Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/1/4)-(6/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/7/5)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(4/1/3)-(4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/7)-(4/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/7)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(4/2/5)-(4/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/7/1)-(1/7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2)-(1/6/3)-(1/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-10   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKS FIRST Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Dec13 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BEDTIME STORY (IRE) Jan01 Nov19 Oct21 Jul30 Mar25 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 123 2.00 71% 0.40    
3  BOOK OF WISDOM Jan24 Jan05 Dec12 Nov09 Oct12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ECHO IN ETERNITY Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
5  FOXY CARA Mar02 Feb09 Jan10 Nov21 Oct20 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
6  PAM PAM Feb27 Jan23 Jan12 Dec01 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
 
AQU-2   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID BILLY Feb08 Jan11 Nov15 Jan13 Dec16 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20 15% 5.90    
2  ON THE HILL Feb08 Jan11 Nov20 Aug21 Jul20 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  GOLDEN ARM Feb22 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov16 (smith lawrence )DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
4  HE HAS IT ALL Feb15 Jan11 Nov30 Aug15 Jul20 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIR PALACE PRINCE Feb26 Dec18 Nov11 Oct15 Sep18 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 123 20.00    
6  WARALO Feb22 Jan30 Apr19 Feb24 Jan13 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
 
AQU-3   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HELEN'S REVENGE Feb09 Jan04 Dec13 Oct18 Sep20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
2  MISSELIOFWAR Jan16 Nov24 Sep13     (deiter )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
3  TALIESIN Jan14 Nov25 Sep04     (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00    
4  TOXIC GIRL Feb09 Jan01 Dec13 Nov21 Nov03 (jimenez l)VIVES SOFIA 120 15.00    
5  HIGHER FORCE Feb09 Jan16 Dec29 Nov03 Sep28 (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEAVENLY LIGHT Feb09 Jan16 Dec13 Oct20 Sep13 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 66% 0.50    
7  POCKET QUEENS Jan19 Dec13 Nov02     (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 9% 10.50    
 
AQU-4   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jimmy Winkfield Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T KRAFT Feb14 Jan11 Nov16 Oct11 Aug29 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by CONNECT out of MARGARITA FRIDAY by JOHANNESBURG)
2  PAULA'S A STAR Feb08 May27       (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 113 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEKING A STAR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  ARCADIAN Feb14 Jan17 Jan10 Dec06 Oct24 (sacco d)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALTESSE by A.P. INDY)
4  DO IT FOR MICHAEL Nov09 Oct12 Sep14 Aug03 Jun30 (robb j)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GRACIE'S HERO by GREAT NOTION)
5  SAXTON Feb14 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct04 (russell brittan)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00    
  (by MOSLER out of WINNING THREAD by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  ICAN Feb14 Jan04 Dec06 Oct15 Sep12 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WE LOVE LUCY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
AQU-5   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANDY IS DANDY         (brown r)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RIVERINE by MAKALEHA)
2  SHE'S COMPLICATED Feb08 Dec27       (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of REPEAL AND REPLACE by LEA)
3  DECREE AND DECLARE Sep15         (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 ★    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
4  ELEMIAH Jul14         (giddings m)RIVERA R 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by ROWAYTON out of UNBRIDLED TRUTH by UNBRIDLED)
5  TWIRLING BEAUTY         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STRATEGIC DREAMS by ARCHARCHARCH)
6  CAHIRA'S SONG         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of YALETOWN by CHIEF HONCHO)
7  I'M VERY SWEET Nov24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SHE'S ROUGHIN IT by FOREST CAMP)
 
AQU-6   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE COLTON Feb24 Jan28 Nov25 Nov13 Oct15 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
2  FLAT OUT FLYING Feb02 Jan10 Nov24 Nov08 Oct17 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  BAD LARRY Mar08 Feb02 Jan18 Jan10 Dec08 (jones )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
4  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Dec13 Oct18 Sep28 Aug18 Jul22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 33% 2.10    
5  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jan24 Dec13 Oct18 Aug21 Jul20 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
6  CENTAVO Feb23 Feb15 Feb07 May18 May04 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
7  STREET SWAGG Feb02 Jan01 Nov26 Oct19 Sep18 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
SCR  ICE ROAD Mar08 Feb14 Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
 
AQU-7   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLAN'S BOND Feb06 Dec12 Nov21 Jun15 May12 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BROWN SUGA BABE Feb06 Jan11 Dec06 Nov07 Oct10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
3  KRYSTALHEIR Feb27 Dec07 Nov18 Oct29 Oct10 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00    
4  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Jan30 Jan02 Dec15 Nov14 Oct06 (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 58% 0.70    
5  RACING COLORS Feb27 Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Nov03 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
SCR  AL'S RUBY Jan10 Dec07 Apr06     (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.20    
7  CALL HER BLUFF Feb23 Dec27 Dec07 Oct27 Oct10 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
AQU-8   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX KINGS Feb28 Jan03 Oct20 Sep18 Aug24 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.00 51% 1.00    
1A  ACCIDENTAL BID Feb15 Jan17 Nov29 Oct04 Aug21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
2  BROWN DON'T STOP Feb21 Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 (bernardini j)HARKIE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  D DAY SKY Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov21 Oct14 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 12% 7.60    
4  SKELLIG ISLAND Feb13 Jan18 Dec28 Oct12 Oct05 (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
5  UNION EXPRESS Feb02 Dec14 Oct26 Sep29 Aug23 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  OLLIE CAN DANCE Feb21 Jan25 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 (ibrahim )DAVIS A 123 30.00    
7  ENDOWED Jul25 Jun28 May27 May09 Apr05 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
8  SOLO EMPIRE Feb21 Jan25 Dec29 Nov21 Oct18 (begg ben)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
AQU-9   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVE US MELANIA Mar02 Dec27 Dec13 Nov16 Sep19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
1A  MALU Feb23 Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Oct24 (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 123 2.00    
2  GRAMMY GIRL Feb15 Jan23 Dec15 Aug07 Jul06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE Dec27 Dec06 Nov17 May03 Jul08 (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POINTS IS POINTS Feb06 Jan11 Dec27 Oct25   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
5  TAKETHEMONEYHONEY Feb22 Jul10       (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 123 4.00    
6  CATHERINE WHEEL Feb02 Feb09 Nov03 Sep17 Aug20 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
7  BOBBY JEAN Feb06 Dec08 Nov14 Oct20 Sep19 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
 
AQU-10   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLINT Jan16 Nov29 Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 60% 0.70    
1A  MELT WITH YOU Feb02 Jan11 Dec28 Dec12 Nov19 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60    
SCR  WHISKEY N SODA Jan18 Dec12 Aug16 Jul25 Jun01 (nevin michelle)LUZZI J 121 1.60    
2  VENGE Feb07 Jan02 Dec14 Nov25 Oct30 (morey w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
3  SCAT TU TAP Feb22 Feb02 Jan24 Jan11 Dec14 (arriaga anto)HARKIE K 123 6.00    
4  FINAL DENILE Feb22 Jan11 Dec01 Nov23 Oct04 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALBEDO Feb02 Jan17 Dec15 Oct24 Sep22 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
6  BLAME IT ON DADDY Jan24 Jan03 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 (de hor)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ERIC FROM MIAMI Feb13 Jan18 Jan01 Nov11 Sep01 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
8  HOULTON Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 Oct03 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.