Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2/1)-(3/6/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(5/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/3)-(5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/4/1)-(5/6/3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/2/6)-(2/4/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/3/4)-(5/2/6/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/4/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/4/9/8)-(6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/8)-(2/4/9/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/8)-(2/4/9/8/6)-(2/4/9/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/9/8)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/8)-(6)-(6/3/4/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(6/3/4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(6/3/4/7)-(5/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7/5)-(6/3/4/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/4/7)-(5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/3/9)-(5/7/6/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT DAME Jan14 Dec31 Dec04 Nov23 Nov01 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
1A  SEAWARD Jan14 Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
2  CURT'S ANGEL Jan28 Jan09 Nov30 Nov01 Oct23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
3  SPECIAL BEACH Jan09 Dec28 Dec19 Nov03 Oct04 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  ON A TOUR Feb06 Dec31 Dec04 Nov13 Oct28 (hughes w)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 10% 9.30    
5  RAGTIME DOLLY Jan09 Dec27 Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 2.00    
6  PETTIGO GIRL Jan31 Jan12 Dec27 Dec11 Dec02 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-2   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALTIC FLEET Jan23 Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
2  KEYED ON TOP Jan31 Jan03 Dec21 Nov17 Nov02 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00    
SCR  BIG TRIP Feb09 Jan11 Dec15 Sep05 Aug17 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 7% 12.40    
4  APACHE Jan04 Dec12 Nov21 May11 Apr27 (elliott mich)AYALA J 126 6.00 7% 12.50    
5  SPECTACULAR ROAD Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May17 May02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  KHALFANI Jan31 Jan11 Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 (pattah)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 17% 4.70    
7  BEACH FRONT Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 May25 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
MVR-3   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED REESE Jan26 Jan16       (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50 ★    
2  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Jan26 Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 10.00    
3  SEE YA SISTA         (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 6% 16.30    
4  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Jan24         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★    
5  UPTOWN MILLIE Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Nov08   (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 126 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  TITEBLUEJEANS Jan26 Jan04 Dec06 Nov07 Oct25 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  OHIO LADY Jan16         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
8  HONEYBEE STINGS Jan26         (bird danny)PEREZ E 126 6.00    
 
MVR-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA FLATS Jan17 Dec22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (ramos )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jan31 Jan16 Sep20 Aug30 Aug19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  WHISKEY HELPS Jan26 Jan04 Dec28 Nov10 Oct07 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Dec14 Nov15 Jun01 May21 Apr15 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 ★    
5  INTO GOLD Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 Dec01 Nov10 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 Nov10 Oct10 (estvanko richar)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  DAVIS HAT Jan17 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Oct31 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
MVR-5   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THANKSDAD Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 Oct22 Oct13 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 10.00    
2  TURNING PAGES Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Oct26 Aug30 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  DEXQUIRE Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Jan17 Oct22 Sep23 Aug30   (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 126 6.00 21% 3.70    
5  COUNTRY RUCKUS Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
6  MUCHO PRIMO Jan17 Dec14 Dec06 Oct22 Oct10 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.00 ★    
7  HONKY TONK MUSIC Feb07 Nov22 Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
8  THE PINK Z Jan17 Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 Nov12 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
9  PECKS NOT BAD Jan16 Dec01 Nov12 Sep28 Sep01 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
MVR-6   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jan18 Dec28 Oct10 Sep12 Aug18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
SCR  JUSTIN'S QUEST Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 70% 0.40    
2  RONNI'S STORM Feb02 Jan16 Dec31 Dec11 Nov26 (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN Jan24 Jan16 Jan03 Dec08 Nov29 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
4  GOTTAGETITBACK Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 Oct24 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
5  ASTRO JAK Jan26 Jan02 Dec15 Dec05 Nov09 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
6  MAGICAL EXPRESS Jan26 Dec28 Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNCLE EARL Jan19 Dec30 Nov10 Oct10 Sep13 (brownfield claud)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
8  EXECUTIVE SIGHT Jan22 Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 Sep02 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Jan28 Dec30 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
2  DOMITIA LUCILLA Jan20 Dec16 Nov23 Nov03 Oct13 (estvanko richar)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
3  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Jan19 Dec01 Nov21 Oct26 Oct12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
4  SQUID Jun29 Jun03 Mar26 Feb18   (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  FIRST KITTEN Jan19 Jan10 Dec09 Nov27 Nov11 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
6  LOADED ONCE MORE Jan28 Jan11 Jan02 Nov22 Nov09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Jan10 Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
8  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Feb07 Jan16 Jan05 Dec03 Nov19 (crumley jevo)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONSECUTIVE RUN Jan31 Dec20 Dec03 Oct25 Apr02 (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
2  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Jan31 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
3  SENORA PANQUEQUES Jan31 Jan03 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 ★    
4  STATE OF GRACE Jan17 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
5  MOBIL CHIC Jan17 Dec30 Dec20 Dec03 Nov16 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
6  LA ROSA Jan17 Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 Aug26 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  CAN I GO TOO Jan23 May25 Apr25 Feb26 Jan25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 23% 3.30    
8  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Feb06 Jan17 Dec30 Dec20 Nov16 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00    
9  ANGEL WINGS Jan17 Dec15 Nov16 Oct31 Jul25 (flores israel)DIAZ I 124 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.