Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - June 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/5/3)-(2/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/3/4)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/2/6)-(2/7/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(2/7/8/3)-(4/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/3)-(4/1/7)-(3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   06/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LIGHTFEET Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 117 2.00 56% 0.80    
I CAME TO DANCE May24 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
ARROGANTE May24 May06 Apr20 Mar31 Mar13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 117 15.00    
UNION FOLLY Apr29 Mar25       (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00    
CHARM ALARM May11         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
BOUND BY TRUTH Apr26 Mar23 Jun16 May25 May12 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   06/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HERE'S WALDO Apr20 Mar22 Jan26 Dec16 Nov25 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
CRITICAL THINKING May04 Dec28 Nov25 Nov08 Sep14 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00    
KAZ SUGAR BANK May11 Apr06 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
DR. STEVE Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 Jan26 Jan10 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
FAMISHED May17 Mar30 Mar04 Feb05 Jan15 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
MIDNIGHT ACT May17 Apr20 Apr01 Mar22 Mar13 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
YES SIR ROBERT May17 Apr20 Mar12 Feb24 Jan21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
 
PEN-3   06/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURPLE SHIRT May17 Mar29 Mar17 Feb15 Jan07 (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 113 15.00    
CHRIS AND DAVE May11 Apr21 Mar29 Mar16 Feb08 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
WILL E SUTTON Apr21 Mar25 Mar15 Mar03 Feb14 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
COOL COMEDIAN Apr20 Mar15 Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAL CAL May06 Apr20 Mar24 Mar01 Feb15 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 3.50    
A T M AWESOME May11 Apr27 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
 
PEN-4   06/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING IT COUNTRY May10 Apr26 Feb17 Jan20 Dec20 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50    
DIXIE CANNONBALL Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
BEAST OR FAMINE May10 Jan28 Jan11 Feb06   (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
LIONESQUE May19 May04 Feb23 Jan20 Dec13 (cooper st)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
SPOOKY ONE May10 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Jan25 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
EDWARD MADDEN May10 Apr19 Mar29 Dec07 Nov14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   06/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT OPS May20 May09 Apr17 Mar28 Feb22 (lake scott )INIRIO J 120 5.00    
ECONOMIC POWER May12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb08 Dec16 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
RUNABOUT Apr14 Mar19 Jan29 Jan07 Dec08 (englehart jeff)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Apr21 Mar29 Mar02 Feb01 Nov29 (shuchman allan)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
EVEN THUNDER May12 Jan27 Jan06 Nov13 Oct27 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
SCR  ANTIPOISON May29 Apr22 Apr14 Apr06 Mar17 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
GRAND WISER May12 Apr19 Mar16 Feb22 Jan27 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
VOUCH Apr19 Mar16 Mar02 Feb22 Feb08 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 17% 4.90    
 
PEN-6   06/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPEFULLY ICU May18 Apr26 Mar15 Feb10 Jan27 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  SIRENETTA May16 May05 Apr17 Apr05 Mar22 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 119 15.00    
LUCKY BREEZE May16 May03 Apr26 Apr10 Mar09 (arce josue)ROLDAN FELISHA 117 4.50    
HAPPY TAPPY TIM May07 Mar23 Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 68% 0.50    
FUELED UP May24 Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
SCR  LOVELY MELAYRA Apr26 Mar30 Dec07 Oct11 Aug23 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
DESI'S REWARD May06 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Jan20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   06/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP THE CLUTCH May24 May09 Apr25 Feb28 Feb08 (farro patrici)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00    
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY May24 May05 Mar09 Feb22 Dec02 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 15.00    
HIGHWAY QUEEN May12 May04 Apr08 Mar31 Mar22 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.50 37% 1.70    
ALWAJD May05 Apr20 Apr12 Feb17 Jan13 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
ESTA CHUCK May04 Mar15 Feb02 Dec30 Dec14 (jacavone jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 6.00    
LIL H May04 Mar22 Dec16 Nov18 Oct19 (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.