Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/8)-(3/5/1/4/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(3/5/1/4/6)-(7/2/1/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-2   WIN (3/5/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4/6)-(3/5/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4/6)-(3/5/1/4/6)-(3/5/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/4/6)-(7/2/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/4/6)-(7/2/1/6)-(1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6/5)-(7/2/1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/6)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/6)-(1/4/3)-(10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(10/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(10/11)-(2/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-5   WIN (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/11)-(10/11/12/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/11)-(10/11/12/8/5)-(10/11/12/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/11)-(2/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (10/11)-(2/11)-(3/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/11)-(2/11/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/11)-(2/11/8/7)-(2/11/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/11)-(3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/11)-(3/8/6)-(6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TP-8   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF ROSES Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 Dec18 Nov25 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  IN LIEU Feb24 Feb02 Jan19     (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  CONNECT ME Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Dec02 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
SCR  WISEACRE Feb15 Jan27       (reed r)FELIX E 120 4.50 ★    
5  COUNT MY DREAMS Mar11         (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
6  DOMHNALL Feb15         (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  CHOWMEIN Mar15 Feb22 Feb03 Jan20   (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
8  SAN MARCO CITY Mar11 Feb02 Jan07 Dec22   (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
TP-2   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPECCABLE TASTE Feb18 Jan31 Dec19 Nov28   (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 126 6.00 14% 5.90    
2  SWIGERT Feb11 Dec22 Dec01 Aug31   (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 126 8.00    
3  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Mar04 Feb08 Jan12 Dec22 Oct17 (bush s)MOJICA JR 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  POINT OF INFINITY Feb08 Aug17       (bright )DE CRUZ 126 12.00 8% 10.80    
5  MAMBO KITTEN Mar04 Feb08 Dec22 Dec02 Oct17 (andrade )RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  LANTANA JUSTICE Jan20 Dec30 Nov23 Nov01 Sep27 (matthews r)CORRALES GERARDO 126 12.00 5% 18.10    
7  SHE'S A KEEPER Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Dec15   (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 3.50    
8  DOGWOODS BECCA Jan13 Dec22 Nov17 Nov03 Sep16 (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 126 15.00    
9  BELLA MORNING Aug21 Jul29 Apr15 Apr02   (pittman bon)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 15.00    
10  MARLAND Feb03         (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 15.00    
 
TP-3   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO PELIGROSO Feb22 Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 May05 (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
2  DUEL FUEL Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 Oct24 (delacruz mejia)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
3  HERE COMES TREY Mar15 Feb10 Jan27 Dec15 Oct24 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 123 12.00    
4  HEY RAY         (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 20.00    
5  ORAZIO Mar09 Feb22 Feb10 Jan25 Dec16 (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.50 ★    
6  THIS ILL DEFEND Mar16 Jan18 Jan07 Dec19 Dec12 (wells david)MOJICA O 123 10.00 15% 5.70    
7  TALLESTOFTHETALL Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Nov20 Nov06 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
8  ELI Feb17 Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 123 12.00    
9  ARTEMUS EAGLE Feb10 Jan03 Dec05 Nov08 Oct24 (cli)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
TP-4   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENAIS Feb15 Jan12 Oct17 Sep22 Aug25 (delacruz mejia)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
2  WING AND A PLAYER Mar02         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
3  SHEAR Feb02 Dec21       (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 6% 16.40    
4  LADY PELE Feb25 Dec08 Sep14 Aug20 Jul08 (blair jordan)HEARD TYLER 126 3.00 7% 14.20    
5  AGENDA Feb08 Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
6  GRAY FROST Feb02 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 Aug14 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 6.00 ★    
7  LIL BIT OF CAPITOL Feb25 Jan28       (pittman bon)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 30.00    
8  JACKIE'S LOVE Feb25 Nov17 Oct06 Aug29 Jul14 (cambray ignacio)MOJICA O 126 8.00    
