Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(4/5/1)-(6/4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/4/2/3)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(4/2/6)-(2/1/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3)-(5/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/7)-(8/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/7)-(8/5/4/2)-(2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (8/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/2)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY JOKER Jul14 Jun28 May20 Apr30 Mar24 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.00    
MONEY MAKING KAZ Jul17 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 Jun03 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00    
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Jul10 Jun19 Feb17 Dec01 Oct15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
ACTION POINT Jul17 Jun26 Sep25 Aug22 Aug08 (inman l)WHITACRE B 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
OLD POINT Jul29 Jul16 Jun19 Jun03 Oct31 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
FIGHTER KITE Jul17 Jul01 Jun12 May29 May13 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 6.00    
 
FL-2   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOFY Jul31 Jun27 May17 Aug19 Aug03 (baker char)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of AS PROMISED by CENTURY CITY (IRE))
HAPPY INSTEAD Jul29 Jul15 Apr29     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by LEOFRIC out of GOOD HABITS by HABITONY (IRE))
SUSPICIOUSLY NAMED         (moubarak nader)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LITTLE MARYRUTH by BADGE OF SILVER)
BETTA GO GO GO Jul07 Jun21 May27 May10 Apr19 (barker edward )LUZZI J 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LIVIA B QUICK by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
JOE WEST Jul22 Jun26 Jun03 May20 Nov20 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 5.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
PROPHETIC Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Oct20   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
CLUSTER BUSTER         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FL-3   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION NAVY Jul22 Jun19 Nov22 Oct30 Oct16 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTING CREDIT Jun26 Jun03 Nov20 Oct24 Oct02 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50    
UTAMARO Jun26 Nov11 Oct21 Sep21 Aug30 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
RUNAWAY JOKE Jul08 Jun09 May11 Apr19 Mar13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
DEVIL'S CAY Jul28 Jul12 Jun23 May11 Apr13 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE Jul28 Jun28 Apr28 Mar21 Jan14 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
 
FL-4   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUNCH B B B Jul02 Jun11 May21 Sep20 Aug29 (englehart jeffre)ROHENA M 124 3.50    
SCR  GRAYWING May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
WARRIORS REVENGE Jun12 May06 Mar08 Feb04 Jan01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
MORNING CUP Jul16 Jun14 May05 Apr28 Oct21 (grabowski john)COA J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
OLD MAN WINTER Jul16 Jul02 May21 Apr30 Nov22 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  NORGAY Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Feb18 Dec31 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 120 12.00    
ETNICO May25 Apr21 Mar28 Feb23 Jan17 (rogers micha)LUZZI J 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 May22 Apr29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
KOOL KATHMANDU Jul29 Jul16 May20 Apr30 Apr12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
 
FL-5   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMMEDAMONEY Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 Oct09 (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
FATHER WALSH Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May22 Apr30 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
THE LAST ACE Jul16 Nov21 Oct17 Sep19 Aug01 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50    
IN SKY WE TRUST Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 May18 Aug19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
FORWARD MOTION Jul08 Jun05 May06 Feb23 Dec01 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50    
MACHO MIAH Nov21 Oct17 Jul18 May17 Nov15 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
FL-6   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EYED WARRIOR Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 May21 May06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Jul30 Jul04 Jun04 Nov22 Nov08 (ferraro an)MULERO M 115 4.00 38% 1.60    
MRS BELL Jul04 Jun05 May27 May14 Apr29 (dean vic)DAVIS A 122 6.00 5% 17.70    
BON FIRE DIVA Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 May28 May13 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
PALS ALLY Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 May21 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
SCR  LA CAFETERA Jul24 Jul04 Jun18 Oct31 Oct18 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
TASTY WAVE Jul30 Jul04 Jun04 Nov15 Oct31 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
AMORE FIRE Jul24 Jul02 Jun03 May13 Oct04 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
FL-7   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMOANE Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 May22 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
STARTED WITH STARS Oct16 Sep11 Aug02 Jun21 Jan13 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
SABREEN Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 May21 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
CENTRAL CAPITAL Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 May20 Nov15 (rivera davi)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
MIND OF GOLD Jul22 Jul09 Jun10 May21 Nov08 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
CALL ME CARMELITA Jul10 Jun10 May20 Oct23 Oct04 (mcclung shayl)DAVILA A 122 15.00    
WEDONTBELIEVEHER May28 May07 Dec13 Oct18 Aug23 (englehart jeff)COA J 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 May28 (morales s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00    
 
FL-8   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RISK FREE Jul19 Jun30 May05 Apr27 Apr14 (delauro j)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
BOOK OF WISDOM Jun27 May26 May16 Apr14 Feb10 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS WOBBLES Jun17 May28 May13 Apr29   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
HILLBILLY LADY Jul01 Jun11 May29 May06   (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
INTENTIOUS Jul23 Jun25       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00 27% 2.60    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Jul01 Nov26 Oct29 Sep25 Sep11 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00    
DOLCE VELOCE Jul15 Jun24 May20 Apr29 Apr04 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50    
LADY ARWEN Jul15 Aug24 Jul27     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
QUEENS OVER THREES Jul15 Jan12 Dec14 Nov25 Aug27 (falk jacquelin)ALPANDER B 124 4.00    
 
FL-9   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEWIPERSONTHEBUS Jul17 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00    
SCR  MACDONOUGH Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 Jun03 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 2.00    
NOAH'S DESTINY Jul17 Jun25 May14 Nov07 Oct24 (clarke matthew)PEREZ E 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  INTERCHANGER Jun25 Jun10 May22 Nov13 Oct11 (clarke matthew)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50    
SCR  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Jul31 Jul17 Jun11 May14 Nov20 (cook robert )BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
B C GLORY DAYS Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 May06 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
M. C. DOUBLE R Jul09 Jun11 Jun03 May14 Nov20 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
PURECRAZIGROOVE Jul30 Apr26 Mar10 Dec31   (gutierrez luis)BROWN DALTON 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
BET THE PALACE Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun10 Apr29 (englehart jeff)COA J 120 4.00    
PEACEFULPERSUASION Jul31 Jul23 Jun11 Apr08 Mar13 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.