Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(5/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(5/8/4/1)-(2/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/1)-(2/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/1)-(2/7/8/3)-(5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/3)-(5/3/1)-(6/3/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/3/9/5)-(9/8/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/5)-(6/3/9/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/5)-(6/3/9/5/7)-(6/3/9/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/9/5)-(9/8/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/5)-(9/8/11/6)-(1/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (9/8/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/11/6)-(9/8/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/11/6)-(9/8/11/6)-(9/8/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/11/6)-(1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/11/6)-(1/7/8)-(1/5/4/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/6/2)-(1/7/8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(1/5/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/5/4/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/12)-(1/5/4/6/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/12)-(1/5/4/6/12)-(1/5/4/6/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY'S SUNRISE Feb24         (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 117 4.50 24% 3.20    
CHAPELLETE Feb25 Jan26 Jan01     (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
AWREE Feb03         (david b)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00    
SCR  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Mar01 Feb08 Jan06 Dec13 Oct25 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 125 12.00    
WALKSONWATER Feb29         (lovell miche)TORRES A 117 3.00    
LAWLESS TIMES Feb09 Jan19 Dec09 Nov08 Oct19 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
CLEARLY CREEPS Mar08 Feb03       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50    
 
FG-2   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALLORY'S OCEAN Mar01         (ladner chad)NAVAS YOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLE CITY Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec21 (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 125 10.00    
CHUCHI Mar01 Jan25 Dec14 Sep02 Aug05 (ellis j)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
MOION Feb25 Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov18 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
JET ROCKET Feb25 Feb10 Jan19 Nov30 Nov04 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
SECRETLY SWEET Mar02 Feb03       (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
D'BUSKER Feb25         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
RADIANT REBEL Feb23 Feb03 Jan13     (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
FG-3   03/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($57K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN COOL Dec01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Jan20 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
PLANE TALK Feb25 Jan28 Dec21 Dec03 Oct15 (robertson hugh)CURTIS BEN 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
CURLY JACK Jan20 Nov26 Oct28 May29 May06 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
INTO THE SUNRISE Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 Oct14 Aug24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50    
ON YOUR MARK Feb25 Mar16 Sep14 Aug18 Jun22 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
CREW DRAGON Feb17 Jan28 Jan01 May20 Apr23 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
AMBIVALENT Feb25 Jan28 Sep17 Aug31 Jul21 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Jan13 Dec31 Nov04 Jul29 May12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  NOT ON HERB Feb24 Jan06 Nov30 Nov03 Apr08 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00    
 
FG-4   03/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWSILLA Feb29 Feb08 Dec10 Sep04 Jul04 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 6% 14.70    
MO SMOKING Feb29 Jan25 Jan07 Dec10 Oct12 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00    
R T'S GEM Feb29 Feb03 Jan04 Dec20 Nov29 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 121 2.50 7% 12.40    
SHELLI'S ANGEL Feb08 Jan25 Dec14 Jun24 May13 (ladner chad)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
OLIVIA G Mar07 Feb08 Jan28 Dec29 Dec09 (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
SMART IZZY Feb29 Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 Aug12 (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 15.00    
SHES A LUCKY REBEL Feb29 Feb08 Jan11 Dec14 Oct21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
 
FG-5   03/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERMITTENT FAST Nov08 Oct11 Aug13 Jun21 May26 (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
INTEGRATED DESIGN Feb23 Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 Jul07 (hamilton sar)CARROLL DECLAN 119 20.00    
REAGAN'S FLAME Feb01 Dec31 Oct13     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
SHARE THE BLESSING Mar03 Jan27 Dec14     (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
FLEET FROST Feb23 Dec29 Nov24 Oct18   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00 9% 10.70    
TIPSY RUNNER Feb23 Jan21 Dec29 Nov17 Aug28 (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
COPPER EM Feb23 Feb02 Nov26 Oct27 Sep13 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
BLUE HEAVENLY Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 Jan07   (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 20.00    
IMABOUTAGO (IRE) Dec08         (ward wesle)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 9% 9.80    
 
FG-6   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIOUS KAT Feb10 Jan20       (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 114 10.00    
SCR  CASH FEVER Feb29 Feb03 Jan01 Dec01   (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50    
SCR  MACHO FORTY FIVE Feb29 Dec01 Nov03 Sep23 Sep16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
SCR  PROUD CIVILIAN Jan04 Dec07 Oct24 Sep15 Aug19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
GHENT Dec07 Nov15 Sep14 Aug30 Aug11 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
VOYANT Feb29 Feb01 Oct10 Sep25 Sep18 (tillis e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SIR LIAM Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 May25 May04 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
SEEKING SAWYER Dec07 Aug20 Jun04 Mar24 Feb05 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
QUARRYMEN Feb13 Jan06 Dec20 Nov07 Sep19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 114 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  BIG FIG Feb25 Jan12 Dec16 Sep29   (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 8.00    
11  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Feb29 Feb10 Jan19 Dec30 Nov21 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT OUT Feb15 Jan20 Nov23 Oct20 Aug24 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
NOBLE EAGLE Feb13         (beckman wh)TORRES A 122 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIG MEESH by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
CARTHAGE CAJUN Feb08 Jan12       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIGHT OF A STAR by MUQTARIB)
MAGICAL ROAD         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MAGICAL WORLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
COURAGEOUS CUPID Feb17 Jan20       (alonzo howard)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of COURAGEOUS HEART by BODEMEISTER)
KING MENDELSSOHN Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 Dec02   (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 122 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CROWN ROYAL QUEEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
JUSTIFREAK Feb17 Dec23 Nov12 Oct18   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of THE SCHVAGEN by MATTY G)
SPECIAL DISPATCH Mar01 Feb03 Jan05     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JOHANSSON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SUGAR HOOK Mar09 Jan21 Dec23 Nov18   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)
10  MIGHT AS WELL Feb15         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BUREAU DE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  DEVILSGOTACAUSE Feb17 Jan27       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ACENDA by LATENT HEAT)
SCR  SWEETALKINGBOURBON Feb17 Jan20 Nov30     (devaux ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TALKIN AND SINGING by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  SABI Feb17 Jan20 Dec14     (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JEHOZACAT by TAPIT)
SCR  FAST SOLUTION         (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of BRANDENBURG by DUNKIRK)
 
FG-8   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY CREED Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 Dec07   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
CARLOS'S MAMA Mar08 Feb24 Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 (bernard john)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
SCR  HALF CRAZY Feb22 Feb02 Dec20 Dec07 Nov10 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 122 15.00    
OUR HEATSEEKER Feb04 Jan18 Jun03 Apr27 Mar26 (david b)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
IDE LIKE HAWAII Jan18 Dec19 Dec07 Oct11 Aug04 (bourgeois keith)LANERIE J 122 4.00 22% 3.40    
SKINNY BOBBY Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 109 6.00    
CHIEF KIMOSABI Feb23 Jan25 Dec19 Dec07 Nov16 (castille rickey )MELANCON G 122 20.00    
STAR READY Mar01 Jan18 Dec29 Aug14 Jul24 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 125 15.00    
PERFECT STRIKE Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 Aug19 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
10  GOBOT Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 Nov02 Oct14 (mouton chadwick )CURTIS BEN 122 4.50    
11  TRUE CRIMSON Feb10 Nov15 May26 May12 Mar22 (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
12  LITTLE WARRIOR Feb24 Feb15 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IRON N STEEL Mar10 Jan18 Dec20 Nov25 Nov04 (turner patti)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  NATIVE STAR Feb24 Jan06 Dec13 Nov24 Nov11 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.