SCR  FRAGRANT Dec11 Oct18 Sep25 Aug07 Jun23 (reed r)FELIX E 126 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
TP-5   03/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY SIS Feb25 Jan25 Dec02 Nov21 Sep12 (nocero carmino)MOJICA JR 120 50.00    
2  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Feb23 Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 Aug30 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 30.00    
3  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Feb25 Feb16 Jan25 Nov21 Oct24 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  MY TOMMY LEE Mar11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Nov30 (sands shane)CANUTO THIAGO 120 50.00    
5  JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Feb25 Feb02 Jan19 Nov22 Nov08 (d'angel)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 ★    
6  LA CUMPARSITA Mar11 Feb22 Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 113 15.00    
7  SUPER LUCY Feb25 Feb10 Mar18 Feb16 Jan15 (livers charl)MARCANO Y 110 12.00    
8  TIZ SUSAN ANN Feb25 Jan25 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 (maldonado j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 2.50 ★    
9  LADY JENNEVIERE Feb15 Jan21       (pitts c)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
10  KANFU Mar02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec03 Nov11 (ginter r)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 45% 1.20    
11  TALK RADIO Feb16 Dec08 Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
12  MY DARK SECRET Feb25 Dec02 Nov21 Nov01 Aug19 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 ★    
 
TP-6   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HOLLY Feb11 Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Aug05 (lepiane paul)MORENO OMAR 126 12.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of HASILAH by HARD SPUN)
2  BLESSING THE FLAG Feb25 Jan28 Nov03 Sep05 Jul13 (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  AUNT NELDA Feb08         (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 126 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKIPPED by BROKEN VOW)
4  SPEIGHTSY HOT Apr28 Apr02       (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 126 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  CHECKED PERFECT         (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 15.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL (IRE) out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
6  PARIS PARAMOUR Sep03 Jun30 May14 Apr15 Feb12 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 126 20.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of JUDY B by MARQUETRY)
7  SUCH SOUNDS Feb25 Dec15 Oct21     (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 6.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MOVE CLICKLY by CHEROKEE RUN)
8  AUTISM COMMUNITY Dec30 Dec03 Nov05     (wong jonathan)MOJICA O 118 5.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REXY by TEOFILO)
9  MINDFUL         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TAPLESS by TAPIT)
SCR  JUNGLE CAT Feb11         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
11  SWEETS MAKER Feb25 Feb11 Dec15 Nov18 Apr10 (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LOOKOUT SISTER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
TP-7   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELEVEN CENTRAL Nov13 Sep30 Aug13 Jul09 May28 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 ★    
2  FRIAR LAURENCE Jan18 Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 Aug14 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
3  NOBALS Aug13 Jul17 Jun05 May01 Apr02 (riv)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  THANKS MR. EIDSON Feb17 Jan01 Aug07 Jul13 May30 (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 123 10.00    
5  BAKERS BAY Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 Sep13 Aug16 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 ★    
6  RACE DRIVER Feb25 Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 (delacruz )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 15.00 8% 11.20    
7  GALLANT GUY Jan14 Dec17 Nov23 Oct23 May30 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
8  NIGHT TIME Mar11 Feb04 Jan18 Dec16 Nov05 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
TP-8   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTEST         (knippenberg )BURGOS ALBERTO 125 12.00    
2  AGILE DANCER Feb25 Feb01 Nov18 Nov03 Oct22 (wojczynski )FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 8.00 ★    
3  JAHEZ Mar11 Feb15 Dec30 Nov30 Oct20 (trujillo el)CHIRINOS ROIMES 125 15.00    
4  JOHN EDWARD Feb01 Dec16       (jones bobbie )MCENTEE GRACE 125 15.00    
5  KICK ROCKS KID Mar11 Feb17 Feb04 Jan20 Jan01 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Mar11 Feb04 Jan19 Dec21 Oct08 (miller kenny)RAMOS D 125 2.50 54% 0.90    
7  HILLBILLY LOGIC Mar11 Feb09 May07 Mar17   (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  BODIEFUL Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 Nov11 (wittek kary)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00 ★    
9  RYAN EXPRESS Dec15 Nov26       (richard)DE CRUZ 116 10.00    
10  DANG IT CAIN Mar11 Feb09       (delong b)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
11  HASTY STRIKE         (thornbury jeff)FELIX E 125 12.00    
12  SOME R BLESSED Aug19         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.