Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/7/2/6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
OP-2   WIN (1/7/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6/4)-(1/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6/4)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(1/8)-(2/5/9/8/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/8)-(2/5/9/8/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(2/5/9/8/7)-(8/11/2/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/5/9/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/8/7)-(2/5/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/8/7)-(2/5/9/8/7)-(2/5/9/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/9/8/7)-(8/11/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/8/7)-(8/11/2/5)-(1/7/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (8/11/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/2/5)-(8/11/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/11/2/5)-(8/11/2/5)-(8/11/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/11/2/5)-(1/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/11/2/5)-(1/7/6/3)-(7/2/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-7   WIN (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3/4)-(1/7/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/3)-(7/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/3)-(7/2/3/8)-(2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-8   WIN (7/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8/9)-(7/2/3/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/8)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/8)-(2/6/3)-(11/3/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-9   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(11/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-10   WIN (11/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/6/9)-(11/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/6/9)-(11/3/6/9)-(11/3/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH SCAT Mar12 Feb03 Dec31 Sep25   (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 105 6.00    
2  WORDS OF WISDOM Oct27 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 5.00 ★    
3  QUICK TO BLAME Feb17 Jan15 Dec16 Sep17 Jul29 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 1.00 53% 0.90    
4  FETCHS BRAHM Mar09 Feb03 Jan21 Dec18 May07 (fires h)COURT K 120 30.00    
SCR  LEVY Mar09 Sep10 Aug19 Jul10 May11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 15.00 10% 9.10    
6  JACKS FIRE BALLS Jan08 Nov27 Nov06 Oct26 Aug31 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 12% 7.50    
7  QUALITY RUN Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Jan15 Oct11 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
OP-2   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECKY'S TATTOO Mar05 Jan27 Jan07 Nov12 Nov07 (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 12.00 20% 4.10    
2  CLOSE TO ME Mar04 Feb11 Jan14 Oct04 Aug16 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  XYLOPHONE Mar10 Feb11 Jan15 Dec16 Nov05 (mcbride b)TORRES A 118 2.50    
4  A GIRL LIKE ME Mar04 Jan20 Jan01 Nov06 Sep04 (hollendorf)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 7% 14.10    
5  SIMONA'S CHOICE Mar05 Jan27 Jan15 Dec18 Nov01 (jacquot gene)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 15.00    
6  HOPING FOR A RING Mar04 Feb11 Jan20 Dec18 Oct02 (schleis case)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50 11% 7.90    
7  DREAM STREAK Mar10 Jan29 Jan05 Nov23 Nov08 (rosin w)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
8  CARELESS HEIRESS Mar04 Jan27 Dec18 Nov05 Oct22 (mcknight )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 4.50    
9  EMERALD PRINCESS Mar24 Mar05 Feb24 Jan29 Oct08 (green ike)JORDAN R 115 8.00    
 
OP-3   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBELLA Feb12 Dec09 Nov02 Jun01 May17 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 125 1.80 25% 3.10    
2  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Feb03 Jan13 Nov14 Oct01 Sep14 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 125 6.00    
3  INTO DISCO Mar03 Jan22 Oct30 Sep18 Aug31 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 20.00    
4  GIMME CANDY Feb23 Jan14 Nov25 Oct19 May09 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00    
5  SAND AND SEA Jan29 May15 Apr22 Mar27   (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00    
6  LET'S DUET Mar04 Feb17 Jan28 Dec18 Nov18 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 125 1.60 24% 3.10    
7  BRITTLE AND YOO Feb17 Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 Oct10 (diodoro robertin)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
8  JUMP INTO THE FIRE Jun29 Jun05 May13 Apr22 Mar19 (colebrook ben)JUAREZ NIK 121 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
OP-4   03/31/2023 6270ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLORHIGHWATER Feb20 Jan27 Dec11 Nov03 Sep25 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  COACH ADAMS Feb19 Jan13 Dec01 Nov03 Sep03 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  CELERITY Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 Dec11 Nov16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 117 20.00    
4  GREAT FACES Mar18 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Dec15 (compton g)TORRES A 117 20.00    
5  TIGER MOON Mar11 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Apr07 (schultz lindsay)BAZE C 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  FLATOUT WINNER Mar16 Mar03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
7  JINGLE Mar16 Feb05 Jan27 Nov27 Nov02 (lauer michael)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 30.00    
8  WHAT A COUNTRY Mar03 Feb05 Nov16 Sep25 Jul17 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  CITY LEGEND Mar03 Jan29 Jan01 Nov18 Oct20 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 117 6.00    
 
OP-5   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENIES WAY Mar16 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31   (haran joh)DE CRUZ 115 8.00    
2  BAD OUTLOOK Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 May29 May06 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.50 45% 1.20    
3  GO GO GO Mar02 Feb05 Jan21 Dec10 Sep19 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 10.00    
4  LUMBERJACK EMPIRE Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 Aug24 Jul30 (romero alvin )CABRERA DAVID 121 30.00    
5  BAYSHORE FOXES Feb01 Nov23 Oct29 Oct08   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  GRAYDAWN DAY Mar11 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Nov18 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 12.00    
7  ALITA Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 Oct24 (gibson jonas)BOWEN ROCCO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  ESSENTIAL BELLA Feb20 Jan06 Dec16 Jul11 Jun26 (broberg k)TORRES A 123 5.00 6% 14.50    
9  MARTIQUE MISS Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Dec28 Dec08 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7% 12.70    
10  SWEETNESS TO Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Dec11 Jul03 (westermann ronald)BOREL H 118 30.00    
11  BACK SEAT BETTY Mar11 Feb19 Aug09 Jul02   (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00    
 
