Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(8/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
OP-2   WIN (8/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/10)-(8/2/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/10)-(8/2/10/1)-(8/2/10/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/10)-(1/9/3/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10)-(1/9/3/8/7)-(5/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/9/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/3/8/7)-(5/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/8/7)-(5/1/3/2)-(3/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-4   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/8)-(5/1/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/2)-(3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(3/8)-(8/11/9/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-5   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/5/9)-(3/8/5/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/8)-(8/11/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(8/11/9/5)-(6/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
OP-6   WIN (8/11/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/9/5)-(8/11/9/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/11/9/5)-(8/11/9/5/1)-(8/11/9/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/11/9/5)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/11/9/5)-(6/1)-(7/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/8)-(6/1/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(7/5)-(7/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
OP-8   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/10/9)-(7/5/10/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
OP-9   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASH ROCKET Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Mar18 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
2  EGO Jan08 Dec11 Jul17 Jun23 May24 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 ★    
3  EGOMANIAC Jan01 Dec17 Oct22 Oct07 Sep14 (mason ingrid)WALES T 118 5.00    
4  MAKE NOISE Jan07 Nov16 Oct07 May28 Apr16 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 8.00 ★    
5  SPARK (PER) Jan21 Jan01 Dec01 Nov05 Oct21 (quinonez nath)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 20.00    
6  CATHOLIC GUILT Dec20 Oct26 Aug08 Jul25 Mar06 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00 11% 8.20    
7  FLOWERS FOR LISA Jan07 Dec17 Oct28 Sep03 Aug19 (jansen kenny)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
OP-2   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. MACOMBER Sep14 Aug21       (gibson j)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 ★    
2  BONES AND ROSES Sep15 Aug21 Jul30 Jun23 Jun01 (silva miguel)JORDAN R 125 6.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  LUNCH LADY Jan21 Jun29 May29     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  I GUESS NOT Dec01 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20   (smith kenn)ERAMIA E 125 15.00    
5  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Jan14 Dec11       (deville j)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00    
6  STEPONTHEFOOTFEET Jan27 Dec31       (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
7  SHEZA CAT Jan22 Dec30       (durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 125 20.00    
8  KEEN CONTENDER Jan13 Dec17 Nov06 Sep30 Aug07 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 1.00 43% 1.30    
9  FIRST FROST Jan21 Oct29 Sep29 Jul16   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00    
10  SWEET HOLINESS Jan29 Dec30 Nov22 Nov08 Oct20 (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISAWAY NOW Jan14 Oct09 Sep17 Jun30 Apr13 (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  G T THREE FIFTY Jan13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug11   (mason ingrid)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00    
3  FREER Jan27 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 (martin timot)JORDAN R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SKYLINE Jan08 Dec09 Nov15 Oct11 Sep23 (haran jo)SANTANA JR 123 5.00    
5  NEW DICE Jan22 Oct30 Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00    
6  DEL MOON Jan22 Dec02 Nov08 Jul16 Jun24 (donaldson jer)BAILEY CHEL-C 123 30.00    
7  MARK THE MOOSE Jan29 Jan01 Nov27 Nov10 Oct25 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MY NOAH Jan22 Dec09 Sep11 Aug13 Jul22 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  COLE SPUR Jan01 Dec09 Sep29 Aug24 Jun05 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
10  UPTOWN HUSTLER Jan27 Jan13 Oct26 Oct12 Jun18 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
 
OP-4   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL KING Jan13 Jan29       (robertson)TORRES A 125 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by BERNARDINI out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
2  RUNAWAY JACK Dec31         (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MELODY GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  GLOBAL STAGE         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAKE A MEMO by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON Oct07         (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MORSE CODE MAMA by MACHO UNO)
5  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Jan13 Dec16 Oct29 Jun12 May20 (divito p)BAZE C 125 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of KID SILVER by SILVER GHOST)
6  GOLD BARON         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FIFTYSHADESOFGOLD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  TULSAN         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  BOLZY         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 8.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
 
