Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7)-(8/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7)-(8/7/2/4)-(1/6/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-2   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4)-(1/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/4)-(1/6/7/5)-(4/9/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (1/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/5)-(1/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/5)-(1/6/7/5)-(1/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/5)-(4/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/5)-(4/9/1/8)-(3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (4/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/1/8)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1/8)-(3/2/6)-(6/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/3/4/5)-(4/7/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/5)-(4/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/5)-(4/7/5/9)-(6/3/8/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-7   WIN (4/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/9)-(6/3/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/9)-(6/3/8/10/1)-(2/5/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (6/3/8/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/10/1)-(6/3/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/10/1)-(6/3/8/10/1)-(6/3/8/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/10/1)-(2/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/10/1)-(2/5/8/1)-(7/5/10/2/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-9   WIN (2/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/1)-(7/5/10/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-10   WIN (7/5/10/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/2/6)-(7/5/10/11/2/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/2/6)-(7/5/10/11/2/6)-(7/5/10/11/2/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT THIS GAL         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of POUND STERLING by ASCOT KNIGHT)
2  JOYOUS SONG May02         (mott william)TORRES A 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by VOLATILE out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
3  CYAWOULDNTWANABEYA Apr24         (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 18% 4.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SELCOURT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  SWEET SERAPHINE Aug03         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of VENETIAN SONATA by BERNARDINI)
5  SPEED SHOPPER Feb02 Dec26       (walden wil)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAST RETAILING by MALIBU MOON)
6  SHEWONTBUDGE Apr17 Mar22       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of JOYFUL FROLIC by CURLIN)
7  CONTORTED May02 Mar22 Feb15     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PRINCESS ASH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  FIELD SONG         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 6.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of VIELSALM by FAIRBANKS)
 
CD-2   05/24/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT IF May08 Apr19 Mar28 Mar15 Feb12 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
2  READYTORISKITALL Apr29 Mar30 Mar08     (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  AUTUMN CHILL Nov21 Oct08 Aug26 Jul29 Nov25 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.50    
4  CHEYENNE MOON Apr26 Apr06 Jun06 Apr26 Apr06 (wiggins lon)LANERIE J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WILD ACCLAIM May11 Apr25 Feb23 Feb04 Jan10 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
6  FASTA LAVISTA BABY Apr25 Apr09 Nov28 Nov13 Oct08 (brown paul )GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 10.00    
7  TONALITE Apr19 Mar21 Feb13 Jan16 Nov29 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MARTINGALE Apr29 Apr12 Feb20 Jan27 Jul12 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
CD-3   05/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINISTER SMILE Apr26 Mar22 Feb23 Dec14 Nov27 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  HOMER'S ODYSSEY Apr19 Oct06 Sep14 Aug05 Jul07 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
3  STEEL VENOM         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  GAME RUNNER Apr25 Sep05 Jul14 May12   (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
5  MASTER CONTROLLER Nov03 Oct17 Sep01     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STUDENY Apr26 Apr13 Mar16 Dec07 Nov16 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  ESH         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  VEX Apr12         (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
 
