Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/4/1)-(4/5/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/1)-(4/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/9/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(4/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(4/9/1/2)-(2/7/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/2)-(4/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/2)-(4/9/1/2)-(4/9/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/1/2)-(2/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1/2)-(2/7/6/8)-(7/8/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/8)-(7/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/8)-(7/8/3/1)-(2/8/5/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/1)-(2/8/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/1)-(2/8/5/9)-(4/5/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/9)-(2/8/5/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/9)-(2/8/5/10/9)-(2/8/5/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/5/9)-(4/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/9)-(4/5/3/1)-(4/2/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/1)-(4/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-9   WIN (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH TO FINISH Dec23 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Aug05 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIXIE MAN Jan16 Dec02 Nov19 Oct23 Oct03 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BREEZE THE BAYOU Feb03 Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 126 2.00 16% 5.40    
4  COWBOY LUKE Jan16 Dec20 Nov27 Nov04 Oct21 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 126 1.80    
5  SAVE FERRIS Jan13 Dec12 Nov25     (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
6  THISISRIDICULOUS Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 Dec11 Nov20 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
7  TWICE SHY Jan16 Dec08 Nov25 Apr01 Mar04 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   02/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO CAN'T WAIT Jan28 Jan09 Oct11 Sep05 Aug18 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDIAN EXPRESS out of WHO ON FIRST by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
2  WANDALOU'S PRIDE Jan28 Dec26 Dec10     (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of DEPUTY WANDA by WANDO)
3  INDY'S HOPE Jan28 Dec26 Nov21 Oct22 Oct11 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 1.20 26% 2.90    
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
4  FORMYBOYS Jan28 Jan09 Dec26 Nov21 Oct11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
5  EVANS WORLD Jan28 Dec26       (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00    
  (by LOUIE VILLAIN out of PAIGES WORLD by WORLD ORDER)
6  HIDDEN HEART Jan28 Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 Oct11 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
7  DUDE THE LEGEND Jan28 Jan09 Dec26 Sep16 Aug07 (urieta johanna)STOKES J 126 8.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
 
MVR-3   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY BALL Jan23 Dec19 Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 (castillo jabdiel)STOKES J 124 3.50 7% 12.60    
2  VICTORY DIVISION Jan25 Dec19 Nov19 Oct08 Sep10 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
3  WHAT A RUSH Jan25 Jan08 Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50    
4  WEEKEND BUZZ Jan25 Dec19 Nov19 Oct30 Oct11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.00 54% 0.80    
5  COWTOWN BOSS Jan16 Dec30 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  POWERFUL PHIL Jan25 Dec19 Nov02 Oct11 Oct02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
7  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jan25 Dec19 Nov19 Aug29 Aug06 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   02/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COACHMAN Jan25 Jan09 Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 (urieta joha)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
2  MONTAUK COVE Jan29 Dec08 Oct22 Oct09 Sep16 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 12.00 11% 8.10    
3  KHALFANI Jan15 Dec12 Nov27 Nov05 Oct23 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 3.00    
4  FIRST CITIZEN Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
5  DYRDEK Jan28 Dec10 Nov20 Nov03 Oct07 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
SCR  TOYI Nov20 Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 Sep24 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
7  NICHOLAS JAMES Jan29 Dec26 Jul15 Jun25 May04 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
8  VENETIAN DREAM Nov19 Nov11 Oct19 Oct01 Sep16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
9  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jan28 Dec26 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
MVR-5   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIE M Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 Nov16 Oct12 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
2  INSIDE STUNT Jan16 Dec30 Dec02 Nov11 Oct30 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.50 62% 0.60    
3  LORD OF MISCHIEF Dec12 Nov27 Nov04 Oct25 Oct10 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
SCR  IT'S OFFICIAL Jan13 Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Feb20 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
5  JOKEMEISTER Nov05 Oct22 Aug29 Jul23 Jul02 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50    
6  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Sep16 Sep01 Aug21 Aug04 Jul08 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DOUGIE D ORO Jan13 Nov25 Oct26 Oct08 Aug12 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
8  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Jan16 Dec28 Mar29 Mar08 Jan17 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK Jan23 Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Aug12 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jan23 Dec16 Nov11 Oct30 Oct02 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
3  GAPPER Jan23 Jan08 Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Jan23 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Sep26 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
5  SPIN DOCTOR Jan25 Dec16 Dec05 Nov02 Oct08 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00    
SCR  CONDEMNATION Feb04 Jan23 Jan13 Dec17 Nov14 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
7  SERENDIPITOUS Jan25 Dec19 Nov26 Oct26 Oct07 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
8  EL MARRO Jan25 Dec19 Nov26 Apr01 Mar11 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
9  BEAT THE DEALER Jan23 Nov19 Oct19 Sep19 Aug26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   02/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER PIKE Dec12 Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
2  REAL NAUGHTY Dec30 Nov16 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
3  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Jan07 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct19 (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 15.00    
4  WASHINGTON'S UNION Jan29 Dec28 Dec11 Nov29 Nov15 (higham ni)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00    
5  OILER Jan13 Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WINNING DRIVE Jan24 Dec04 Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
7  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Feb01 Jan16 Nov29 Oct23 Sep27 (andrade hugo)AVILES YAN 126 10.00    
8  SOUPER FORTUNE Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov11 Oct24 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
9  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jan07 Dec23 Nov11 Nov05 Oct23 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SMASH Jan13 Dec10 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING FREEDOM Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Jan18 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRILL'S BOY Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
3  STRIKE PLATE Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SO THAT'S THAT Jan15 Nov27 Oct28     (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  FORT GRANDE Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 6% 14.40    
6  CARSON N SPENCE Jan09 Dec10 Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
7  WEEKEND RETREAT Jan28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 Aug07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00    
8  GUESS AGAIN Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Oct26 Oct09 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN FITZGERALD Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50    
2  BOBBY ROB Jan15 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28   (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 118 10.00 20% 4.10    
3  DRILL CITY Jan09 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28   (meyers shane)BRACHO A 116 1.20    
SCR  DUSTY BILLY Jan15 Dec28 Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 5.00 54% 0.80    
5  MOONSHINE JOE Jan28 Jan09 Dec26 Dec10 Nov02 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JAC'S EMPIRE Jan27 Jan09 Dec19 Nov12 Oct10 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOMENT IN THE DARK Dec10 Nov11 May21 May01 Mar27 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
8  EARL'S STORMY WIND Jan27 Jan09 Nov11 Oct26 Sep20 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.