Nov19 Oct11 Sep02 Jul28 Jun25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
2  SASSY CHARLEE Nov29 Sep25 Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  RITABOOK Nov25 Sep22 Aug16 Jul06 Jun17 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
4  IMMORTALLOVE Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 Aug10 Apr12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00    
5  PRACTICALITY Nov24 Sep23 Aug24 Jun18 May28 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  DEL REY DOLLY Nov25 Sep20 Jul23 Jul02 Aug20 (guciardo ka)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAND SWEETHEART Nov29 Sep30 Aug06 Jul09 May20 (cudworth paul)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
8  ONE TOUGH DAME Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Sep22 Sep04 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
9  JUST MERCY Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Apr29 Jan29 (preudhomm)HERRERA R 118 30.00    
 
TAM-8   12/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN EVENING         (damen daniel)CENTENO E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
2  SOUTHERN COTTON Nov10         (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
  (by CABO LOBO out of CRYSTALEIGH by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
3  HOPESNDREAMS Sep28 Sep10 Aug13     (dini mike)VARGAS A 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of EXCHANGEABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  LADY LYLA Nov10         (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MAKES PERFECTSENSE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  MAXS PICK Nov03 Oct18       (correa maxine)FERRER C 119 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  U LITE UP MY LIFE Dec02 Nov19       (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DIDO by BERNSTEIN)
7  UNO UNO Sep10         (cascallares n)LUGO D 119 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  FLUFFY Dec02 Nov10 Oct29 Oct07 Sep22 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of HAUNTING MELODY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  RUNAWAY DIVA         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of THEE PIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  PRINCESS GLADYS         (gulick m)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DULCE PERICULUM by EL CORREDOR)
11  MANAGING MISCHIEF Aug06         (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTING ESSENCE by MIDSHIPMAN)
12  FLEUR DELACOUR Dec02 Oct25       (rice kevin)WALKER M 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
13  DANNEEL Dec02 Oct21 Oct08 Sep22   (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS VIGILANCE by WAR PASS)
SCR  VERINA         (garcia rodolfo)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of VERUSCHKA by TWO PUNCH)
 
TAM-9   12/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT VALIANT Aug20 Jul15 Jun17 May28 Apr26 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
2  BLACK LIMO Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00    
3  GUEST CHECK Nov29 Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 Jun24 (perkinson cc)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
4  ERLAN Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct31 Oct15 (cascallares ne)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 7% 14.20    
5  ASTRAL WEEKS Dec14 Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 (coy ro)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00    
6  NIP OF BOURBON Oct24 Sep26 Sep06 Mar18 Feb24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Oct25 Oct17 Sep20 Aug21 Jul25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
8  THE BEARRISH ONE Nov29 Nov04 Oct27 Oct18 Oct07 (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 10.00 6% 16.80    
9  RUN LEA RUN Nov24 Oct13 Sep04 Aug17 Aug03 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
10  SUMMER ALL YEAR Nov22 Aug12 Jul20 Jul09 Jun17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
11  GONNA BE EPIC Nov05 Sep10 Jul23 Jul08 Jul08 (delgado j)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 4.50    
12  EMBER Nov17 Nov05 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.