Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(5/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(8/1/15/5/14) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/7)-(8/1/15/5/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/7)-(8/1/15/5/14)-(5/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/1/15/5/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/15/5/14)-(8/1/15/5/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/15/5/14)-(8/1/15/5/14)-(8/1/15/5/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/15/5/14)-(5/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/15/5/14)-(5/4/3)-(7/5/8/11/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(7/5/8/11/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(7/5/8/11/10)-(1/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/5/8/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/11/10)-(7/5/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/11/10)-(7/5/8/11/10)-(7/5/8/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/8/11/10)-(1/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/11/10)-(1/2/5/3)-(6/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3)-(6/5/8)-(3/9/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(3/9/4/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/9/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/7/6)-(3/9/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/7/6)-(3/9/4/7/6)-(3/9/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK SMART Nov24 Jul13 Jun28 May25 May04 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 47% 1.10    
2  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Dec05 Sep10 Aug23 Aug10 Jun28 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
3  SUMITUP Aug20 Apr17 Mar14 Feb25 Dec22 (dandridge )ALBERT S 119 6.00    
4  DROP DEAD SEXY Dec05 Sep25 Jul09 May10 Mar14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
5  STORMY VALENTINE Nov05 Oct17 Aug23 Jul27 Jun28 (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 3.50    
6  OURS AND THEIRS Dec05 Sep26 May20 May07 Mar10 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 4.00 6% 15.30    
7  FOLLOW THE SAINT Aug26 Aug12 Jun04 May21 Apr26 (antwine michael)MCMAHON J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Sep05 Aug17 May16 Mar30 Feb07 (catalano way)MURRAY M 121 5.00    
2  LOFTY HEIGHTS Oct24 Sep18 Aug29 Apr28 Mar23 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
3  GOGO BOBBYJO Dec12 Nov09 Oct11 Aug16 May24 (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 119 20.00    
4  TRIBEST (ARG) Nov29 Oct31 Oct13 Sep19 Aug25 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  FLIGHT CONTROL Dec13 Nov03 Sep26 Sep19 Jan14 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  TROUBLE FREE Feb23         (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
7  SISTER SAINT Sep26 Sep02 Jul31 Jul03 Jun17 (burkes bob)ALBERT S 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAR TOURIST Nov29 Aug09 Jun20 May21 Apr18 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  IN B. J.'S HONOR Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 Aug23 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
SCR  DEROUTANTE Nov29 Sep23 Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 (meaux jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00    
4  BACK STREET BABY Nov29 Aug31 Aug19 Jul01 May27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
SCR  JUS PRESS STAR Oct16 Feb29 Feb09 Nov25   (cohn g)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KATHLYNS PHALANX Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 Jul24 (sharp j)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
SCR  GRACE HAZEL Nov30 Aug11 Jul07 May19 Apr15 (terre david)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
8  GROUND CONTROL Nov28 Oct18 Aug17 Jul25 Nov18 (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Aug26 Aug17 Jul16 Jun20 Jun06 (delany sarah)MURRAY M 121 10.00    
SCR  SKY HIGH SUSAN Sep09 Aug14 Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 8.00    
11  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Dec06 Jun11 May22 Mar10 Dec14 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 May25 Apr26 (garcia luis)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
13  SAVED BY GRACE Nov23 Nov01 Jun29 Jun08 Apr13 (scherer gary)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
14  BIRDIE CALL Dec14 Nov29 Oct18 Aug31 Jul16 (mouton chadw)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COUNTRY LADY Dec05 Sep25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun07 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
FG-4   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENMORE WEST Nov28 Nov08 Sep28     (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 1.60    
  (by WEST COAST out of IT'S BEEN NICE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  REGATTA BAY Dec08 May02 Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
3  ARIES HONOR Dec08 Aug26 Dec31     (zeringue w)ALBERT S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of BEVERLY BELLE by FAR OUT WADLEIGH)
