Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Wednesday - January 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/3/4)-(8/3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(8/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(8/3/6/5)-(4/10/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/5)-(4/10/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/5)-(4/10/1/2)-(2/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/10/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/2)-(4/10/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/2)-(4/10/7/1/2)-(4/10/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/1/2)-(2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/1/2)-(2/7/5)-(8/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(8/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(8/7/5)-(6/5/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/11/9)-(8/7/5/11/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(6/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(6/5/1/8)-(1/2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/8)-(1/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/8)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/8/10/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(1/8/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/8/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/7)-(1/8/6/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/7)-(1/8/6/10/7)-(1/8/6/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL ME OVER Nov28 Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  COPPER MOON Dec19 Nov28 Aug16 Aug02 Jun28 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50    
3  SUM CHARM Nov28 Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 (ney john)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 4.00    
4  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Dec18 Oct29 Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 (prejean raymo)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
5  JAYDYN CAT Nov28 Oct17 Aug23 Jun21 May24 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  BITSY PERFECTMATCH Dec19 Nov29 Jun08 May28 May08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
FG-2   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROBLEMATICA Dec08 Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 Jul25 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.60    
2  PINK LADY LU SHA Dec08 Jul07 Jun22 May05 Apr07 (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
3  SHARPER GAL Dec08 Nov21 Jul17 Jun08 May10 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
4  SHELLEY'S MONEY Nov09 Jul12 May29 Feb03 Dec29 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EMILYHASHERTURN Dec19 Nov28 Nov09 Oct18 Sep02 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  LADY HELENA Oct19 Sep12 Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 (rodriguez e)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00    
 
FG-3   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWICE AS SASSI Nov16 Oct29 Jun21 May25   (thomas lee)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 20.00    
2  CAT COUNTY Dec12 Nov24 Jan04 Nov25   (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
3  STAR APRIORITY Dec12 Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 Sep09 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  COMPUTERIZED Dec12 Jul29 Jun26 Jun05 May15 (west g)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
5  VALID EARLY Dec20 Nov21 Nov08 Jul30 Mar22 (ladner chad)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  IRON FORTUNE Dec12 Nov20 Sep23 Aug23 Jul19 (zenon char)ALBERT S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEAL OF FAITH Dec12 Nov24 Aug22     (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 122 2.50    
8  RAZOR CREST May10 Apr17 Mar22 Mar02 Jan19 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
 
FG-4   01/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC EMBRACE Nov22 Sep24 Aug12     (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WANNA CUDDLE by LEESTOWN)
2  INSTASPEED Oct30 Sep25 Jul14     (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of UP TO SPEED by GOLD FEVER)
3  VANNA G Nov22         (west g)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOM out of GIOVANNA by GIO PONTI)
4  SWAMP QUEEN Dec14 Nov16 Oct19     (brinkman bre)TORRES A 120 3.00 61% 0.70    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROSE REFLECTION by MALIBU MOON)
5  LOVE IN THE DARK Dec06 Aug09       (sanchez c)CURTIS BEN 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SANIBEL STAR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MO VISTA Dec07         (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOM out of CHANGING VISTA by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
7  ARARATTA         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SARATOGA BELLE by THE FACTOR)
8  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Dec12 Oct25       (duhon o)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
9  GRAND EMPRESS Dec14 Oct16 Sep08 Aug15 Jul13 (gelner scott)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of OWAW'S EMPRESS by BODEMEISTER)
10  THUNDERING DESIRE Nov22 Oct12       (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MR. MONEY out of WILL TAKE OVER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
11  GUILLOTINE         (courville)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HELLO KITTEN by CAT COUNTRY)
SCR  CLEARLY BELLA Dec06 Nov16 Oct25     (flugen)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
SCR  CALL ME SUSAN Dec14 Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 Aug02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of RANSOM RED by RED ROCKS (IRE))
 
