Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/4/1)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/4)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/4/1)-(3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3)-(7/3/5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
BTP-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3)-(7/3/5)-(3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(3/2)-(8/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(8/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/3)-(8/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURRY SPUR Apr13 Apr04 Mar09 Feb13 Jan26 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  DR. ZARNETT Apr25 Mar23 Feb20 Jan26 Dec21 (meyers shane)NAVAS YOEL 116 2.50 ★    
3  PLATE IT UP May15 May08 Apr11 Mar23 Mar08 (gonzalez )CORREA L 121 6.00    
4  BEAT THE DEALER Apr29 Apr04 Mar08 Feb20 Dec20 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  HONOR THE D Apr11 Mar23 Dec30 Dec12 Oct10 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 4.00    
 
BTP-2   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR Oct23 Jul15       (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 6.00 18% 4.50    
2  ANDY WALKS WITH ME May11 Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
3  FLAGSTONE Mar15 Feb09 Jan20 Jan01 Dec22 (shetron phyllis)BUSH V 125 5.00    
4  VAMOS ANTONIO Oct06 Sep20 Aug17 Aug02 Jul26 (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  ARNO Apr16         (knippenberg )MARCANO Y 114 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  SUPERCOOL May21 May30 Mar11 Jan23   (foley greg)MCKEE J 125 1.60    
 
BTP-3   05/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT'S CROSS Sep21 Mar05 Jan23     (van thomas)MCKEE J 123 4.00 61% 0.70    
2  GOTSOMEMOJO May06 Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
SCR  FRANKIE BARONE May04 Dec13 Nov08 Oct26 Sep19 (west m)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.00    
4  ARTEMUS EAGLE Apr13 Mar23 Feb10 Jan03 Dec05 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  TORNADO BOY May06 Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
 
BTP-4   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST FELIX Sep07 Aug10 Jun19 May22 Apr02 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.00 19% 4.10    
2  MY GRASS IS BLUE Apr29 Apr01 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 (pitts dan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 4.50    
3  CHROME'S RIGHT Feb17 Jan15 Nov27 Oct30 Oct19 (howard maryanne)MCKEE J 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  SUPER BROTHER Apr29 Apr13 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 (skeens je)CORREA L 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
5  ROAD MINISTER Apr26 Apr08 Mar17     (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 117 8.00    
SCR  BLUE NORTHER Apr29 Apr06 Feb24 Jan25 Dec30 (wells duane)OUZTS W 123 3.50    
 
BTP-5   05/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA CORONA May04 Aug01 Jul07     (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  AZAMANA EMPIRE May10 Apr13 Mar30 Mar04 Dec30 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FAR OUT FREEBIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  TROUBLE MAKING Sep05 Jul04 Jun22 Jun01 Apr27 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FI by LANGFUHR)
SCR  BIRD SET FREE Apr18 Mar09       (pitts c)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of GATEWAY TO GOLD by ARCH)
5  POINT WELL TAKEN May16 Apr23 Mar31 Mar04 Dec09 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 3.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
6  MORE THAN ROSES         (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 119 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZELDA ROSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
 
BTP-6   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESDEMONA KAY Oct10 Sep21       (riley barbara)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 10.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
2  KISS THE RED HEAD Mar27 Mar09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct03 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
  (by KISS THE KID out of PAIGE'S SNIP IT by NEW WORLD ORDER)
3  WHYNAUGHTY May04         (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of WOODYS NIGHT WATCH by MONDAVI)
4  SISSY'S MAY May17         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 4.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  HEIDI'S SHADOW         (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 3.50 6% 15.60    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
6  EMERALD EYES May11 Apr24       (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 ★    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
7  SWEET MOBILTEE Dec13 Nov30 Nov12 Oct29 Oct10 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
 
BTP-7   05/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANITE CANDY May10 Mar04 Jun16 May31 May10 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 116 6.00    
2  SOFIA STRONG May02 Mar04 Feb08 Jan25 Nov30 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 2.50 11% 8.00    
3  LUCKY US May13 Apr27 Mar17 Feb22 Jan27 (adams l)REYES R 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  BLUE LILY Jan06 Dec03 Sep13 Jul19 Jun13 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 6.00    
SCR  DAIGLE Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec17 Dec04 (andrade h)CORREA L 121 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Apr13 Jan18 Dec28 Nov02 Oct15 (englehart jeffrey)OUZTS W 121 3.00    
 
BTP-8   05/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL ORB Apr30 Apr14 Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 (lawrence dalton)LOPEZ E 125 8.00    
2  GENERAL GINNY Apr28 Jan20 Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 (dillion jimm)TAPARA BRANDON 125 4.50    
3  COTIA Sep26 Jul26 Jun13 May17 Mar17 (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 125 6.00 7% 13.10    
4  HERO OF THE BEST May05 Mar17 Feb10 Oct07 Aug17 (krummen mon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00    
5  POQUITO ROSE Apr27 Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 Jan19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 4.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN May05 Apr28 Apr15 Mar18 Dec30 (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00 ★    
7  FIVE QUEENS Apr28 Apr01 Mar19 Mar03 Feb18 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 10.00    
8  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Feb23 Feb10 Jan04 Dec08 Sep28 (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.