Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(5/1/4)-(5/10/6/1/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/10/6/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/10/6/1/9)-(9/3/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/10/6/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/6/1/9)-(5/10/6/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/6/1/9)-(5/10/6/1/9)-(5/10/6/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/6/1/9)-(9/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/6/1/9)-(9/3/1/6)-(7/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-4   WIN (9/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6/8)-(9/3/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/1/6)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/6)-(7/3)-(1/7/4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-5   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(1/7/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(1/7/4/5)-(5/9/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5/10)-(1/7/4/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(5/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(5/9/7)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/7)-(5/9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/9/7)-(5/9/7/2)-(5/9/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/9/7)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7)-(5/6/2)-(2/9/10/8/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/9/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/8/5)-(2/9/10/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/8/5)-(2/9/10/8/5)-(2/9/10/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIEND'S DO CARE Dec01 Nov18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (larrosa a)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  ROBUST Nov04 Sep25 Aug26 Aug07 Jul09 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  BUD WON Nov11 Oct25 Oct11 Sep02 Aug03 (degeyter ran)DEL-CID MARLON 117 2.00    
4  MORO FLASHBACK Jul31 Jun09 Jul02     (ortiz jav)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
5  SUNSET WAR Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Jan13 Dec27 (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
6  EL JEFE COBB Nov22 Nov10 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
7  MARKETBOOK Nov17 Nov04 Sep12 Aug19 Jun04 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
DED-2   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WA WA WEE WA Nov25 Oct25 Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 120 4.00 10% 9.10    
2  VALLEJO Oct12 Aug28 Jul01 Feb23 Jan06 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
3  BOSTON PAULETTE Nov03 Sep11 Aug05 Jul15 Jun16 (segura kearne)VARGAS P 115 10.00    
4  MISS DARLENE Nov15 Oct12 Aug27 Jul10 Jul10 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 5.00 8% 12.20    
5  ROSIE'S ANGUS Nov15 Aug03 Jun10 May18 Apr28 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 3.50 54% 0.90    
6  MAGNA COLORS Nov15 Oct26 Sep04 Jul08 Jun03 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
7  ELI'S GIRL Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Aug13 Jun25 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00    
 
DED-3   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANKTON'S COWGIRL         (landry ra)POMPELL L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAXIMUM MOXIE Nov18         (averett ronnie)BIRZER E 122 8.00    
SCR  BAYOU BERTIE Nov18         (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00    
4  MIDNIGHT CIGARETTE         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 10.00    
5  SHEZA HOT STORM Nov18 Oct18       (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  MY LUCKY BREAK         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 5.00 8% 12.10    
7  ALBANIAN PRINCESS         (broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00    
8  SHEZAPERFECTDREAM         (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 122 6.00    
9  C C SENORA         (landry allen )VARGAS P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  REAL DEAL RYAN Nov18 Oct11 Aug05 Jul14   (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
DED-4   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARLIE GRAS Nov30 Oct14 Sep04 Aug05 Jul27 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 116 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  BEYOND D'ORO Oct21 Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 May27 (simon leste)LEDET THEODRICK 116 15.00    
3  PUGLIA Nov22 Oct14 Sep03 Jul15 May27 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 16% 5.20    
4  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
5  APRETTYLULABY Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 5.00    
6  BARRANCA Nov22 Nov08 Oct19 Jun24 Jun01 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
7  LOVIN LIVIN Nov22 Oct14 Aug21 Jul09 Mar05 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
8  SASSY EMMA Nov17 Oct28 Jul27 Jun29 May27 (chatters bena)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 ★    
9  SENSE OF FLURRY Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Aug13 Jul26 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
DED-5   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S LEGACY Dec01 Nov17 Oct19 Sep21 Jun23 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00    
2  MOR BIG LEE Nov08 Oct18 Aug04 Jul14 Mar25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 3.50 ★    
3  GOLDUSTER Nov17 Oct20 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEXAS TURBINE Dec07 Oct20 Jun22 May20 Apr22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00 ★    
5  GILDERSLEEVE Nov30 Oct18 Aug29 May21 Apr29 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 116 10.00    
6  RUSH THE COLORS Oct27 Jul21 Jul02 May12 Apr29 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
7  LORD BRANCUSI Jan30 Nov20 Jul17 Jun04 Apr29 (evans justin)BIRZER E 119 1.40 77% 0.30    
8  CLASSIC RED RACER Nov15 Oct18 Aug10 Jul21 May26 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 12.00    
 
