Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/1/3)-(1) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1)-(4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    PK3 (1)-(4/3)-(3/5/7/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/5/7/4)-(7/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/4)-(7/6)-(2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(2/5/6)-(3/7/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/7/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/2)-(3/7/10/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/2)-(3/7/10/5/2)-(3/7/10/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORB OF THE BORO Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 Aug12 Jul06 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  BASTIEN LE BROWN Feb10 Oct21 Sep02 Aug03 May04 (donjuan s)CORREA L 121 4.50    
3  UNCLE EARL Mar31 Mar18 Feb15 Jan19 Dec30 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  OXWOOD Apr29 Apr12 Feb24 Dec16 Oct27 (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 8.00    
5  EL PEJE May05 Oct25 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 116 1.80 29% 2.40    
6  HENDRIX May06 Apr28 Mar15 Feb24 Feb03 (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00    
 
BTP-2   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD ACTOR May06 Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  EL MIC TIESUN May12 Apr28 Apr12 Feb26 Feb16 (mardif ja)CORREA L 125 4.50    
3  GREENSFELDER May06 Apr01 Feb22 Nov14 Sep20 (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 10% 9.20    
4  GOOD SOUL Apr27 Feb10 Jan20 Dec09   (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 119 3.50    
5  HABITUS (GB) Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 Jan18 Dec29 (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
BTP-3   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVIS Apr11 Nov21 Oct29 Oct06 Sep08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.60 67% 0.50    
2  A SMILE A DAY May10 Apr11 Dec30 Dec20 Dec06 (ho)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 ★    
3  STAR RULES Apr27 Nov12 Sep23 Aug30 Aug08 (huffman g)MCKEE J 121 3.00 ★    
4  MOBIL LADY Apr27 Dec30 Nov28 Nov12 Oct29 (meyers shane)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.00    
5  SARAH JANE Apr12 Mar16 Feb16 Jan16 Dec13 (bates l)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
BTP-4   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POLE SETTER Apr22 Mar11 Feb04 Jan14 Jun21 (andrade h)CORREA L 121 6.00    
SCR  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Apr15 Dec28 Dec17 Nov11 Sep05 (brown h)AYALA ISAIAS 121 10.00    
3  BLESS THE KITTEN Apr15 Mar10 Feb09 Jan18 Dec03 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
4  CONTINUATION Sep05 Aug04 Jul01     (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 5.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Apr16 Mar26 Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00    
SCR  SUMMER ASSAULT Jan28 Dec15 Nov20 Sep14 Jul11 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.50    
7  EL AHIJADO Apr19 Mar30 Mar04 Dec30 Dec02 (guerrero sal)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
8  RED HORNET Apr13 Mar25 Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-5   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABIOLA PRINCESS Dec21 Nov22 Oct06 Sep14 Aug30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50    
2  GRANADICA May04 Feb20 Jan13 Dec21 Nov30 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
3  SCAPITURE May04 Feb23 Jan13 Jul01   (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  MAMITA LINDA Apr28 Mar24 Mar11 Jan06 Dec22 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLIVIA'S JOY Apr28 Apr10 Mar21 Mar08 Feb24 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  ONTOTHENEXT May11 May04 Apr25 Apr06 Mar18 (evans michae)MARCANO Y 114 8.00    
7  OCEAN HONEY Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Nov22 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 117 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
BTP-6   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAWN WEST May13 Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 Feb23 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
2  DROP ANCHOR Apr23 Apr05 Mar24 Feb04 Jan19 (adams l)REYES R 121 4.00    
SCR  SUPER BROTHER Apr29 Apr13 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 (skeens je)CORREA L 121 8.00    
SCR  SMALL FIELD Apr22 Sep07 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (huffman g)MCKEE J 121 5.00    
5  AZURE SKY Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Jan18 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00 ★    
6  TEQUILAS RANGER Dec17 Sep16 Aug25 Jul21 Jul01 (jones phill)JIMENEZ J 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  GULLANE Mar28 Jan23 Dec21 May13 Apr24 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
BTP-7   05/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLIN CHROME May06 Mar17       (sherman a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 12.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of OH RAMBLIN ROSE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  OVERDUE HONOR         (roussel j)FELIX E 125 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP DUCHESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  JAHEZ Mar23 Mar11 Feb15 Dec30 Nov30 (trujillo elvis)MOJICA JR 125 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ALMURRA by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  SUPREME SONG Aug30         (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 12.00    
  (by TENCENDUR out of BABY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  OUTSLEWTHEM Apr27 Apr10 Mar22 Mar01 Dec30 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
6  TOURIST CAT         (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by TOURIST out of FASHION FUR by MR. GREELEY)
7  TENPAK May06 Apr23 Mar26     (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
SCR  FLYING HOUDINI Apr29         (chain pea)CORREA L 125 15.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
BTP-8   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDGERUNNER May04         (mardif james)MARCANO Y 120 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  CANTSTOPTHEFUN         (shifflett)CORREA L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of FUNSHINEINMYPOCKET by INVASOR (ARG))
3  NAVY CROSS May06 Apr14 Mar25 Feb24   (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COCO'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  BACON Mar24 Feb10 Jan06     (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
5  SERPA May06         (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 125 10.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of NORTHERN EXCURSION by CORONADO'S QUEST)
6  COUNT MY DREAMS Mar23 Mar11       (galindo-torr)ROMERO GREGORY 119 20.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of DREAMS ON TAP by TAPIT)
7  DANG IT CAIN Apr27 Mar23 Mar11 Feb09   (delong ben)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of ZIPPERINI by CITY ZIP)
8  DESERT HIGHWAY Apr29 Apr01       (antonuik )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
9  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Apr07 Mar03 Dec02 Oct21   (manning j)BUSH V 119 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHIORI by TWIRLING CANDY)
10  ERASMUS Mar25         (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00 6% 16.40    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAUDEMIO by PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.