OP-5   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S TOWER Jan12 Aug02 Jul03 Jun22 May30 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
2  TIZHOTNDUSTY Jan06 Dec11 Dec03 Nov02 Sep10 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 4.00    
3  DILETTANTE Dec10 Nov25 Nov13 Oct24 Oct04 (mcknight nor)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  MAGIC CASTLE Jan22 Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  CATHEDRAL BEACH Dec18 Oct26 Sep24 Aug24 Aug03 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 120 6.00 ★    
6  JERRY'S EIGHTY Jan15 Nov02 Sep26 Jun11 May21 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 120 30.00    
7  EMERALD EXPRESS Jan08 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 Oct15 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
8  TAPIT'S SPIRIT Jan06 Dec10 Nov09 Oct17 Sep22 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 12% 7.00    
9  LOST IN LIMBO Jun22 May29 May12 Apr26 Apr09 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 120 6.00 ★    
 
OP-6   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANSAM PAYNTER Jan20 Dec18 Nov25 Sep18   (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 ★    
2  THINKINGNDRINKING Jan20 Jan06       (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 119 30.00    
SCR  PIER PRESSURE Jan08 Dec16       (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00    
SCR  BLAME IT Jan06         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 30.00    
5  LINE TO GAIN Jan22 Nov05 Oct22 Sep17   (litfin nevad)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 5% 17.50    
6  COMMANDER REX Jan22 Dec16 Nov19     (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50    
7  UPTOWN SOCIAL Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Jun26 Apr08 (hornsby tammy)WALES T 119 20.00    
8  EIGHT STRAIGHT Jan08 Nov16 Nov03 Sep21   (mcpeek g)JUAREZ NIK 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
9  GONE AGAIN         (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 10.00 10% 9.30    
10  SANTINO'S FANTASY Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 Oct27 Sep24 (shorter aaro)JORDAN R 119 20.00    
11  FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER Jan15         (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
OP-7   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAQEEL Nov18 Oct05 Sep23 Sep07 Jul17 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 5.00 6% 16.40    
2  RVINDICATED Jan22 Jan08 Nov14 Oct26 Oct01 (keithan rach)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00    
3  ICE BLAST Sep28 Sep14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (mason ingrid)WALES T 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Jan07 May21 Apr16 Mar26   (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.50 10% 8.90    
5  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Jan22 Sep26 Aug30 Jun28 Jun13 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 117 30.00    
6  PRODIGIOUS BAY Jan22 Oct15 Sep24 Feb25 Jan01 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 58% 0.70    
SCR  NOTARY Jan22 Jun19 May06 Mar31 Mar06 (mason ingrid)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
8  SIMOVITCH Jan22 Nov18 Nov02 Sep16 Aug20 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 ★    
9  SONO GRATO Jan08 Nov27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 10.00    
 
OP-8   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  B SUDD Jan07 Dec10 Nov17 Apr23 Mar25 (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 5.00 ★    
2  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Jan06 Nov25 Oct28 Sep11 Jul11 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 115 12.00    
3  CHILENO Aug20 Jul09 May30 Apr16 Mar13 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
4  IGNITIS Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 20.00    
5  BARBER ROAD Jan28 Dec17 Jun11 May07 Apr02 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  CATDADDY Jan28 Dec17 Nov19 Oct27 Sep14 (petalino j)ERAMIA E 118 30.00    
7  TONKA WARRIOR Jan28 Jan08 Oct28 Oct01 Sep03 (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
8  CAMP DAVID Nov17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep14 Jun12 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00    
9  EFFICIENCY Jan20 Sep11 Jul22 May07 Mar20 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 ★    
10  AMONGST FRIENDS Jan08 Dec10 Oct27 Sep24 Aug25 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★    
 
OP-9   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOMMA MULE         (von hemel)TRIANA JR 121 30.00 ★    
2  LOVELY JOYCE Jan07         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 121 30.00    
3  I'M BETH DUTTON Jun25         (puhich mike)BAZE C 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
4  PLUS POWER         (casse mark)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 ★    
5  CANDY CARAMEL Jan14 Dec03 Nov13 Oct01 Sep10 (miller p)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  SAENGER STAR Dec30 Nov03 Oct20 Aug30 Aug03 (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
7  BIOGENIC BABE Jan15 Dec14       (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
8  INSENSITIVE Jan21         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 20.00    
9  SHE BE SHEEHAN         (prather h)SAEZ GABRIEL 116 20.00    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY Jan21         (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
11  THORN CROWN Jan07 Dec11       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00    
12  COLLECTED GLORY Jan27 Dec31 Nov16 Aug20 Jul31 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.