CD-4   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEMI Apr25 Mar01 Feb04 Jan05 Dec08 (damato ph)TORRES A 120 6.00 6% 16.40    
2  THESE APPLES Apr30 Mar15 Feb14 Jan02 Dec18 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 4.50    
SCR  NEVER SWAY May10 Mar22 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 (dixon jr)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00    
4  GREEK HEIRESS Sep15 Jun08 May11 Apr19 Mar21 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
5  SASSY AND BOLD Apr22 Mar15 Feb23 Jan15 Oct10 (knippenberg )MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
6  FRANGO ELECTRICO May10 Apr16 Mar14 Jan31 Jan01 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
7  EDISTRUDIS Mar29 Mar09 Dec27 Dec07 Oct26 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
8  ABITIBI Apr18 Mar22 Feb27 Jan30 Jan02 (esquivel gustavo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  OFF RAMP Mar19 Feb06 Dec26 Nov30 Oct24 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
CD-5   05/24/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARDS May03 Mar05 Feb01 Dec20 Apr07 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00    
2  NOBALS Mar08 Jan25 Nov16 Oct05 Sep07 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
3  ONE TIMER Dec14 Oct05 Sep07 Aug31 Jul28 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  CLEAR THE AIR Apr30 Apr18 Mar29 Feb23 Jan16 (walden william)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
5  CHISELER Apr09 Mar26 Feb12 Jan17 Oct18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 10.00    
6  DOUBLE CLUTCH Apr18 Nov24 Oct17 Sep11 Aug03 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   05/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN SELECT Jul13         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  DIDN'T IT RAIN Apr29 Mar23 Nov30     (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
3  PURPLE AND GOLD Oct27 Sep13       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  SUNSET LINES         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUCKEYE BOMBSHELL         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STAGE PRESENCE Aug31 Jun28 May25     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
7  SARRIETTE         (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00    
8  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 Jan18 Nov12 (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.50    
9  TIMBO'S MISCHIEF         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WISCONSIN GAL May10 Apr17 Mar30 Feb24 Jan25 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
2  PRAYING Mar30 Nov30 Oct25 Sep04 Jul06 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 6.00    
3  REPUTATION Apr13 Dec22 Nov15     (delgado gustav)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
4  MODO Apr25 Mar16 Jan25 Dec15 Nov17 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  STABLE CURRENCY May02 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Dec21 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  LADY KATHRYN Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 Jun21   (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
7  UNWAVERING TRUST Apr07 Feb15       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  COASTER Apr19 Feb24 Jan18 Sep27   (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 120 10.00    
9  MAY MISCHIEF Apr13 Mar05       (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT BECCA Mar18 Feb06 Sep21 Mar02 Nov22 (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SING A LITTLE SONG Apr13 Mar12 Feb08 Nov28 Nov06 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
3  MARMALADE SKYE Apr30 Mar20 Feb24 Feb12 Jan01 (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 116 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  TWIRL AROUND Apr26 Aug24 Jul06 May16 Apr20 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
5  TITLED LADY May01 Jan31 Dec27 Dec06 Oct20 (maker mic)TORRES A 121 10.00    
6  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY Jul29 Jun08 Apr12     (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TRIPOLINA Apr26 Mar28 Feb24 Feb02 Dec22 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
8  ADOGATE Aug11 Jul04 Nov09     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PUNCHY GIRL Apr27 Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Nov27 (morse rand)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00    
10  ERVADEAN Feb22 Jan02 Nov14 Sep21 Apr24 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  MISS ENCHANTED Apr13 Mar12 Nov27 Oct09 Aug31 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/24/2025 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Keertana Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF MO Apr18 Mar01 Jan25 Nov28 Oct31 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMING OF YOU by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  TARNEEMA Apr23 Mar14 Feb13 Dec28 Jun13 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MOOGHAREADH by MALIBU MOON)
3  HOLY FOLEY Apr18 Mar15 Oct13 Sep01 Jul07 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BELISSIMO by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  STRIKINGLY SPUN Mar22 Feb15 Jan18 Oct07 Sep11 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMART ASHLEY by SMART STRIKE)
5  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) Apr18 Jan25 Dec26 Nov24 Oct13 (motion h )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of SHARP SUSAN by TOUCH GOLD)
6  SUGAREE (IRE) Apr23 Mar14 Feb13     (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
  (by CAMELOT out of PAKORA by GENTLEWAVE)
7  BOSS LADY BAILEY Apr18 Feb07 Dec20 Nov08 Oct13 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
8  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR Apr25 Mar22 Feb07 Dec14 Oct26 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 10% 8.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HOLLIDAZZLE by TIZNOW)
 
CD-10   05/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON FLIGHT Apr12 Mar01 Aug12     (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DARKWINGSOVERDUBAI by RAVEN'S PASS)
2  SPORTS HERO Apr19         (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
3  IL CAVALLINO Apr25         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY by BLAME)
SCR  PLAYA DEL MAR Apr08 Mar08       (mott william)TORRES A 118 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOR DE LA MAR by TIZNOW)
5  DUKE OF DUVAL Oct17 Sep15 Aug24 Jul07 Mar15 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  CANNON May03         (casse nor)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
7  FACT Apr12         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BAZINGA BABY by AFLEET ALEX)
8  MONEY MAN Mar22 Feb22 Oct25     (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of ORO BLANCO by HOLD FOR GOLD)
9  MAXIMA Mar22         (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SUPREME by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  THIRTEEN G'S Apr19 Mar29       (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14% 6.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
11  STEEZE Apr08         (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 ★    
  (by VEKOMA out of STYLISH WAYS by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  WARTANK         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of UNENCHANTEDEVENING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.