Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/1/4)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/2)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/2)-(1/4)-(6/1/4/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/1/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/1/4/2)-(2/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/2)-(2/7)-(3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/7/2)-(4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-9   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/1/8)-(4/3/2/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Apr11 Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  PARTY FOUL Mar03 Feb05 Jan15 Nov18 Oct30 (soranno jill)RADKE K 124 1.80    
3  DECIMATE Sep10 Aug19 Jul08 Jun18 May15 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  MILEYS BLUECAT May06 Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 Oct16 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  BARBARIAN Feb15 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
6  WARRIORS HERO Mar07 Dec21 Nov28 Nov15 Sep10 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 124 10.00    
 
EMD-2   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 (jenne bonnie)RADKE K 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  HARBOR OUTLAW Sep10 Sep02 Aug13 Jul31 Jul09 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 124 4.50    
3  FORTY SMOOCHES Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 124 4.00    
4  BESAME MUCHO Mar19 Mar06 Feb11 Jan12 Dec20 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 124 8.00 7% 12.80    
5  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Mar19 Feb27 Feb07 Jan11 Nov19 (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00    
6  ANNA'S IRON MAN May01 Mar19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
EMD-3   05/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSIBLE LUTE         (simkins rosie)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
2  ME GUSTA LUNA         (velasque)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  NATION'S BELLE Sep17         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SANDY HARBOR         (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 4.00    
5  METEOR SHOWER         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
6  SPARKLES AND SPURS Aug06 Jul17       (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00    
7  FOREVER AMBER Sep17 Sep02 Jul31     (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 6.00    
 
EMD-4   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDIED LUTE Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 121 4.50 11% 8.50    
2  TRIBAL IMPACT May13 Apr04 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 6% 15.50    
3  HASHTAG BAE Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 Jun11   (hoover)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
4  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Mar21 Feb25 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  MINOSO May13 Mar26 Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00    
6  ROCKED May06 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  COMMAND SGT MAJOR May06 Dec26 Nov19 Sep03 Aug21 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
 
EMD-5   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DYNAMIC Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Jul02   (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 117 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  SILVERY ORB Jul03         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 3.50 ★    
3  DADS ESTRELLA Apr22 Apr09 Mar19 Jan28 Jan07 (alvarez sergio)RADKE K 120 4.00    
4  CHIC SAMARAI Apr10 Mar11       (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  PRINCESS PAYTON Sep10 Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 10.00    
6  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Apr10 Mar14 Feb06 Jan07 Dec20 (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
 
EMD-6   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW EAGLE Apr18 Mar28 Mar11 Feb21 Feb09 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
2  BABY FRANKIE May06 Apr02 Mar09 Jul01 May13 (medina p)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUTRIGHT Mar03 Feb05 Jan06 Dec18 Nov05 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50    
4  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Apr29 Mar28 Mar11 Feb15 Jan23 (evans justin)RADKE K 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
5  PISTOL POWER May06 Mar25 Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
6  ATOMIC CANDY May06 Apr01 Mar18 Feb21 Feb02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  AFFIRM CHIEF May06 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb20 (medina)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 10.00    
 
EMD-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREO'S DREAM Jan06 Dec16 Oct15 Sep18 Aug27 (moore a)RADKE K 120 8.00    
2  MS PARKSIDE Apr10 Mar04 Feb07 Jan04 Dec15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  YOU GO GIRL Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 4.00    
4  PEARL RIVER DELTA Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 120 5.00 ★    
5  MS LYNN Sep18 Aug19 Jul24 Jun26 May22 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 120 15.00    
6  IN THE RED Mar29 Mar11 Jan28 Dec15 Sep07 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 120 12.00 ★    
7  CIELO DIAMANTE Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 Jan20 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 123 3.50 7% 14.00    
8  FRISCO FRILLS Sep18 Aug19 Jul29 Jul03 Jun12 (balcom c)AMADOR RUIZ 120 6.00    
 
EMD-8   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISSED THE BOAT Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jun18 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 3.00    
2  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Dec14 Nov21 Sep17 Aug12 Jul30 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FANTASTIC DAY Apr11 Mar19 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 51% 1.00    
4  COASTAL JAZZ Sep17 Sep09 Aug28 Jul30 Jun26 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 10.00    
5  CLAYTON DELANEY Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb10 Nov13 (metz jeffrey)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 ★    
6  MUNCEY Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 12.00    
7  CAPITAL EXPENSE Apr04 Mar18 Feb19 Jan31 Dec14 (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 10.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  QUIET CHARM Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan02 Dec26 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 121 20.00    
9  PICK YOUR BID Nov23 Nov07 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 (chattong vichie)RUIZ G 118 30.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH CANDY Apr04 Mar19 Mar06 Feb22 Feb07 (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00    
SCR  STAND TO Feb28 Jan30 Jan10 Dec13 Nov21 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00    
 
EMD-9   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDICATION Sep11 Aug20       (gibson howar)MARTIN A 124 8.00 ★    
2  COASTAL CRUISER         (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 15.00 20% 4.00    
3  SPARKS FLYIN         (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  NATION OF FAITH         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  VALIDATE May06 Sep17 Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 8.00    
6  LET GEORGE DO IT Apr01 Mar17       (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 124 15.00    
7  TEACHERSBUGSAROO May06 Sep18 Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 (lowe nick)RADKE K 124 2.50    
8  ALEX'S DREAM Apr05 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 5.00 ★    
9  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU Apr01 Mar12 Feb04     (bean a)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.