Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (11/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/4/3)-(11/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/4/3)-(11/4/3)-(11/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (8/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/2)-(8/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10/2)-(8/10/2)-(8/10/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/11/4)-(7/11/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/11/4)-(7/11/3/6/4)-(7/11/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-9   WIN (9/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/5)-(9/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/5)-(9/8/6/5)-(9/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/4/3)-(9/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROUD MULE Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 May13 (ward dan)RIVERA R 110 10.00    
2  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Aug27 Aug11 Jul16 Jun24 May29 (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00    
SCR  RIDING PRETTY Sep02 Jul29 Jul08 Jun04 Apr01 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 115 2.50    
SCR  BRAMBLE BAY Jul27 Jul08 May20 Apr21 Jan26 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
5  THE CLASSY ONE Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 Nov27 Oct28 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Jul30 Jul08 Dec04 Sep05 Aug15 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
7  BEL PENSIERO Jul28 Jul15 Jun23 Jan07 Dec10 (margotta antho)MOYA F 115 10.00 21% 3.70    
8  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Aug11 Jun17 May27 Apr07 Mar19 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.50    
 
MTH-2   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT OF AURUM         (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SCENIC ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
2  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
3  DOLLAR LIBERTY         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DEBASE THE DOLLAR by MALIBU MOON)
4  HORSEPOWER Aug20 Jul08       (orseno f)FERRER C 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
5  TWO'S A CROWD Aug20         (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAHABODHI TREE by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  FOR SOME REASON         (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of RESOLANA by PUT IT BACK)
SCR  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Aug27 Aug12 Jul23     (sacco greg)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LITTLE RED EXPRESS by MONARCHOS)
 
MTH-3   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Aug04 Jul07       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 8.00    
SCR  BINGO STAR Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May27 May13 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
SCR  BENEVOLENTLY Jul29 Aug04 Jul04     (hennig mark)TORRES JOMAR 118 20.00    
4  KEEP ON ROCKIN Apr07 Feb08       (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 7% 14.30    
5  WHISKEY AND RAIN Aug19 Jul21 Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 (simon linda)COTTO L 118 30.00    
6  NEVER PERSONAL Jul23 Jun23 May13 Jan14 Oct28 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
SCR  GET LOADED Aug26 Aug18 Aug05     (sacco gregory)OLVER MADISON 111 3.50    
8  GIO MARIA Nov12 Oct15 Aug28 Jul23 Jun16 (hernande)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 5% 18.10    
SCR  CYMBAL COURT Jun15 Mar26 Dec09     (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 66% 0.50    
10  BABY CAKES Aug27 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Sep11 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
SCR  HARD TO CATCH Aug13         (spina charles)MOYA F 118 15.00    
12  ZULLY BELLA Aug13 May03       (hernan)MARAGH RAMSAY 116 20.00    
SCR  MY REAL DREAM Jul29 Jun24 Dec15 Oct23 Sep23 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 30.00    
SCR  YELOMA Jul30 Jul19 Jun18 May25 May03 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 30.00    
 
MTH-4   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILDOON Aug27         (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 6.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
2  SHARP EYES Aug13         (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of LOOK INTO MY EYES by CITY ZIP)
3  SPEIGHTFULELECTION Aug19         (motion graham)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.50 13% 6.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LANDSLIDE ELECTION by ARTIE SCHILLER)
4  MACANGA         (dobles el)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
5  HOPESNDREAMS Aug13         (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 4.50 25% 3.10    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of EXCHANGEABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  DONE ENOUGH Aug05 Jun16       (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of REVENGEFULPLEASURE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  POWER SQUEEZE Aug19         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 110 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  SPANISH GIRL         (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 117 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHANGHAI STARLET by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
 
MTH-5   09/10/2023 7920ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Presious Passion Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OCEANS MAP Jul28 Jun17 Jan18 Dec17 Oct15 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PART THE SEAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  SY DOG Sep09 Aug23 Aug03 Jul04 Aug06 (motion graham)NO RIDER 118 2.50    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
3  SERIFOS Jul27 Jun18 May20 Oct20 Sep10 (motion graham)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
4  BE HERE Aug18 Jul28 Jun17 May27 Mar30 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00 23% 3.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of INFORMED DECISION by MONARCHOS)
5  SHADIZAAR May04 Feb03 Jan01 Sep11 Aug20 (gulyas peter)USKE S 118 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of BRAMPTON by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TIZ A GIANT Aug26 Jul28 May19 Dec01 Oct28 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of GIANT CRYSTAL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Sep09 Aug12 Jun10 May06 Oct08 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of MOTIVATION by MUHTATHIR)
SCR  IT CAN BE DONE Aug23 Jul21 Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 (sacco d)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GOTHAM CITY GIRL by FREUD)
9  NO SALT Aug10 Jul02 Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 (volk scott)FERRER C 118 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
10  AFFABLE MONARCH Aug26 Jul22 Jun10 May18 Nov27 (duarte jr)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SOCIAL QUEEN by DYNAFORMER)
11  PORTOS Aug18 Aug02 Jul13 Jun10 Apr01 (potts wayne)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TAPIT out of FIERCE BOOTS by TIZNOW)
 