FG-5   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWENTY FOUR GRAND Dec12 Nov23       (zeringue j)JOURNET JARRED 120 15.00    
2  MAX'S REDEMPTION Oct07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  WAYZATA Nov30 Oct27       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
4  JAILHOUSE RELIGION Dec15 Nov07 Oct06     (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 5.00    
5  BIRTHDAY GIRL Aug10         (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED ZONE Nov20         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
7  SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN Dec12 Oct23 Sep21     (hartman chris)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
FG-6   01/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMER NATE Dec07 Oct17 Aug14 Jul12 Jun01 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
2  HOUSE BOURBON Dec14 Dec05 Oct19 Sep25 Aug14 (landry ray)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
SCR  TAMBOURINE STAR Dec16 Nov30 Jun19 Mar22 Mar06 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
4  MOMENT OF STARDOM Aug16 May11 Mar23 Feb08 Jan13 (wilson shane)TORRES A 120 3.50    
5  TUSSLING CHARLIE Nov23 Oct30 Jun15 May30 Mar16 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Dec15 Jul10 May03 Mar22 Mar03 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
7  VETERANS DAY Nov24 Nov09 Aug16 Jul26 May04 (husak gary)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DEER CROSSING Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar14 Feb08 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 74% 0.40    
9  FRAN'S STAR Dec14 Nov23 Jul29 Jul13 May02 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 ★    
10  COFFEE COUNTY Dec05 Jul11 May31 Apr19 Mar06 (cuccia j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00    
11  PESO PESADO Dec05 Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 May08 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 ★    
 
FG-7   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME ANDY Dec06 Oct13 Sep14 Dec02 Oct29 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  HOUSE UNITED Oct30 Sep14 Jun30 May19 May04 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
SCR  BOLTAGE Dec07 Nov22 Oct09 Feb17 Jan06 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
4  SMART MO Aug03 Jun16 May27 Apr27 Nov10 (eurton pe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
5  COMANCHE WARRIOR Dec05 Aug09 Jul05 May09 Apr24 (terre david)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00 25% 2.90    
6  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE Nov28 Nov06 Oct10 Sep15 Aug24 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  PESO IN MY POCKET Dec05 Sep11 Aug14 Jun11 Feb23 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
8  LUCKY ROMANCE Dec05 Nov03 Sep29 Sep07 Aug04 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-8   01/01/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSAICO MAN Sep10 Dec23 Nov17     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  BETTERA Dec14 Sep14 Aug18 Jul15 Jun12 (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  GOTTA KEEP HIM Dec07 Sep04 Jul17 Jun12 May08 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAGITTARIUS Dec14 Nov23 Nov07 Sep26 Jul29 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
5  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Nov22 Oct13 Aug04 Jun16 May25 (simpson dani)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOW AND LATER Oct31 Oct12 Sep12 Aug04 Jun14 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 ★    
7  FAITH RUNNER Jun13 May23 May04 Mar23 Feb12 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
8  EZ ROLL Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 Jul27 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
9  AGATINO (IRE) Dec07 Oct14 Sep08 Jun11 May27 (wong jonat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
10  FLYING HOUDINI Dec20 Oct04 Aug17 Jul20 Jun21 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
11  COIN MINER Dec21 Apr07 Mar15 Oct08 Aug31 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Oct05 Aug23 Jul14 May26 Mar03 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
SCR  IF I WERE YOU Dec07 Oct26 Sep18 Jul06 Jun15 (rubley kelly)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00    
SCR  DAPPER DUDE Dec07 Nov02 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (rodriguez e)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00    
SCR  ICETECA Nov26 Nov13 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 (leblanc richa)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
SCR  CLOUD FOREST Sep01 Jan12 Dec02 Oct20 Sep14 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
 
FG-9   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPER CRUSH Nov29 Oct16 Sep14     (calhoun will)TORRES A 124 1.20 67% 0.50    
SCR  SACRED VOW Jul25 Jun15 May04     (ramsey daryl)MURRAY M 124 20.00    
3  KRAFTY TAFFY Dec05 Sep24 Jul26 Jun29 May25 (peterson j)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 30.00    
4  STRUMMIN MARY Dec05 Jun18 Jan05 Dec29 Dec08 (zeringue w)ALBERT S 124 10.00    
5  SASSI JOLIE Dec05 Aug09 Jun15     (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 124 10.00    
6  SECRET WINE Jul12 Jun22 May29     (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 ★    
7  CRIMSON GLORY Jul18 Jun27 Jun08 May01 Jan19 (guillory hen)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIAMOND COUNTRY Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 Aug09 Jul26 (thompson k)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 10.00 10% 8.90    
9  DRAMA QUEENIE Dec05 Sep19 Sep01 Aug15 Aug02 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
10  FRANCESNFRIENDS Jun08 May01 Mar24 Dec10   (ludwig jame)ASTUDILLO FELIX 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.