OP-6   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNBOWED         (morse rand)ERAMIA E 122 12.00 9% 10.00    
2  STORM APPROACHING Feb24 Jan06 Dec11     (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  PROCHARGER Feb12 Jan15 Sep21     (mason ingrid)WALES T 122 20.00    
4  SIX WHIPS Mar09 Feb04 Jan06 Dec10 Oct29 (moysey e)COURT K 122 4.50    
5  EXPLOSIVE PRIDE         (martin timot)JORDAN R 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
6  SCOTT CITY Feb18 Jun30       (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 30.00    
7  RACING IN MY HEART Nov21         (shorter a)TORRES A 122 20.00    
8  PROPELLANT Mar19 Mar04 Jan22 Dec14 Nov15 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
9  CHICAGO'S GRAY Jan08 Dec10 Nov19     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
SCR  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Mar05 Feb11 Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 (richard chris)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
11  RUN POPPY Mar11 Jul21 Jun26     (mott ril)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
OP-7   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNIE K Mar04 Jan21 Dec30 Nov02 Jun11 (morse l)BEJARANO R 121 1.80 28% 2.50    
SCR  FIVE QUEENS Mar19 Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 Jan06 (souza feli)ERAMIA E 121 30.00    
3  RICHNESS Feb03 Jan06 Mar05 Jan30 Jan09 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 123 8.00 7% 13.10    
4  HEATED ARGUMENT Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Dec09 Jun14 (gonzalez jai)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 30.00 ★    
5  RUN FEARLESS Mar04 Feb20 Feb03 Jan22 Dec17 (fires wil)TORRES A 125 10.00    
6  SULWE Dec17 May06 Apr29 Mar25 Feb25 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  KABOOM BABY Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 May06 Apr08 (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 121 1.40 21% 3.70    
8  MY DAMS ATITUDE Mar17 Feb03 Dec30 Nov17 May06 (westermann r)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
9  LADY ASTRID Mar10 Feb24 Feb03 Jan01 Apr29 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
 
OP-8   03/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A REAL JEWEL Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Aug24 Jul27 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
2  GUNNING Mar09 Sep24 Aug14 Jul02 Jun04 (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  SUMMER SHOES Mar04 Jan29 Dec30 Mar27 Mar06 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
4  LET'S BE CLEAR Dec15 Nov13 Sep22 Jul31 Jun12 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jan29 Jan01 Nov25 Nov06 Oct15 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00    
6  CANADA'S CUSTOMS Feb18 Aug06 Jul22 Jul04 Jun16 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 125 15.00    
7  ADALINE JULIA Jan21 Dec30 Oct26     (diodoro r)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
8  JETS A GINNIN Feb26 Jan29 Dec10 Oct30 Oct08 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 20.00 7% 12.50    
9  AMERICAN LILY Mar02 Jan22 Dec30 Nov27 Oct23 (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  MERCY WARREN Feb25 Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 Jun26 (devaux ch)TORRES A 123 8.00    
 
OP-9   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Matron Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M THE BOSS OF ME Mar02 Jan21 Dec17 Oct28 Apr16 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GLORY PARK by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
2  MATAREYA Aug06 Jun11 May06 Apr10 Feb26 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
3  PRETTY BIRDIE Feb25 Dec17 Jul09 Jun12 May06 (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD SENSE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  DEALING JUSTICE Mar02 Jan14 Nov11 Sep16 Aug07 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TEDDY'S BARINO Feb18 Oct02 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of MISS REBOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  WICKED HALO Nov05 Oct22 Sep02 Jul02 Jun12 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 2.00 17% 4.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
SCR  SAMURAI CHARM Feb04 Dec31 Nov22 Oct31 Oct02 (miller p)SANTANA JR 117 10.00 8% 11.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BACK SEAT CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
 
OP-10   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL BRO COOP Mar12 Jan13 Nov25 Sep30 Aug25 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00    
2  SONO GRATO Feb18 Feb10 Jan08 Nov27 Nov02 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
3  JEDREK Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 Dec18 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 125 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  WOLFE COUNTY Jul30 Jun24 Jun09 Mar12 Feb12 (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
5  RAM Mar17 Feb18 Feb19 Jan01   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00    
6  PRODIGIOUS BAY Feb10 Jan22 Oct15 Sep24 Feb25 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  PATS PROPERTY Jun30 Jun11 May08 Apr16 Mar19 (haran john)ZIMMERMAN R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUMAYAZ Feb25 Jan06 Nov16 Oct16 Sep11 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
9  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Mar10 Jan15 Nov16 Nov09 Oct20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  STELLAR TAP Feb11 Jan08 Nov02 Sep17 Aug12 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
11  NINJA WARRIOR Feb18 Jan28 Dec18 Nov08 Sep30 (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
12  JOLLY TOMMY Mar12 Feb12 Jan07 Dec16 Nov22 (diodoro robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.