DED-6   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTEMINABIND Dec01 Oct12 Aug20 Jul28 Jul01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  DARING DARIAN Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May19 Apr12 (zeno benjamin)DEONAUTH P 123 15.00    
3  SWEET STORMY ELLE Dec01 Nov21 Jan04 Dec15 Nov16 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 123 12.00    
4  BEULAH K Nov25 Nov02 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
5  GRACE'S SOLDIER Nov16 Oct25 Aug27 Aug12 Jul13 (zenon shelton)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
6  JULIO CHOICE Dec01 Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Aug20 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
7  ZIPPING MOLLY Dec01 Nov02 Aug10 Jul01 Jun15 (robbins jr)STOKES J 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
8  LIVVY LOU Aug27 Jan06 Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 (avant kelly)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00    
SCR  CHICKIETOWN STAR Nov02 Oct18 Aug10 Jul06 May10 (cormier winston)STOKES A 123 20.00    
10  TENPINS TEMPEST Nov21 Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 Jan14 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Feb02 Dec19 Dec07 Nov19 Aug25 (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
SCR  BRIDLED UP Nov16 Aug10 Apr27 Dec22 Jun03 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 15.00    
 
DED-7   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAYNT BATTLE Dec01 Nov04 Oct14 Sep12 Aug28 (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
2  MISTER K Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 Sep05 Jul30 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00 ★    
3  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Nov18 Oct21 Aug21 Jul08 Jun22 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 116 6.00    
4  LAUNCHED Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Mar19 Mar04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 119 15.00    
5  SECRET VISTA Apr20 Mar04 Feb09 Jan15 Dec10 (west henry)STOKES A 116 6.00 43% 1.30    
6  SHUT UP MAN Nov08 Oct19 Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.50    
7  HIS GIANT Nov30 Oct20 Jul04 Jun05 Mar04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  VIOLENT CITY Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct13 Sep02 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 2.50    
9  MONGOLIAN BEE Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 Aug17 Aug02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
DED-8   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESSED ASSURANCE Nov17 Nov04 Oct19 Aug04 Jul01 (dison ma)STOKES A 118 8.00    
2  MISS JANA Nov04 Aug29 Jul29 Jul01 May18 (gibson jona)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  LADY HOPPER May11 Apr12 Mar26 Feb17 Feb04 (ludwig b)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
SCR  CHARLIE T Nov25 Jun22 Apr21 Mar26 Mar11 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50    
5  KYLE BEAUTY May05 Apr07 Mar22 Feb04 Jan05 (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 118 5.00 39% 1.60    
6  FLASHY MEG Oct12 Aug12 Jun03 May05 Feb24 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 33% 2.10    
7  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Nov04 May26 Apr14 Feb18 Dec26 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
8  WON DAY Dec02 Nov04 Feb26 Feb03 Dec22 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 8.00 ★    
9  BRAVE CITY GIRL Oct26 Aug11 Jun29 Jun10 May28 (zenon shelton)NEGRON LUIS 119 20.00    
 
DED-9   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCATS'S MEOW Dec01 Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
2  CHIEFS BLANKET Sep29 Aug24 Aug13 Jun24   (evans justin)BIRZER E 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  COLE'S SENSATION Nov15 Oct27 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (delahoussay)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
4  UNCLE CHAN Nov29 Nov08 Oct26 Aug05 Jul14 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
5  CLEARLY A JET Oct26 Aug29 Jul29 Jun19 May22 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIXIE'S ASTRO Dec02         (dunn ray)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
7  SMOOTH CUSTOM Nov15 Oct26 Jul28 May13 Jan21 (celestine char)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
8  RED OCTOBER Nov17 Sep11 Aug26 Jul13 May20 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00 7% 13.70    
9  R T'S IRON MAN Nov21 Nov08 Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
10  HOLIDAY RUN Nov17 Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul08 (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00 7% 13.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.