Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(6/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(7/1/3)-(5/4/3/8/7) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(5/4/3/8/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/4/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8/7)-(5/4/3/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8/7)-(5/4/3/8/7)-(5/4/3/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8/7)-(3/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(1/6/8)-(8/2/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/8)-(8/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEING CREATIVE Nov14 Nov04 Oct24 Feb23 Feb14 (zawitz joel)VIGIL NOEL 120 20.00    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Sep24 Sep10 (fiesman l)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 10% 9.00    
LOLA FLO Nov02 Oct21 Sep26 Sep06 Aug12 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
MISS FORT Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 Aug13 Jul30 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MANHATTAN LADY Nov15 Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Aug23 (brown t)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
KINGSTON TIME Nov20 Oct15 Sep27 Sep05 Jul11 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.80 64% 0.60    
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE Nov15 Nov07 Oct10 Sep19 Sep03 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00    
ALICIA'S WAY Nov15 Oct30 Oct04 Sep19 Aug21 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
 
MNR-2   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  D'FUNNY GIRL Sep03 Aug20       (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 118 10.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
TAPTAP Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 Aug25 (pyke j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
S S FLAMINGO Oct03         (jimenez miguel)JURADO EDDIE 118 10.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of VERONICA'S LAKE by SALT LAKE)
OK EMILY Nov13 Jul24 Jun01 May25 Apr29 (collins tim)NELSON TYRONE 123 20.00    
  (by ALPHA out of HEARTED by GRAND REWARD)
XPENSIVE PRINCESS         (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PRINCESS JANELLE by CAME HOME)
S S COSMOPOLITAN Oct03 Sep03       (jimenez mig)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SMART TRADE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  S S FOUR QUEENS Oct13 Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 Feb16 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 1.80    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of ALASKA MISS by OFFICER)
XHILARATINGPURPOSE         (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SOUL PURPOSE by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
 
MNR-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAZILIAN SEA         (sipp burton)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 10.00 7% 13.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SEA SWIFT by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
DUST STORM Nov05 Oct10 Aug02 Jul11 May23 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ZIP IT KIM by CITY ZIP)
FAITHFUL STEPS         (howard will)WILLIAMS AJHARI 115 30.00 7% 13.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
MR HARRY Nov14 Oct30 Oct18 Sep17 Sep03 (sipp burt)HERNANDEZ H 118 12.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
EL BANDIDO Nov09 Oct30 Oct09 Sep19 Aug24 (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 2.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KITTEN SQUARED by KITTEN'S JOY)
SPY TOWN Nov14 Oct17 Oct06 Sep04 Aug28 (meals lois)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SENORA QUATORZE by LOUIS QUATORZE)
KNOCKOUT GUY Nov12 Oct30 Oct23 Oct10 Sep17 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 8.00 58% 0.70    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
MNR-4   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOCKO ROAD Nov14 Oct22 Aug27 Aug14 Aug01 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
MAS CHIKILIN Nov05 Oct23 Oct09 Sep26 Sep03 (murillo rodrigu)VEGA L 120 12.00    
BEN LOMOND Nov13 Oct23 Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
ACE DESTROYER Oct30 Oct10 Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
UNCLE CARLITO Nov08 Oct09 Sep26 Dec05 Nov21 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
VALIANT THOR Nov08 Oct30 Oct06 Jul20 Jul11 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
SKYSCANNER Nov14 Oct18 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SEMINOLE JUSTICE Nov13 Oct30 Oct08 Sep11 Aug30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
KICKSTARTER Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Jul30 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
10  FEDERALE Nov14 Oct30 Oct11 Aug22 Aug09 (pease harry)NELSON TYRONE 120 15.00    
SCR  PERFECT WAGER Nov04 Oct26 Oct07 Sep12 Aug30 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-5   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPRAISAL Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 Sep05 Jul25 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
ACROSS THE AISLE Sep27 Aug28 Aug03 Jul18 Jun13 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
LIKEABLE Oct28 Oct02 Sep22 Aug27 May16 (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
ZERO GRAVITY Nov13 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Aug06 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 4.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE Nov18 Oct31 Sep30 Sep20 Aug26 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
HAGLER Nov06 Oct31 Oct23 Sep28 Sep14 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 123 4.50    
STRIKE THE TOP Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-6   11/27/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC MOUNTAIN Nov08 Oct11 Sep19 Aug15 Jul31 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
REJUVENATE Nov14 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Sep13 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 139 0.80 32% 2.20    
KRUSIN ROCKET Nov13 Nov05 Oct16 Sep25 Aug21 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
CAJUN MANDATE Nov14 Nov01 Oct22 Oct09 Sep27 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
SKYLAS GOLD Nov14 Nov01 Oct22 Oct09 Sep26 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 125 30.00    
SOMERSET BAY Nov14 Oct09 Sep26 Sep13 Aug20 (stano)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00    
JOSHY JAK Nov08 Oct17 Sep24 Jul11 Jun19 (logston)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 16% 5.40    
INSPIRING JUSTICE Nov14 Nov01 Jul12 Oct17 Sep19 (fairma)BATISTA ALBERTO 131 5.00    
 
MNR-7   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK ROSE Oct26 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  YOGURT Aug30 Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 May17 (short derrick)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
SCR  SWEET QUEEN BEE Nov14 Oct18 Sep18 Aug29 Aug08 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00    
AMAAZA Nov13 Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 Aug22 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00    
SISTER'S DUTY Nov10 Oct20 Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
ORBIT MARS Oct25 Oct04 Sep12 Sep05 Aug08 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Nov21 Oct31 Aug20 Jul26 Jul04 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
LADY JEAN Nov03 Oct20 Oct09 Sep21 Aug24 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL Oct31 Oct18 Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 (inirio ca)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00    
10  BLEST LIFE Oct03 Sep16 Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
 
MNR-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMIZME Nov19 Nov07 Oct07 Sep21 Sep04 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 118 8.00    
SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH May02 Dec12 Nov28 Nov06 Oct05 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 24% 3.30    
SCR  LT. LYDIA Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 121 8.00    
ABIGAIL G Nov12 Nov01 Oct17 Oct07 Sep23 (rodak geral)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  WHISKEY TALKING Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Aug30 Aug15 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.00    
RED ROSEBUSH Nov12 Oct18 Sep18 Aug31 Jul07 (cluley dennis)NELSON TYRONE 120 12.00    
THIS ONE CAN RUN Oct29 Sep25 Sep13 Jul20 Jul01 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
STELLAR LEGACY Nov12 Oct22 Jun20 May15 Apr29 (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
MARPIN Nov19 Oct15 Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 10.00    
SCR  NOGRATZ Nov19 Oct22 Oct04 Sep17 Aug30 (fiesman l)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.