Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5/2/3)-(4/6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/4/7)-(1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/6/5)-(1/4/7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(1/2/6)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(1/5)-(1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/3/7)-(1/5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/7/2)-(2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/6/3)-(6/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/3/2)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/7/5)-(4/3/2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOOD MOON Dec27 Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 Sep17 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
2  KRAMDEN Dec18 Dec02 Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 ★    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON Dec27 Dec14 Nov03 Oct27 Aug04 (urieta jo)CORREA L 126 6.00 ★    
4  BOURBON WISDOM Dec20 Dec03 Aug14 Jul23 Jul02 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  FAHRENHEIT Dec12 Nov09 Oct14 Oct04 Aug30 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 ★    
6  ZERO GRAVITY Dec05 Nov02 Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-2   01/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODIE Dec07 Nov07 Oct10 Sep22 Sep01 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  SAVAGE NATION Dec07 Nov27 Oct26 Jul03   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00    
3  RESCUE FIVE Dec07 Oct25 Oct10 Aug30 Aug15 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
4  PAT DADDY Jan02 Dec15 Nov28 Nov08 Sep05 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
5  LAUDA SPEED Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 Jul16 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 ★    
6  HAPPILEA Dec05 Oct22 Jul13 Jun13 Apr28 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 ★    
7  FIRST CITIZEN Jul18 Jun05 May24 May09 Apr15 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
MVR-3   01/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Dec18 Nov27 Nov11 Oct23 Sep24 (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.40 25% 2.90    
2  RED HOT LASS Dec15 Sep24 Jul29 Jun24 Jun04 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 Oct26 Oct10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  CUE THE BAND Dec27 Nov17 Oct29 Sep26 Sep08 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
5  FIRST KITTEN Dec09 Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Oct01 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
6  PACIFIC COAST Dec07 Nov22 Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
MVR-4   01/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J L'S ROCKETTE Nov07 Sep25 Aug02 Jun12 Apr30 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.60 67% 0.50    
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY Nov30 Oct17 Aug08 May30 Mar05 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.60    
2  QUARANTINA Dec07 Nov22 Oct17 Sep20 Sep08 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
3  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Dec07 Nov22 Jun22 Jun02 May11 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 ★    
4  CHACALOSA May08 Apr21 Jan26 Jan12   (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 10.00    
5  SILVER STICK STAIR Dec07 Nov22 Nov15 Oct17 Oct03 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 9% 10.60    
6  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
7  ANDIAMA Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Jun07 May23 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAO DE QUEIJO Dec22 Nov30 Oct30 Sep13 Aug16 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  PRANCIPANTS Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 Nov26 Nov13 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 6% 14.70    
3  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Dec22 Dec05 Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 ★    
4  CASCABRIA Dec20 Dec13 Sep22 Aug17 Aug03 (skerrett jef)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
5  TIZ THIRSTY Dec22 Nov29 Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 20.00    
6  FLECK Dec22 Dec05 Oct17 Sep12 Aug29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
7  TURN TO ME SUCREE Dec22 Nov14 Oct03 Sep20 Aug28 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ORBITING THE SKY Jan03 Nov14 Oct31 Jul21 Mar01 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-6   01/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO DONT NO Dec12 Nov21 Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 ★    
2  UPTOWN Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 Jul05 Jun03 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 118 1.40 52% 0.90    
3  CHIEF RANDEL Dec22 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct14 (waite l)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  SAMMY'S SMILE Nov12 Oct29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 6.00 6% 15.40    
5  PRIVATE DRIVE Dec27 Dec01 Nov07 Oct25 Jun20 (rone p)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
6  DARK VADER Dec22 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jun12 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 10% 9.30    
 
MVR-7   01/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDY MOBILE Dec21 Dec03 Oct31 Oct04 Sep22 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
2  SHOW SLIDING HOME Dec03 Oct29 Oct04 Sep19 Sep01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 9% 10.30    
3  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 (trevino stephen)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 29% 2.40    
4  PAT'S KARMA Dec03 Nov12 Sep22 Aug17 Aug02 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI PRINCE Dec27 Dec03 Oct31 Sep27 Sep06 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 3.00 ★    
6  CLASSIC MO Dec03 Oct04 Sep01 Aug18 Jul19 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
7  EL MARRO Dec01 Nov07 Jun01 May18 Apr28 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKEN JEWEL Dec29         (yoder d)AVILES YAN 121 8.00    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
2  I'M JAC'D Dec21 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
3  KERRI'S MIRACLE Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Jul26 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
4  MISS ELLIE Dec29 Dec08 Jun13 May26 May12 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
5  OH EYE SEE Dec19 Nov16 Jul05 Jun13   (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 12.00 ★    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
6  MARIANA (FR) Dec19         (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 10.00    
  (by GAY MECENE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  DANZA MAGIC Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Jul26 Jul12 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 ★    
  (by DANZA out of GRIFFINS MAGIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.