Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/4/1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(6/3/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/3/5)-(5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/7)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(1/3/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/4/5/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/4)-(1/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4)-(1/4/5/3)-(1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    DD (1/4/5/3)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/3)-(1/2/5)-(7/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/4/3)-(1/2/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(7/4/5/1)-(1/6/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1/8)-(7/4/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(1/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOULSTONE Dec15 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 4.50 ★    
2  CURIOSITY KILLS Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 Oct24   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 ★    
3  SPECIAL ASSISTANT Nov22 Nov09 Oct17 Oct06 Sep21 (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
4  HOPS PETUNIA Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 Nov16 Nov02 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 ★    
5  IRON WILMA Dec28 Dec21 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★    
6  FRANCIA (PER) Jul27 Jun18       (pizzurro josep)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00    
 
MVR-2   01/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGTIME DOLLY Dec27 Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 Aug10 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  ON A TOUR Dec31 Dec04 Nov13 Oct28 Oct14 (hughes w)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 7% 14.00    
3  ANNMARIA Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Nov01 Sep27 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
4  GENERAL GINNY Dec08 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 Sep21 (dillion jimmy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
5  CURT'S ANGEL Nov30 Nov01 Oct23 Oct10 Sep13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
6  SPECIAL BEACH Dec28 Dec19 Nov03 Oct04 Aug16 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-3   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TABOO HOO Dec07         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by TONALIST out of OH BOO HOO by KAFWAIN)
2  SISTER CODE Dec22 Dec07 Oct11 Sep16 Sep02 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
SCR  DELTA WISHES         (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 6% 16.20    
  (by MSHAWISH out of DELTA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  JUMP INTO SANITY Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Sep29 (skerrett )CORREA L 122 10.00    
  (by JUMP START out of SONG MEMORY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  DANZING CHICK         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  DUDE'S MIST DATE Dec22         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 20.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SPRING MIST by SPRING AT LAST)
7  LIAM'S QUALITY         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ABBIGUCCI by QUALITY ROAD)
8  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Dec22 Dec07 Nov07 Oct13 Sep20 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 122 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
 
MVR-4   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIANTRITHYM Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Sep24 Aug31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 43% 1.30    
2  KAY BEE GEE Dec19 Nov09 Sep09 Aug30 Jun24 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 ★    
3  BACKSPLASH Dec08 Nov09 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
4  ACCOLADES GALORE Dec06 Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 Aug30 (walker charle)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
5  SHELLEY'S GEM Dec08 Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 9% 9.90    
6  COWGIRL KIMMIE Dec08 Nov11 Oct25 Sep20 Jul21 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.50    
 
MVR-5   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ZELIG Nov28 Nov07 Oct22 Oct12 Sep23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  FRONTLINER Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 Oct10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 ★    
2  MASAI MAN Dec09 Nov19 Nov14 Nov03 Oct13 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
3  KITCHI Dec28 Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 Nov02 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 9% 10.60    
4  MAS CHIKILIN Nov07 Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 Sep01 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  FLAT FUN Dec12 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 Sep30 (dillion jimmy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50 12% 7.00    
6  SILVER G T O Dec15 Dec06 Nov13 Oct24 Oct10 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
SCR  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Dec11 Nov19 Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 (holsap)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 ★    
8  VOLBEAT Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Sep28 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
SCR  DEMAND RANSOM Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov25 Nov06 (hughes w)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRU THE VINE Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Oct31 Oct14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 65% 0.50    
1A  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Dec20 Dec05 Nov28 Nov09 Oct07 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 ★    
2  FALCONS FURY Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00    
2B  UNCLE CHARMING Dec08 Nov23 Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 8% 11.70    
3  VISUAL MISSION Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 Sep16 Sep06 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
4  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★    
5  OL' L B Dec08 Nov21 Nov09 Sep29 Sep15 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 5% 18.60    
6  IT'S YOUR CALL Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct14 Sep21 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-7   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURDY PUMKIN Dec15 Dec01 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 18.20    
2  BEAV'S BOO Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Sep16 Apr01 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
3  SKY Dec06 Nov14 Nov07 Oct26 Aug31 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
4  BOURBONWITHGINGER Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 Sep15 Aug31 (tooley )PILARES P 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  ROSE KNOWS Dec13 Nov14 Oct26 Sep13 Aug10 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 8% 11.90    
6  CALTHA Sep15 Aug31 Jul11 May25   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
7  MIMAJOON Dec01 Jan08       (morey e)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
8  AWESOMELY SHY Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 Aug08 Jul04 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-8   01/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORLEANS STORM Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep21 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1A  ANIMO ROBERTO Dec29 Dec14 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 ★    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of FOUR FLOURISHES by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  BAILEY ROAD Dec29 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14   (bird danny)DIAZ I 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of ADDED DELIGHT by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  GRANDE RED Dec07 Sep12 Aug10     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
4  SPLENDID SPIRIT Dec22 Jul28 Jun29     (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
5  NOSEY POWER Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
6  MY TICKET Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
7  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Aug13 Jul28 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00 11% 8.30    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
8  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of SINCERELY YOURS by POLES APART)
9  DANES HEART Jun29 May31 May21 Apr27 Apr04 (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 4.50    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.