4  BLAME ME SERIOUSLY Dec23 Nov18       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of SERIOUS STEAM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  SOUTHSCAPE Nov14         (wilson shane)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 51% 0.90    
  (by APRIORITY out of ON HER TERMS by MIZZEN MAST)
6  TONI'S INFERNO Nov29 Nov06 Aug23 Jul06 Jun21 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 4.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
FG-5   12/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL BRO COOP Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 Apr05 Mar22 (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 20.00    
2  I'M YOUR MAN Nov20 Nov06 Sep22 Jul21 Jun29 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
3  CARTHAGE CAJUN Nov22 Sep18 Aug14 Jul17 Jun29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
4  CAT ON TIME Dec05 Nov21 Oct20 Sep26 Aug20 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
SCR  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 May23 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  EL PERFECTO Nov22 Sep26 Aug14 Jun07 May10 (claire alexi)TORRES A 121 20.00    
7  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Oct05 Aug23 Jul13 Nov20 Sep24 (gelner jay)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  COUNT DRACULA Dec14 Nov21 Oct31 Sep11 May05 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 11% 8.40    
9  MAASAI WARRIOR Dec07 Nov22 Jun06 May23 May04 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
SCR  CAROOM Oct06 Aug18 Jun20 May12 Apr17 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Dec05 Oct17 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (russell brit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 6% 14.60    
12  RED ROAD Nov28 Sep30 Aug03 Mar04 Feb05 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
13  IMPECCABILITY Jul19 Jun29 Jun09 May27 Apr28 (duke steven)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
 
FG-6   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKFIRE Dec08 Nov29 Nov05 Jan12   (degeyter randy )MCMAHON J 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  TRIPLE TREA Oct10 Sep21 Jan18 Dec23 Aug20 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 1.80 22% 3.50    
3  BEAUTIFUL LIFE Jun09 Apr27 Mar22 Feb15 Dec17 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOVE A FIGHTER Jun08 May15 Apr11 Feb16 Jan28 (morrell cy)ALBERT S 121 30.00    
5  AIR CAV Sep18 Aug05 Jun19 Apr26 Mar02 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  CANDY CORN Dec07 Oct21 Oct12 Jun13 Oct23 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 5.00    
SCR  ONE SHARP TIZ Nov20 Sep17 May10 Apr24 Mar15 (wong j)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00    
8  GREAT RUNNER Dec08 Oct25 Aug17 Jul06 Jun06 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
 
FG-7   12/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEAVILLE Jul26 Jun28 May08 Apr26 Apr12 (ladner chad)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 20.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  TOUCH OF GLAM (ARG) Nov29         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
  (by EQUAL STRIPES out of TOUCH THE SKY by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
SCR  ENGLISH CHUNNEL Jul22 Jun16       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTERROGATION by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  HARD PAR Nov07 Aug30 Jul26 Jun14 Apr26 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
5  JUNGLE LAW Oct24 Oct05 Jul15     (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INDIA by HENNESSY)
6  STORM READY Nov29 Nov03 Jul12 Jun15 May19 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
SCR  INITIALIZE Nov29 Oct24       (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  KING ROSSO Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 Aug09 Jul19 (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 7% 13.90    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATCH THE FIRE by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  FINN MCSORLEY Nov24 Nov03 Oct10 Dec15 Nov14 (pessin ne)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
FG-8   12/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Dec06 Oct30 Oct11 Aug14 Jul26 (mouton chadwick )RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
2  CHIEF KIMOSABI Nov15 Nov02 Aug17 Jul11 Jun15 (journet albe)JOURNET JARRED 121 12.00    
3  GYPSY'S SOULMATE Nov30 Jun13 Mar06 Feb12 Dec31 (david b)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
4  GALLANT STAR Dec06 Aug09 Jul15 May30 May16 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
5  JUJU NINETEEN Dec06 Sep23 Aug20 Jul15 May07 (brouss)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
6  J B GRAY Nov30 Oct17 Sep25 Aug20 Aug05 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIND ON MY MONEY Nov30 Jun06 May09 Apr24 Feb17 (jeansonne )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 17.90    
8  JOEY'S GAME Nov23 Jul18 Jun21 Mar06 Feb18 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
9  SEEHOSS Dec06 Nov23 Oct30 Aug14 Jul18 (larrosa j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.