MTH-6   09/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST BREAK Sep02 Aug18 May20 Jul26 Apr29 (falcone ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 4.50 56% 0.80    
2  LORD MIO Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 May20 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 Apr21 Apr08 (perez carl)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
SCR  WILLY MC Jul07 May30 May09 Apr17 Mar20 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 113 3.00    
5  BAM BAM WARRIOR Sep02 Aug05 Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
6  SPACE ODESSEY Aug18 Jun09 May27 Apr14 Mar24 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
7  MAJOR KONG Jul07 Jun18 May27 May05 Apr14 (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
8  VIKRAM Jul02 Jun09 May13 Apr12 Mar27 (hernandez jose)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  SOUPER CATCH Aug30 Aug06 Jul19 May18 Apr30 (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
 
MTH-7   09/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHIMMERING LEROID Aug04 Jul08 May29 Apr22 Apr02 (dini mike)FERRER C 119 10.00    
2  CALLOWAY PEAK Jul20 Jul08 Jun16 May25 Nov25 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal ra)VARGAS A 116 4.00    
4  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Sep02 Jul15 Jul07 Jun27 Jun16 (gallim)GONZALEZ JR 121 30.00    
5  GONNA BE EPIC Jul23 Jul08 Jul08 Apr30 Apr03 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
6  BRINDISI Aug25 Jul23 Jul03 May23 May09 (gomez pompeyo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  GRATIA PRINCE Aug05 Apr26 Apr01 Mar12 Feb03 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 116 6.00    
8  COMEDIC TIMING Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 May29 Oct15 (farro patricia)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  MOST WANTED MAN Aug20 Jul09 May20 Apr22 Mar17 (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
10  TRUEBELIEVE Jun02 Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 22% 3.60    
 
MTH-8   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  V MART Sep02 Aug17 Jul02 May29 May21 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 10.00    
2  SMOOTH RICO Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun24 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 15.00    
3  QUICKENING Aug18 Sep18 Aug01 May20   (gonzalez clau)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00 ★    
4  BODONTKNOW Aug18 Jul29 Jul01 Jun02 May11 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WESTOVER Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 (mcburney)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
6  FUN AT THE FORT Aug05 Jul09 Mar19 Mar01 Feb11 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00 ★    
7  BET HE'S READY Mar05 Feb20 Nov23 Oct22 Mar16 (diodoro robert)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
8  TIEMPO PERFECTO Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 117 30.00    
9  COWBOY JIM Aug20 Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 Oct18 (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
10  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
11  BET OF THE CENTURY Sep04 Aug12 Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 (ramirez s)VARGAS A 117 5.00 18% 4.50    
12  FATIH Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun18 Jun11 (paterno t)JUAREZ NIK 117 15.00    
 
MTH-9   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMODA Aug12 Jul28 Jul16 Jun18 Sep11 (skelton da)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 20.00    
2  MYSTIC DREAMS Aug11 Jul15 Jun30 Apr01 Mar15 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
3  INFLUENTIALOUS Aug11 Jun30 Jun02 May03 Mar25 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL Aug13 Jun30 Jun09 Jun03 May20 (delgado jose )OLVER MADISON 110 3.50    
5  RIGBY Jul16 Jun10 Jun02 May07 Apr21 (camejo jos)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LONDON LADY Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00 13% 6.40    
7  RAINOUT Aug11 Jul21 Jul08 Jun30 Jun02 (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 30.00    
8  QUICK POWER NAP Aug25 Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 May20 (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
9  LADY SHYLOCK May27 Mar30 Mar03 Feb02 Nov27 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 112 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  SEDONA ROCKS Aug13 Jul16 Jun30 Jun03 Dec18 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  LEMON TAFFY Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan07 Dec01 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 121 30.00    
 
MTH-10   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEDINGOATEYOBABY Aug12         (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BERNARDINI out of STARGIRL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Aug26 Aug04 Jul15 Jul08 Jun19 (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TIME TO REIGN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  WELL TIMED (GER)         (foglia ant)RIVERA R 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of SAHARA MOMENT by SAHARA HEAT)
4  SMOOTH PLAYER         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 5.00 ★    
  (by OUTWORK out of TURLINGTON by TAPIZAR)
5  REDFIELD Aug04         (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 117 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
6  ULTIMATE STRIKE Aug06         (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SOUTHERN GEM by SMART STRIKE)
7  AGUILA REAL Aug20         (gomez pompe)MARTINEZ ERASMO 117 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PIRATE QUEEN by BARON DE VAUX)
8  ZAVA Sep03 Aug12 Jul23     (hills tim)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of AMERICAN LASS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
9  DONT ROCK THE BOAT Jul23 Jun17 Jun03     (owens )MARAGH RAMSAY 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.