Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2/4)-(1/3/5/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/4/2/7)-(7/1/5/6/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2/7)-(7/1/5/6/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2/7)-(7/1/5/6/4)-(2/5/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-3   WIN (7/1/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
    DD (7/1/5/6/4)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/6/4)-(2/5/6)-(10/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4/3)-(2/5/6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(10/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(10/4/1)-(1/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (10/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/1)-(10/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/4/1)-(10/4/1/6)-(10/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/4/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/4/1)-(1/2/5)-(1/4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/3/4)-(1/2/5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6/8)-(1/4/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/7/6)-(1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3/7/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3/7/12)-(1/8/3/7/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADANO Jan03 Dec03 Nov16 Nov02 Oct05 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
1A  SILVER G T O Jan09 Dec15 Dec06 Nov13 Oct24 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 121 3.00    
2  ARAZI LIKE MOVE Dec28 Dec04 Nov08 Aug23 Aug16 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 11% 8.10    
3  ENJOY BASEBALL Jan02 Dec20 Aug31 Aug07 Jul24 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  GIZMO JONES Nov08 Oct24 Oct14 Aug31 May18 (urieta jo)CORREA L 126 2.50 ★    
5  DEBDURITE Jan03 Dec03 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  QUESTION AUTHORITY Jan02 Dec20 Jul18 Jun26 May29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
7  AUGER Dec28 Dec15 Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   01/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA POWER Dec30 Nov29 Nov15 Oct22 Apr28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  DYNA'S HOLIDAY Apr05 Feb16 Jan24     (pappad)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 12% 7.30    
3  CARMEN OHIO Jan05 Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 Aug13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 17% 4.90    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Aug29 Aug13 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  RAINBOW SHIP Dec30 Jun28 Jun01 May17 Apr27 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 6.00    
6  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Jan05 Dec03 Nov19 Nov03 Oct25 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 126 15.00    
7  CUT RATES Apr28 Apr06 Mar05 Feb01 Jan14 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 12% 7.70    
 
MVR-3   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRIVATE CONNIE Dec16 Nov09 Oct12 Aug28 Aug12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Dec22 Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 Nov02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 ★    
2  BAYOU SHACK Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct08 Sep11 (zook w)BRACHO A 126 10.00    
SCR  FARMHAND Nov14 Oct27 Oct11 Aug08 Jul25 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
4  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Dec13 Nov17 Oct27 Jun16 May16 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
5  HURTS SO BAD Dec30 Dec16 Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  BIG BAD BEAST Dec13 Nov06 Sep23 Aug28 Jul10 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
7  DOCTOR WU Dec13 Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 Sep20 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-4   01/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Sep20 Aug30 Aug19 Jul07 Jun21 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
2  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Dec12 Nov29 Nov10 Oct10 Sep13 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00 30% 2.40    
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND Dec29 Dec19 Dec01 Nov17 Nov01 (meyers shane)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 ★    
4  GOLD N SILVER Dec08 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 Jun10 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.00 ★    
5  INTO GOLD Dec19 Dec01 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  LINO'S KID Dec19 Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
MVR-5   01/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY THE CAT Dec27 Sep06 Aug30 Jul25   (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DYNAMITE CLOUD Dec29 Oct29 Sep29 Aug25 Jul26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00    
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec29 Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 Nov12 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
4  REANIMATE Dec27 Nov19 Oct29 Jul13 May31 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Dec01 Nov12 Sep28 Sep01 Jul22 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
6  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Dec12 Jun30 Jun09 May19 May07 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 ★    
SCR  RUN BUBBA RUN Dec27 Dec01 Aug24 Jun29 Apr09 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 11% 7.80    
8  RONNI'S STORM Dec31 Dec11 Nov26 Nov13 Oct04 (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 126 12.00    
9  FOREIGN Dec20 Nov17 Nov10 Sep02 Aug17 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
10  MANNFORD Dec27 Nov07 Sep01 Jul18 Jun30 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-6   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY AS YOU GO Dec13 Oct29 Oct11 Jul20 Jun29 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
2  SWEET EMPIRE Dec30 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug29 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 15% 5.50    
3  BEEBLEGEE Dec05 Nov23 Oct29 Oct11 Apr05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
4  BEST OF YOU Jan05 Dec21 Nov23 Nov16 Oct29 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
5  ST PATTY'S SONG Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 Oct25 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 18.60    
6  CHECK OUT LINE Dec05 Jul15 Jun30 Jun11 Jun01 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
7  SARAH JANE Dec13 Oct11 Sep02 Aug17 Aug04 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
8  DIAL AGAIN Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Oct10 (andrade hugo)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-7   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LE GENERAL Oct14 Sep25 Aug31 Aug06 Aug01 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  JOVIAL JOHN Dec12 Dec04 Aug03     (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
3  NANO Dec12 Nov16 Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
4  BOO BE RIGHT Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 Nov06 Oct24 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Dec14 Nov08 Oct31 Oct04 Sep12 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00    
6  GEMO Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Oct22 Apr18 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 9% 10.20    
7  RULING EMPIRE Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50 16% 5.20    
8  THE COOKIE MAN Jan03 Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 Oct23 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 ★    
9  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Jan02 Dec13 Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 (lopez carlo)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 122 3.50 60% 0.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  BONNIE'S BEST Dec30 Dec15       (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00    
  (by PALACE out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  SAVESOMEFORME Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Oct05 Sep01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CADES COVE by KAYRAWAN)
4  PRONTO CHARLI         (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 15.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  THELMA LUCILLE Dec27 Dec13 Nov30     (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
6  OHIO LADY         (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
7  MY PINK BUNNY TALE         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 122 6.00 ★    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
8  LARRY'S ANGEL         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 122 5.00 9% 10.80    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of THE WAR DEPARTMENT by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  CANELA FINA Dec27 Dec13       (langley j)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 20.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
10  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Jan01 Dec15 Nov30 Oct26 Oct10 (calvo kelsie)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 4.50    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
11  NO MORE MARGS Dec30 Dec15 Dec01     (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  WICKED REESE         (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 20.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.